In this weekly column, we will identify the best plays, values, and tournament options for your NFL DFS lineups. We’ll also offer the best “fades” at each position, indicating which players to avoid when building your lineups.
Keep in mind that some of the plays offered are better for “Cash” games, i.e. 50/50, H2H, and Double-Up formats, which require a more conservative approach. Some plays are recommended for GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) tournaments where it’s necessary to take more risks in the hopes of separating from a large field. Those GPP plays can also be ideal for Best Ball formats where players with higher upside are valuable.
Keep an eye on injury news right up until kick-off since things can change quickly in the NFL. Please note any player listed as questionable may see limited action or not suit up at all if he doesn’t respond well in warm-ups.
NFL DFS WEEK 11 FANDUEL BEST CONTESTS
Top NFL DFS FanDuel Plays for Week 11
Best Play: Lamar Jackson ($8.4k)
The reigning MVP has disappointed this season and his price tag remains depressed. Jackson is a great per-dollar option in a home game against a Titans team that ranks 25th in DVOA pass defense with the worst adjusted sack rate (3.2%) in football. Jackson is 43-for-57 passing over the past 2 weeks in road matchups with Indy’s elite pass defense and in a deluge at the Patriots. The Titans are coughing up 5.0 YPC on the road and the Ravens will exploit their poor defensive line play with their read-option attack.
Value Play: Cam Newton ($7.6k)
The Patriots have the second-highest rush-play percentage (58.46%) in the NFL over their last 3 games and that has put a cap on Newton’s ceiling. Yet he’s maintained a solid floor with 4 rushing TDs during that span and is a good bet for more rushing stats this week against Houston’s league-worst run defense. The Texans are also awful in pass defense (22nd in DVOA) and the conditions will be much more favorable for passing attacks in Houston than they’ve been for New England the past 3 weeks.
GPP Play: Teddy Bridgewater ($7.2k)
Bridgewater has been limited in practice with a sore knee, but should be good to go on Sunday. He’s now the active leader in completion percentage (72.1%) with Drew Brees on the shelf and faces a Lions team that ranks 23rd in DVOA pass defense. A league-high 42.7% of completions against Detroit have gone for first downs and the Lions have coughed up 34 pass plays of 20-plus yards. With Christian McCaffrey (ankle) out, Bridgewater has multiple paths to topping 20 FD points for the third straight week.
Fade: Matt Ryan ($7.8k)
A contest between the Falcons and Saints used to be a guaranteed shootout, but that hasn’t been the case recently. Five of the past six meetings between these division rivals have gone under the implied total and Ryan has struggled in several of those games. He’s been sacked 24 times over their last five meetings and managed just 182 passing yards and averages just 6.72 yards per attempt over his last tests against New Orleans. The Saints are allowing a league-low 51 rushing YPG over their last 3 contests and could shut down Atlanta’s one-dimensional offense.
Best Play: Nick Chubb ($8.1k)
If you can squeeze Dalvin Cook ($10.5k) into lineups without sacrificing upside elsewhere, great. But Chubb might be the best RB play without a crippling price tag this week. He returned from a sprained MCL to rush for 126 yards against Houston’s porous run defense and will face an Eagles team that’s giving up even more rushing YPG (156.5) than Houston over the past 3 weeks. The Browns offensive line produces the third-most RB Yards (5.15) and Chubb is averaging 6.07 YPC behind that stout unit.
Value Play: Salvon Ahmed ($5.6k)
It’s no secret how the Dolphins are going to try to win under Brian Flores. They lean on elite play from their defense and special teams and play conservative offensive football. That approach made Myles Gaskin a fantastic Cash play before he was placed on I.R. and Ahmed stepped into that role with a 77.2% snap share in Week 10. He handled 7 of his 21 carries in the red zone and converted with a 1-year TD plunge. And Denver’s usually solid run defense has been awful lately with the second-most rushing YPG (166.7) allowed over their last 3 games.
GPP Play: Nyheim Hines ($6.1k)
Hines has been a boom-bust option all season but something seemed to click for him last Thursday as he erupted for 115 scrimmage yards and 2 TDs against the Titans. He’s the Colts best receiving back by far, so Hines has elite upside in the event Indy falls behind against the Packers. If Indy’s offensive line continues to crush the competition, Hines should also be productive against a Packers team that’s coughed up the second-most rushing TDs (11) to RBs and allows the ninth-most total YPG (335.9) this season.
