NBA Daily Plays Analysis 3/16

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 16, 2015 - Last Updated on June 27, 2018

With 10 games going on tonight, there are a ton of options to choose from in our NBA daily plays. I’ll breakdown my plays for tonight’s games below. There are some players I may elaborate on that are game-time decisions, if that’s the case, keep a close eye on their status heading into the game. For a player that is a question mark in a later game, it may be better to stay away from him on Fan Duel as you’re unable to make changes to your roster once the first game of the night begins.


Point Guards


There are numerous high-end options to choose from at point guard tonight. Russell Westbrook, Kyrie Irving, Stephen Curry, Damian Lillard, and John Wall are all in play. Irving has the toughest matchup of the bunch, but also is the cheapest of the group. He stands out to me because LeBron James suffered an injury yesterday and is questionable for tonight. If James sits, Irving’s usage rate increases and his chance to hit value does the same. Irving has now scored 46 and 78.75 fantasy points in his last two games. I can see him carrying this momentum over against the Heat tonight. Stephen Curry also has a great matchup against the Lakers tonight. He’s averaging 53 fantasy points per game against them this season in the three games they’ve played. The only concern would be a blowout, but that was the case yesterday when he played against the Knicks and Curry still managed to score 55 fantasy points. The good news is that he’s averaging over 30 minutes per game against the Lakers. Lastly, the Lakers surrender the most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards on both sites. If you’re planning on saving some of your salary for other positions, George Hill and Jeff Teague are two mid-level point guards to consider. Hill faces the Raptors who allow 50 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards on DraftKings and 40.6 on Fanduel. He’s topped 32 points in six of his last nine games and is less than $6,900 on both sites. That includes a 55 and 49.75 fantasy point game. He’s capable of 30+ on almost any night and offers a pretty decent floor as well. Teague is in the same price range as Hill, but has an even better matchup as he takes on Sacramento. The Kings allow the second most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards on both sites. With Kyle Korver and Al Horford already ruled out for tonight, Teague can see a bump up in usage rate. Teague rested yesterday so he should have fresh legs today. The last time he played against the Kings, he scored 48.8 fantasy points. One guy to keep an eye on is Isaiah Thomas who is a game time decision as he’s dealing with a back injury. He has a good matchup and has been successful against the Sixers this season. He’s averaged 35.9 fantasy points per game against them in the two games they’ve played. If he’s a go for tonight, I’d take my chances with him in tournaments. Moreover, here are some value plays tonight; Ray McCallum, Jameer Nelson, Zach LaVine, and Ish Smith. For the most part these guards will cost no more than $5,300 on both sites. Nelson is set to get the start tonight as Ty Lawson will not play (rest). He’s $4,000 on DraftKings and $3,800 on Fan Duel. He has topped 30 fantasy points in back-to-back games and should have no issue hitting value tonight. LaVine should only be considered if Ricky Rubio misses tonight’s game. Otherwise stay away. McCallum played well in his last meeting against the Hawks and continues play a ton of minutes. He’s cheaper than $5,000 on DraftKings and should be able to hit value which is 26.4 fantasy points.

Shooting Guard


Dwaaaaaayne Waaaaaaade” as they say in the American Airlines Arena during games when he scores a basket. If you watch tonight’s game, there’s a good chance you’ll hear it often. He’s the most expensive shooting guard on both sites, but isn’t too expensive where he would hurt your salary cap. Wade dropped 51.3 fantasy points in his last meeting against the Cavs. He averages 35.8 fantasy points per game for the season, but has topped 36 fantasy points in seven consecutive games. The Cavs don’t defend well against shooting guards either as they allow the fourth most fantasy points per game to that position. He’s my favorite play at shooting guard tonight. If you’re not excited about Wade tonight, both DeMar DeRozan and Klay Thompson are in play. They are a tad cheaper than Wade is and have also fared well against their opponents this season. If you’re trying to be more conservative at this position, someone like J.R. Smith should be considered if LeBron James doesn’t play. Keep in mind; he’s strictly a tournament play as he is far too inconsistent for cash. Here are his fantasy points on DraftKings for his last five games: 42.5, 13.75, 38.5, 19.5, and 26.25. As you can see, he can give you a huge game, but also a pretty poor performance, but if James sits, then Smith’s usage rate should increase. If you’re still searching for an even cheaper option, Kent Bazemore is your guy. With Kyle Korver out tonight, Bazemore should see more play time. He’s just $3,400 on DraftKings and $4,100 on FanDuel. He too is streaky, but you’re not investing much financially and could spread the money left over throughout the remainder of your lineup. Besides the price, another incentive with Bazemore is that he has a great matchup against the Kings who struggle defensively against shooting guards.

