NBA Daily Plays Analysis 3/17

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 17, 2015 - Last Updated on June 27, 2018

Today we have half of the games we had yesterday, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t plenty of solid options in tonight’s five game slate. Below I’ll breakdown some of the players that I’m eyeing for this evening.


Point Guards


Chris Paul is clearly the best option at this position tonight. What’s most intriguing is that he’s less than $10,000 on DraftKings for the first time in six games. Granted his usage rate isn’t as high as it was when Blake Griffin was out, but Paul remains an elite option and is always capable a 50+ fantasy point game. The last time he faced the Hornets, he dropped 54.8 fantasy points. There’s not much to dislike about Paul tonight. If you’re not interested in spending top dollar on a point guard, but still want a quality player, perhaps Tyreke Evans will interest you. Evans has played well in his role as a point guard during Jrue Holiday’s absence, so tonight should be no different. It’s clear that playing this position suits him better than the shooting guard position. He’s topped 40 fantasy points in six of his last 10 games and offers both a high floor and ceiling, but doesn’t cost as much as a high-level player.


Keep an eye on Michael Carter-Williams heading into tonight’s game. If they announce that he will start, he’s also in play. An even more economical point guard that may be worth a look is Tony Parker. He has topped 40 fantasy points in four of his last five games and has a favorable matchup against the Knicks who have been getting burned by point guards in recent games. On DraftKings they’re surrounding 56.4 fantasy points per game in their last five games and on FanDuel 45.5. Parker’s price has seen an increase, but if he produces like he’s has been in recent games, he’ll have no problem exceeding value. Barring any random resting of players by Coach Gregg Popovich, we should see Parker on the court tonight lighting up the Knicks. Talking about the Knicks, I’ll touch on Alex Schved since he’s been putting up some solid numbers in recent games. He’s topped 30 fantasy points in four straight games on DraftKings, including a 50+ fantasy point performance against the Jazz. My concern is the inflation of his price as it’s increased by almost 100 percent in the last four games. With that said, it’s still at a relatively good number for him to hit value. He can fill up that stat sheet and that’s exactly what to look for in a player when setting up your lineups. If you’re looking for the cheapest but best bang for your buck, Beno Udrih may fit that description. Keep in mind; this is only if Mike Conley doesn’t play tonight. Udrih is less than $4,000 on both sites and only needs about 20 fantasy points to hit value. That is something he’s capable of doing if he gets the start and plays more minutes than he normally does.


Shooting Guard


James Harden is always in play and played well against the Magic in their last meeting. In that game, he scored 56.5 fantasy points. The Magic usually play solid defense against opposing shooting guards, but in their last five games they’ve allowed nearly 12 more fantasy points per game. Harden has topped 50 fantasy points in four of his last 10 games, including two 70+ fantasy point performances. The second most expensive shooting guard tonight is Victor Oladipo. He’s exactly $3,100 cheaper than Harden on both sites. While he doesn’t offer you the same ceiling that Harden does, Oladipo has still manage to score more than 40 fantasy points in four of the last seven games. In that span, he topped 50 fantasy points twice, including one 60+ fantasy point performance. If you don’t want to pay for Harden, I strongly suggest Oladipo. He did scored 54.5 fantasy points in his last meeting against the Rockets.


Both Khris Middleton and J.J. Reddick are also in play tonight, but I’m leaning more towards finding the cap room to fit in Oladipo or go a cheaper direction with a player like Danny Green. The issue with Green is that he’s a better fit for tournaments. He tends to have off nights more often than I’d like for a cash game player and also sees fewer minutes in random games. For example, last game he played just 15 minutes, but he did notch 19 fantasy points in that limited amount of time. Despite the concerns with his inconsistencies, you can look at it as, for a reasonable price of $5,600 on DraftKings and $5,500 on FanDuel, you’re getting a player who can easily top 30 fantasy points on any given night. The Knicks don’t defend well against shooting guards, so both the price and the matchup justify a start for Green. Not to mention, they allow the fourth most three pointers in the league to shooting guards, nearly three a game, which is Green’s bread and butter. However, in cash games it would be safer to go with the other two players I mentioned before.


Corey Brewer and Kentavious Caldewell-Pope are two cheap fliers, or “punt” plays, to take into consideration, if you’re feeling frisky. Brewer’s minutes fluctuate, but prior to the last game, he played 25 or more minutes in six consecutive games. In that span, he topped 30 fantasy points three times. He’s an erratic player so I’d only suggest him in tournaments. He’d also be fitting if you’re trying to stack two high-level players with high salaries on your team, as his $4,600 salary will allow some wiggle room. The same can be said about Caldwell-Pope, but he comes at a cheaper price and there’s a chance that two of the Pistons’ starters don’t suit up tonight, so there’s a chance his usage rate increases.


