This week is meant to sort out the contenders from the pretenders, beginning as early as Thursday’s matchup between the Colts and Titans. Some of the best matchups include the Bills vs the Cardinals, the 49ers vs the Saints and the Seahawks vs the Rams. Teams like Washington are trying to find their footing after losing Kyle Allen for the rest of the season to injury. Teams like Cleveland and Minnesota are holding onto pivotal momentum and are trying to keep themselves from falling out of the playoff race.
Below are the picks for this week’s best player prop bets in an intensifying playoff race.
Player Prop Picks
Robert Woods: OVER 59.5 receiving yards (-112)
The Seahawks bleed production to receivers. They’re on pace to break the NFL record for passing yards allowed by almost 1,000 yards. There’s not many more metrics that need to be brought forward than that. Just once this season have the Seahawks not given up at least 59.5 receiving yards to two players just once this year (three players four times), and they’ve never held a leading receiver under the mark. Expect plenty of balls to go Woods’ way this week.
Jared Goff: OVER 2.5 touchdown passes (+162)
Similar to the previous prop, the Seahawks are almost better off not fielding a defensive secondary than what they got. Just twice this year has Seattle held an opposing quarterback to under three passing touchdowns (however, both of which games came on the road). With the Seahawks’ ability to score in buckets, expect the Rams to go to the air often. With such a talent receiving corps around Goff, he’ll find the end zone a few times this Sunday.
Aaron Rodgers: OVER 2.5 touchdown passes (+153)
The Jaguars aren’t on pace to break any records, but they’ve had a tough time defending the pass. They’re giving up the fifth-most production to quarterbacks this season (yards, touchdowns, minimal turnovers) despite only being passed on the sixth-least in the league. Their staggering efficiency allowed is why Aaron Rodgers is going to feast on Sunday. Rodgers has thrown for three or more touchdown passes in six of his eight games, including his last three in a row. With no defensive back to shadow Davante Adams, Rodgers is going to have his way all game long.
Tyler Boyd: to score TD (+200)
The Steelers have one of the best pass rushes in the NFL and the best defense all around. This game should be a blowout on paper, but the point spread has remained in check. Bottom line: this game is going to be closer than expected. The Steelers are giving up the 11th-least yards to receivers this season, but the fifth-most receiving touchdowns. Tyler Boyd has established himself as the favorite target for Joe Burrow– someone he’ll go to frequently to avoid Pittsburgh’s pass rush. He’s scored in his last two games and will be in a good spot to make it three in a row.