Small Forward


If LeBron James ends up playing, he’s always in play. We know what he brings to the table when he’s on the court, so there’s no need to elaborate much on him. After him, Gordon Hayward is the next best option. He will score points, drain threes, and get steals. He was on a three game hot streak where he topped 38 fantasy points, but had a subpar game on Saturday against the Pistons. A bounce back game isn’t out of the question for him tonight. A tad more economical is Nicolas Batum who is playing like a possessed man lately, at least in a fantasy point of view. In his last 10 games, Batum has topped 30 fantasy points in seven games, including four 40+ fantasy point performances. This is a hot streak I suggest you ride. At an affordable price on both sites, he makes a real solid play tonight. Chandler Parsons is in the same price range as Batum and is also a solid option for tonight. He faces the Thunder which he’s played well against this season, averaging over 30 fantasy points per game. This game has shootout implications as it’s the highest over/under of the evening. Parsons is capable of dropping 35+ fantasy points on any given night and the potential pace of this game can lead to that type of night for him. I’ll move on to some of the cheaper options at this position, Tony Allen and Rodney Hood. Allen faces the Nuggets who are actually the worst defensive team against small forwards. They allow the most fantasy points per game to small forwards on both sites. Allen won’t score a ton of real points, but will knock down some threes and get you some steals. With some of the Nuggets starters resting tonight, steals can be something that Allen comes by often. You might be asking yourself why I’m recommending two “small forwards” from the same team in Hood and Hayward, but Hood is listed as the Jazz’s starting shooting guard in their lineup. He’s topped 22 fantasy points in three consecutive game, but remains at a very economical price. He only needs 22.6 fantasy points to hit value and that should not be difficult for him. If you’re looking to be frugal at this position, Hood is your guy.


Power Forwards


Once again this position is saturated with talent. LaMarcus Aldridge, Derrick Favors, Kevin Love, and Paul Milsap are all in play. Love and Milsap rested on Sunday so they have the fresh legs. With that said, Favors has the best matchup of the bunch. The Hornets are down to their third big man, so Favors should have his way in the paint tonight. He’s topped 40 fantasy points in five of his last nine games. He’s playing really well as of late and should continue to do so tonight. He’s one of my favorite plays tonight. If you’re trying to spend a little less, then Draymond Green, Zach Randolph, or Nerlens Noel would be more fitting. Green has a great matchup against the Lakers, but the fact that this game can get out of hand quickly is concerning. Not to mention he hasn’t fared well against them this season. With that said, he’s always capable of 40+ fantasy points and could be a good tournament option for those looking for a high upside play. Green has topped 40 fantasy points in five of his last 10 games. Randolph is my favorite of the three for a couple of reasons. The Nuggets are terrible defensively against power forwards and the last time they played, Randolph scored 42 fantasy points. I’ll take that for $7,000 on DraftKings. He also offers a steady floor and could be played in cash games as well. For your narrative street play tonight, Thaddeus Young will face his former team and has been playing decent as of late. He’s logged 30+ minutes in three of the last four games and has scored more than 29 fantasy points in each of those games. So long as the minutes are there, so will his production. Brandon Bass and Ed Davis can also be considered, but I’m leaning more towards them on DraftKings solely because of their price tag. Bass is averaging six more fantasy points per game than his yearly average against the Sixers. He’s been playing in recent games as he’s topped 25 fantasy points in four of six games. With a good matchup and consistent play as of late, it’s fair to say he is in for another good evening.



I will continue to say that Boogie under $10,000 should be played almost in every lineup. On paper this may look like a bad matchup for him, but as I mentioned before, the Hawks will be without Al Horford tonight. That means Pero Antic will be defending Cousins tonight – good luck with that. Cousins had an off game in his last meeting with the Hawks, but managed a double-double and 41.5 fantasy points. He should be able to dominate under the boards tonight. Rudy Gobert, Hassan Whiteside, and Marc Gasol are some more economical options if you decide to stay away from Boogie tonight. Each of them should be able post up a nice stat line against their opponents. Gobert has topped 40 points in three consecutive games and will play the Hornets tonight, who are down to their third big man as I mentioned above. Some mid-level guys I’m eyeing tonight are Brook Lopez and Enes Kanter.  Lopez has a good matchup against the Timberwolves who allow the third most fantasy points per game to opposing centers on both sites. Despite a poor game on Saturday, he’s averaging over 30 fantasy points in his last five games. Kanter continues to play well as he’s recorded a double-double and topped 40 fantasy points in three of the last four games. The Mavs have been much more susceptible against opposing centers as of late. This is a perfect scenario for a center who is on a mini hot streak. A punt play I’m throwing out there tonight is Kelly Olynyk. The major concern here is how many minutes he actually plays, but in two games against the Sixers this season, he’s averaging 35 fantasy points and 27 minutes per game. He’s played at least 20 minutes in four consecutive games. The Sixers are awful against bigs, so even in a limited role, Olynyk has a shot to exceed value.

Good luck to all tonight!

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