In this weekly column, we will identify the best plays, values, and tournament options for your NFL DFS lineups. We’ll also offer the best “fades” at each position, indicating which players to avoid when building your lineups.
Keep in mind that some of the plays offered are better for “Cash” games, i.e. 50/50, H2H, and Double-Up formats, which require a more conservative approach. Some plays are recommended for GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) tournaments where it’s necessary to take more risks in the hopes of separating from a large field. Those GPP plays can also be ideal for Best Ball formats where players with higher upside are valuable.
Keep an eye on injury news right up until kick-off since things can change quickly in the NFL. Please note any player listed as questionable may see limited action or not suit up at all if he doesn’t respond well in warm-ups.
NFL DFS WEEK 12 FANDUEL BEST CONTESTS
Top NFL DFS FanDuel Plays for Week 12
Best Play: Josh Allen ($8.6k)
Allen is an incredible athlete who could even be considered a triple threat after catching a TD in Week 10 at Arizona. As a multi-purpose red zone threat, Allen has great upside against a Chargers team that’s allowed a TD on 72.7% of opponent’s red zone trips this past 3 weeks. The Chargers run defense is particularly problematic near the goal line and they’ve yielded 3 rushing TDs to QBs this season.
Value Play: Teddy Bridgewater ($7.0k)
Bridgewater was a surprise scratch last Sunday, but is practicing in full and should be good to go at Minnesota this week. The Vikings brand new secondary has coughed up the second-most passing TDs (22) and seventh-most passing YPG (260.7) this season. Carolina’s offensive line ranks 23rd in RB Yards (3.94) produced and Mike Davis has been inefficient after his initial burst filling in for Christian McCaffrey. The Panthers should lean on their quick passing attack with D.J. Moore, Curtis Samuel, and Robby Anderson helping Teddy out by producing YAC.
GPP Play: Tom Brady ($7.9k)
The Chiefs defense is more exploitable on the ground and their fierce pass rush could disrupt Brady’s timing and lead to another dud. Yet we’ve seen the Hall of Famer bounce back nearly every time after a bad loss and he owns a 20:4 TD:INT ratio with a 108.2 passer rating over 7 appearances in the afternoon window this season. The Chiefs are giving up a league-high 88.9% TD conversion rate in the red zone over their last 3 contests and Brady has plenty of weapons.
Fade: Kyler Murray ($9.1k)
It’s scary to fade Murray in a plus matchup, especially after Deshaun Watson shredded the Patriots for 314 passing yards and 4 total TDs. But New England’s front seven is undersized and therefore a little more capable of containing Murray’s scrambles. The Pats are holding QBs to 4.0 YPC with 2 rushing TDs allowed and their staff will learn from how Seattle contained Murray and try to follow suit.
Best Play: Nick Chubb ($8.4k)
The Browns will likely play yet another game in wet conditions, which is just fine for the most run-heavy team in the league. Chubb is averaging 6.1 YPC since coming off I.R. in Week 10 and his ownership rate could be lower since he failed to find the end zone last week. But he’s a great bet for one or more scores against a Jags team that ranks 31st in total DVOA defense.
Value Play: Wayne Gallman Jr. ($5.7k)
The Giants (-6) are expected to control the action as the Bengals offense looks to move forward without Joe Burrow. Cincy ranks 23rd in DVA run defense and coughs up the fourth-most rushing YPG (136.2) this season. The Bengals have allowed the fourth-highest TD conversion rate in the red zone (71%) and Gallman has rushed for 5 scores over his last 4 appearances.
GPP Play: James Robinson ($7.4k)
Robinson is perhaps the only reliable play from the Jaguars offense. He’s handled 21.8 carries per game over his last 4 outings and leads all RBs with an 84.5% opportunity share. This offense can only trend upward with Mike Glennon taking over at QB for Jake Luton. Glennon averages a modest 6.4 YPA in his career and should look towards his back often. Robinson runs 16.7 routes per game and the Jags are expected to play from behind this Sunday.
