The 2020-21 NFL season is in full swing and there are huge Week 13 DFS contests being offered on DraftKings with big prize money up for grabs.
In this weekly column, we will identify the best plays, values, and tournament options for your NFL DFS lineups. We’ll also offer the best “fades” at each position, indicating which players to avoid when building your lineups.
Keep in mind that some of the plays offered are better for “Cash” games, i.e. 50/50, H2H, and Double-Up formats that require a more conservative approach. Some plays are recommended for GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) tournaments where it’s necessary to take more risk in the hopes of separating from a large field. Those GPP plays can also be ideal for Best Ball formats where players with higher upside are valuable.
For those interested in the DFS Single-Game Slate contests, here’s a quick recap:
In the “Showdown” mode on DraftKings, there are five utility spots and a “Captain” slot, who receives 1.5x multiplier for all DK points accrued. Pricing differs for players when selected in the Captain spot versus the FLEX spots, with all players required to fit under a $50k salary cap. All options are in play from QBs, RBs and WRs, to kickers and D/ST from each team.
Keep an eye on injury news right up until kickoff since things can change quickly in the NFL. Please note any player listed as questionable may see limited action or not suit up at all if he doesn’t respond well in warm-ups.
NFL DFS WEEK 13 DRAFTKINGS BEST CONTESTS
Top NFL DFS DraftKings Plays for Week 13
Best Play: Aaron Rodgers ($6.8k)
Rodgers has been on fire regardless of matchups with the most TD passes (33) and best passer rating (117.6) in the NFL. He’s been even better with a 122.7 passer rating and 15:1 TD:INT ratio at Lambeau and faces an Eagles team this week that is allowing the second-most YPA (7.9) over their last 3 games. Philadelphia yields a 68.2% completion rate on the road and still has a good enough run defense to force the Packers to go to the air early and often.
Value Play: Mitchell Trubisky ($5.4k)
The Lions fired Matt Patricia and will move forward with OC Darrell Bevell as head coach. Relieving Patricia won’t help a talent-deficient defense that ranks 25th in overall DVOA and coughs up the third-most YPG (407.3) this season. Detroit has allowed a league-high 8.2 YPA over their last 3 outings. The Lions have given up an above-average 22 passing TDs and that number would be higher if their run defense wasn’t so porous. Since the Bears have the worst rushing attack in football, Trubisky will be asked to execute in the red zone.
GPP Play: Taysom Hill ($6.3k)
While his actual performance has been shaky and ineffective at times, Taysom Hill remains a viable DFS play because of his rushing ability. The Saints defense is dominating and should provide a significant advantage in time of possession at Atlanta this Sunday. The Falcons run defense has been stout, but couldn’t stop Hill from bursting for 49 rushing yards and 2 TDs when these teams met in Week 11. If he manages to supplement his rushing stats with a decent passing day, Hill well pay off in tournaments.
Fade: Deshaun Watson ($7.5k)
Watson has been phenomenal over his last 2 starts, but should cool off this week with the Colts stingy defense coming to town. Will Fuller is suspended for a positive PED test and the Colts allow virtually no production to opposing TEs. Indy ranks 6th in DVOA pass defense and their pass rush can tee off with Houston averaging just 74 rushing YPG over their last 3 outings.
Best Play: Derrick Henry ($9.2k)
The Titans know where their bread is buttered and they won’t shy away from feeding Henry unless they fall way behind. The run-heavy Browns are unlikely to pull away from anyone, and their defense is fresh off a rough outing in which they allowed 5.6 YPC at Jacksonville. Henry is averaging 5.6 YPC over his last 3 outings and the Titans have the third-highest rush-play percentage (56.6%) during that span.
Value Play: Alvin Kamara ($7.0k)
Kamara is a relative value at his lowest price point of the season. He hasn’t dipped below $7900 at DK since Week 1 and for good reason, as he leads all RBs in receptions (68) and yards per route run (2.65). While Kamara has two modest lines since Taysom Hill took over under center, including a 13-45-TD game against the Falcons, that is too small of a sample size to conclude that he won’t maintain his usual level of production. Atlanta coughs up 5.7 receptions per game to RBs and Kamara could exceed value without even logging a carry.
