Week 11 NFL Player Props: Best Odds, Picks And Predictions

Written By Brett Gibbons on November 19, 2020

This is as good as it gets: Arizona and Seattle are slugging it out for the lead in the NFC West. The Seahawks are trying to avoid being swept on the season by the Cardinals, and the Cardinals are fighting to keep their 2-0 in-division record alive. In their last matchup, Kyler Murray and Russell Wilson each threw for 360 or more yards and each led their team in rushing yards.

Murray and the Cardinals are coming off the most thrilling play in the NFL this season and the Seahawks are heading into it on a two-game losing streak. The last matchup was a 37-34 overtime thriller that took years off the lives of many fans. Throw in a 57.5 point total, and you’ve got a recipe for another barn-burner.

Below are the picks for this week’s best player prop bets in an intensifying playoff race.

Player Prop Picks

Kyler Murray: OVER 280.5 passing yards (-111)

Last time these two teams met, Kyler Murray combined for 427 yards, including 360 of them through the air. Like his counterpart Russell Wilson, Murray put on a clinic. He’s also riding high after the Cardinals’ Hail Mary win over Buffalo a week ago. Despite only throwing for 245 yards that game, Murray found the end zone three times. He’s on fire this season and the Seahawks’ defense won’t be the team to douse that fire.

Seattle’s defense is historically bad and is on pace to break the NFL record for most passing yards allowed in a season by over 1,000 yards. Wilson will also look to the air frequently in this game, turning it into another shootout. Should the game turn into a who-scores-last contest, Murray is going to get ample passing opportunities. To keep pace with the Seahawks’ offense (who’s coming off a frustrating game themselves), Kyler Murray is going to have to have an MVP-esque performance. Win or lose, he’s going to throw for a ton of yards.

D.K. Metcalf: OVER 77.5 receiving yards (-112)

Last time out, D.K. Metcalf was stifled for just two catches and 23 yards. He was only targeted five times in that game. Meanwhile, Tyler Lockett racked up 200 yards and three touchdowns on an insane 20 targets; it was clear what the gameplan was for Seattle. Fast forward to this week, and Metcalf is primed for a huge bounceback. A 55-yard turnaround is a big ask, but Metcalf is one of the most dangerous receivers in the NFL and has hung his hat on big plays this season.

Since 2016, Seattle and Arizona games have finished within one score seven of nine times. This won’t be a blowout and both quarterbacks will be throwing often. Lockett is listed as questionable, but is expected to play. With such an injury designation, it’s hard to imagine he’ll repeat his 20-target game from last time. Metcalf’s target share will go up– no doubt about that. He averages eight targets a game and has only been held under 78 yards receiving twice this season (in fact, he’s only been held under 90 yards twice).

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