Fade: Alvin Kamara ($9.7k)
Kamara is our top play at DraftKings this week, but is not a recommended option at an elevated price tag under FanDuel’s scoring system. While he should be featured heavily in the short passing game, Kamara will face a loaded box quite often with Drew Brees (ribs) out. The Falcons rank 7th in DVOA rush defense and have allowed a league-low 3 rushing TDs to RBs this season. Taysom Hill is also a candidate to vulture Kamara’s touches on the goal line.
Best Play: Terry McLaurin ($7.3k)
In only his second season, McLaurin has produced elite numbers despite facing shadow coverage from many of the best DBs in the game. He leads the NFL in YAC (381) and will be given plenty of opportunities to make plays in the short passing game with Alex Smith under center. This week he’ll face a Bengals team that allows the fifth-most yards per catch (11.9) and has allowed 21 passing TDs on the year.
Value Play: Curtis Samuel ($5.6k)
The Panthers started 3-0 without Christian McCaffrey, but have sputtered offensively ever since with Mike Davis getting shut down routinely. Samuel may handle a few more carries this week in a plus matchup against Detroit’s 27th-ranked rush defense. Samuel lines up all over the formation and should get opportunities to burn struggling DBs Jeff Okudah and Justin Coleman.
GPP Play: Chase Claypool ($6.4k)
Claypool is a monster in the red zone. The rookie out of Notre Dame isn’t just a traditional jump ball threat, either. He can burn slower DBs on crossing routes and is a capable rusher on jet sweeps. This week he faces a Jags team that ranks 31st in DVOA pass defense and yields the tenth-most FD PPG (32.6) to WRs. With the Steelers rushing attack struggling, Claypool is becoming their best bet to score inside the 10-yard line.
Fade: Davante Adams ($9.5k)
Adams has produced big lines in tough matchups before, including against former Vikings top CB Xavier Rhodes. Now that Rhodes is the Colts top cover man, he’s getting much more help from the league’s fourth-rated pass defense. Rhodes has the No. 1 coverage rating in the NFL (per PlayerProfiler) and has only yielded 19 receptions with 1 TD allowed this season. Even Adams will have a tough time meeting value in this matchup.
Best Play: Taysom Hill ($4.5k)
Hill represents such a fantastic value this week that he’s reason alone to increase your exposure at FanDuel. Unfortunately, the Saints didn’t name Jameis Winston as their official starter, which will make Hill’s ownership close to 100 percent. Hill has 20 carries, 3 receptions, and 2 completions over the past 3 weeks as the Saints Swiss army knife. His usage is bound to increase with Sean Payton dipping into his bag of tricks to compensate for the absence of Brees.
Value Play: Austin Hooper ($5.1k)
Weather has forced the Browns to take an extremely run-heavy approach in 2 of their past 3 games. Hooper was only active for the most recent of those contests and caught just 1-of-2 targets for 11 yards against Houston. He should be more involved in another plus matchup this week against an Eagles team that yields the second-most receptions per game (5.9) to opposing TEs. Hooper doesn’t have much upside in the Browns offense, but his floor will return to a comfortable range now that he’s recovered from his appendectomy.
GPP Play: Jonnu Smith ($5.8k)
The Ravens DBs are simply elite and they should be all over A.J. Brown and Corey Davis this week. That will force Ryan Tannehill to look towards his athletic TE, Smith, who has a rushing TD in addition to the 4 red zone targets he’s drawn over the past 2 weeks. Smith leads all TEs in target share (28.2%) in the red zone and has a decent matchup.
Fade: T.J. Hockenson ($6.0k)
The Panthers young LB corps has played very well this season and are helping Carolina’s D allow the third-fewest yards per reception (10.2). While they’ve been burned by TEs in recent weeks, Hockenson is not necessarily a premier threat with the 23rd-best separation rate (1.67 yards) among TEs. He’s dealing with a toe injury and just came up with a clunker in a plus matchup against Washington.