GPP Play: Chris Carson ($6.3k)
Carson only played on 41% of offensive snaps in his return to action on Monday. He could start to separate from Carlos Hyde as a true lead back this week and capitalize on a plus matchup against the Giants. The G-Men are yielding 5.0 YPC over their last 3 games despite giving up just 2.7 YPC in a cupcake matchup against the Bengals last week. Carson averages 4.8 YPC and saw 14 carries or targets in the red zone over his first 5 games this season before getting injured.
Fade: Aaron Jones ($7.2k)
Jones returned from a calf injury to a full blown timeshare with Jamaal Williams. Jones played on 52.9% offensive snaps against the Bears on Sunday night and Williams handled 17 carries while playing on 47% of snaps. Most importantly, Williams turned 5 red zone carries into a TD, while Jones didn’t cash in on his 4 red zone opportunities. It’s tough to trust either back at this price tag against an Eagles team that yields the ninth-fewest DK PPG to RBs.
Best Play: Allen Robinson II ($6.7k)
Mitchell Trubisky and Allen Robinson could form a cost-effective stack with massive upside this week. The Lions are unlikely to respond well after their coach and GM were both fired and they don’t necessarily have the personnel necessary to stop A-Rob anyways. Lions top CB Desmond Trufant has allowed 29 receptions and 3 TDs over 6 games this season. Robinson ranks fourth among WRs in completed Air Yards (643) and he’s 7th in red zone targets (12), with Trubisky finding him twice near the goal line last week.
Value Play: Breshad Perriman ($3.9k)
The Raiders barely got off the plane for their Week 12 game at Atlanta and could drop another dud after flying back to Vegas this week. The Jets weak running game is even less of an option with La’Mical Perine (ankle) out and Sam Darnold is bound to play better in his second start since returning from a shoulder injury. Perriman averages 9.8 yards per target and has good upside against a Raiders team that yields 11.3 yards per catch.
GPP Play: Tyler Lockett ($7.4k)
The Giants have a true shutdown CB in James Bradberry and while he might not be good enough to call D.K. Metcalf an easy fade, Bradberry should force Russell Wilson to look towards his other top wideout. Lockett is a classic GPP play with 2 huge weeks mixed into modest production this season. That’s still averaged out to the eighth-most FPPG (17.7) among WRs and the 9th most receptions (70). The Giants have been vulnerable against slot receivers and rank 25th in DVOA pass defense.
Fade: DeAndre Hopkins ($7.8k)
Another week, another brutal matchup for Hopkins. He’ll match up against Jalen Ramsey, who allow the third-fewest FPs (0.2) per coverage snap and has only given up 1 TD all season. The Rams are allowing the fewest yards per reception (9.8) by a wide margin and rank 4th in DVOA pass defense.
Best Play: Dallas Goedert ($4.3k)
It may be necessary to go cheap at TE to afford high-priced RBs this week. Goedert is reasonably priced and could still wind up leading this weak position in PPR scoring. Over his last 2 starts, he’s drawn 16 targets (4 red zone targets) and tallied 162 receiving yards. Goedert averages 8.9 yards per target and Carson Wentz will take chances down the field with the Eagles likely to play from behind at Green Bay.
Value Play: Anthony Firkser ($2.5k)
With Jonnu Smith out, Firsker becomes an immediate value at minimum cost. The Harvard product has established a good rapport with Ryan Tannehill and is capable of producing a very good line in a plus matchup against a Browns team that’s allowed 663 receiving yards and 8 TDs to TEs this season.
GPP Play: Jimmy Graham ($3.6k)
These are strange times indeed when we’re potentially considering stacking two receivers with Mitch Trubisky. But Graham is a cheap option with TD upside in a juicy spot and the Bears are posting the highest pass-play rate (72.1%) over the past 3 weeks. Graham has seen the second-most red zone targets (16) among TEs and is still capable of gashing Detroit’s disjointed defense.
Fade: Evan Engram ($4.9k)
Engram rumbled over the Bengals for 129 yards on 6 catches last week, but he might not sniff that production this week. Daniel Jones (hamstring) is likely out and the Giants may be more conservative with Colt McCoy under center. Seattle allows the fourth-fewest receptions per game (3.7) to TEs with K.J. Wright, Bobby Wagner, and Jamal Adams all capable of switching onto oversized targets.