Fade: Mike Davis ($7.2k)
Davis managed to find the end zone last Sunday, but he’s only played on 61.4% of offensive snaps the past 2 weeks. Rodney Smith mixed in for 29 yards on 8 carries in a juicy matchup against Detroit and could get more work if Davis struggles at all at Minnesota. The Vikings rank 9th in open field tackling and 11th against power run blocking. Their speedy LBs are unlikely to let Davis burn them in the passing game, which is how he derives most of his value.
Best Play: Keenan Allen ($8.2k)
Allen moves around the formation enough to avoid shadow coverage from Bills CB Tre’Davious White. The rest of Buffalo’s secondary is average and slot CB Taron Johnson is yielding 8.1 yards per target. Allen has drawn a league-high 112 targets and has secured 9-of-12 red zone targets this season. There is some uncertainty regarding the Chargers backfield with Austin Ekeler (hamstring) set to come off I.R. but there is no doubt where Justin Herbert will look in key passing situations.
Value Play: Jamison Crowder ($6.3k)
Crowder produced a dud last week with the Jets attacking the Chargers vulnerable run defense. The slot receiver should be heavily involved this week, though, since the Dolphins have two premier perimeter CBs (Xavien Howard, Byron Jones) and a below-average slot CB in Nik Needham. Crowder commands the ninth-highest target share (25.8%) among WRs and could get a big boost if Sam Darnold (shoulder) plays this Sunday.
GPP Play: DeVante Parker ($6.5k)
While the Dolphins might not play the same QB throughout Sunday’s tilt at the Jets, either passer is capable of thriving in this matchup. Parker has drawn the eye of both Tua and Fitzpatrick with 23 targets over his last 3 games, including 4 red zone targets in his last matchups with premier CBs Casey Heyward and A.J. Bouye. This week he faces a Jets team that ranks 31st in DVOA pass defense and is allowing the third-most receiving YPG (202.1) to opposing WRs this year.
Fade: Julio Jones ($8.0k)
Jones is banged up yet again with a hamstring issue. The Falcons offense line isn’t giving Matt Ryan much time and they’ll face Khalil Mack and a surging Raiders pass rush this week. The Raiders secondary is playing much better with only 6.7 YPA allowed over their last 3 games and they’re allowing a modest 20.2 completions per game on the road.
Best Play: Travis Kelce ($8.0k)
If you save salary elsewhere, Kelce is a sure fire top play with tons of upside in the league’s most dangerous passing attack. With Andy Reid moving Kelce all over the field, he leads all TEs in targets (89), Air Yards (740), and YAC (352). Tampa has forced the fifth-most targets (80) towards TEs and allowed 6 TDs to the position due to their aggressive defensive scheme.
Value Play: Hunter Henry ($5.9k)
Henry has found the end zone in consecutive games and has a solid floor even if he fails to make it 3 straight in a plus matchup. Buffalo has allowed a league-high 59 receptions and 642 receiving yards to TEs this season. Henry ranks 4th at his position in routes run (328), targets (65), and Air Yards (273). He has a great floor-ceiling combination in an offense led by a dynamic rookie QB.
GPP Play: Rob Gronkowski ($6.2k)
The Bucs will probably be playing from behind in the second half against the Chiefs. Brady will look towards receivers he trusts after Cameron Brate held up on his route a bit to cause a game-ending interception on Monday. Gronk has drawn at least one red zone target in 9 straight games and has played on over 80% of offensive snaps while running 26-plus routes in consecutive weeks. The Bucs should turn him loose with their Bye looming in Week 13.
Fade: Jared Cook ($5.8k)
Cook is basically mispriced on this slate with many outlets ranking him outside of the Top 20 in TE plays for Week 12. Taysom Hill targeted him once in his first start and doesn’t possess the touch necessary to hit Cook over the second level and spring him for the big plays that have made him GPP viable in the past.