Small Forward


It’s not often that there are several solid options at this position in a five game slate, but tonight there are a handful of players that can plugged into your lineups. Kawhi Leonard, Tobias Harris, and Giannis Antetokounmpo are all in play. Leonard is the best option of the three, hence being the most expensive one. He averages 35 fantasy points per game, but has topped that in nine straight games on DraftKings. He’s established a pretty high floor and much like some of the high-end players, he’s capable of dropping 45+ fantasy points on any given night. Leonard has the Knicks on deck and should continue to play at a high level against a suspect defense. If you’re looking for steadiness at an affordable price, I introduce you to Tobias Harris. He is a model of consistency. He won’t get you 40+ points that often, but does provide 30+ fantasy points almost every game. What I like most about him is that he’s less than $7,000 on both sites. If that’s still too much for your budget and you want to be frugal at this position, I have some players that are cheaper than $6,000 on both sites that would be serviceable.


Trevor Ariza and Jeff Green come to mind. Ariza has topped 30 fantasy points in three of the last four games. The last time he faces the Magic he scored 28.3 fantasy points. He’s a streaky player, but he should be able to exploit this favorable matchup once again and have another productive outing. Green is a tad cheaper than Ariza is, and to be honest, I’d probably only start him ahead of Ariza if the difference in salary allows me to plug someone I really want into my lineup. Green is coming off of a poor performance, but prior to his last game, he had topped 20 fantasy points in nine straight games. One thing to consider is that the last time he played the Pistons he scored 43.8 fantasy points.


If you’re looking for an even cheaper option, Tony Allen is cheaper than $4,700 on both sites. He’s been shooting the ball well and that can change rather quickly, but his defense is always stout and he’s good for a couple of steals per game. He has also topped 21 fantasy points in three straight games. He’s not flashy or a sexy play, but hitting value is not out of reach for Allen.


Power Forwards


If we were playing Jeopardy, this is what screen would read: “This player will be heavily owned today, scored 70 fantasy points in the previous game vs. his opponent, and has scored 70 or more fantasy points in three of his last six games.” Who is Anthony Davis? That is correct. Need I say more? Davis is hands down the best option tonight. Other power forwards that are in play are Blake Griffin, Zach Randolph, Terrence Jones, and Tim Duncan. In Griffin’s first game back from injury, he scored 41.75 fantasy points, despite shooting 4-10 from the court. Prior to his injury, Griffin was no less than $9,400 in that 10 game stretch on DraftKings, so this $9,000 price can be considered somewhat of a bargain. Especially for the caliber of player he is. Griffin can top 50 fantasy points on any given night and averages over 40 fantasy points per game. It’s safe to say he offers a high floor, as well as a high ceiling.


Zach Randolph is very intriguing tonight for a couple of reasons. First off, he had a monster game against the Pistons in their last meeting. He scored 51.5 fantasy points and grabbed 22 boards in that game. It’s unrealistic to think he’s going to post those exact same numbers. However, that brings me to the second reason. The Pistons are not good defensively against power forwards and Greg Monroe has already been ruled out for today, so Randolph will face off against the backup power forward. If he was able to feast in the paint last time, imagine what he’ll do tonight. The Pistons other big man, Andre Drummond, is a game time decision. If he misses, it makes Randolph an even better play. Now that you’re aware that Greg Monroe is out,


Anthony Tolliver could be considered a shot in the dark type of play. He’s nearly minimum a salary and should play a decent amounts of minutes tonight. With that said, start him at your own risk and not in any cash games!




This position has several high-end options to choose from. Nicola Vucevic, DeAndre Jordan, and Marc Gasol are all in play. Of the three, I’m lean more towards Vucevic. He’s in the middle as far as price is concerned, but has the best performance of all three against their opponent tonight. The last time he played against the Rockets he topped 50 fantasy points. The Rockets are surrendering over 50 fantasy points per game to opposing centers in their last 10 games on both sites. Vucevic hasn’t had a 50+ point game in a while, but based on the matchup and his previous success against the Rockets, I wouldn’t be surprised if I saw one of those games from him tonight. Gasol also makes a great play tonight and the best part is he’s the cheapest of the three. He faces the Pistons that could very well be without their two big men. If that’s the case Gasol should be able to dominate the boards alongside Z-Bo. However, a potential blowout can be concerning. Despite that, Gasol fared well in his last meeting against the Pistons as he scored more than 40 fantasy points. The Pistons already allow the second most fantasy points per game to opposing centers and would be even more vulnerable without their two big men, making Gasol a very tempting play. Omer Asik and Zaza Pachulia are the cheap fliers to consider at this position.


Good luck to all tonight!

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