In this weekly column, we will identify the best plays, values, and tournament options for your NFL DFS lineups. We’ll also offer the best “fades” at each position, indicating which players to avoid when building your lineups.
Keep in mind that some of the plays offered are better for “Cash” games, i.e. 50/50, H2H, and Double-Up formats, which require a more conservative approach. Some plays are recommended for GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) tournaments where it’s necessary to take more risks in the hopes of separating from a large field. Those GPP plays can also be ideal for Best Ball formats where players with higher upside are valuable.
Keep an eye on injury news right up until kick-off since things can change quickly in the NFL. Please note any player listed as questionable may see limited action or not suit up at all if he doesn’t respond well in warm-ups.
NFL DFS WEEK 10 FANDUEL BEST CONTESTS
Top NFL DFS FanDuel Plays for Week 10
Best Play: Kyler Murray ($8.8k)
Rushing stats are huge in FanDuel contests and Murray is on pace for a QB record 16 rushing TDs and 1,086 rushing yards this season. He’s improved as a passer since Christian Kirk’s healthy return and faces a Bills team that yields a healthy 7.6 yards per attempt while allowing 24 pass plays of 20-plus yards this season. The Bills have also given up 4 rushing TDs to QBs and Murray faces their struggling rush defense on the fast turf in Arizona.
Value Play: Drew Brees ($7.6k)
After a quiet start to the season, Brees is red hot with a 119.7 passer rating and an 8:0 TD:INT ratio over his last 3 outings. Getting Michael Thomas back will only help the Saints offense and Brees is almost always reliable at home, where he completed 77.5% of his passes with a 17:3 TD:INT ratio last season. The Niners injury-depleted defense was ravaged by Aaron Rodgers last Thursday and remains shorthanded this week. But the Niners offense is in much better position to keep pace with Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk off the COVID-19 list.
GPP Play: Tua Tagovailoa ($6.8k)
Tua flashed his upside last week in a duel with Kyler Murray and could be equally effective in a battle with this year’s likely Offensive Player of the Year. Justin Herbert has the Chargers ranked 6th in DVOA pass offense and 4th in neutral situation pace. The Dolphins D/ST has sapped Tua’s value by forcing turnovers and scoring, but Herbert is unlikely to make those mistakes. That is why Chargers opponents are posting the sixth-highest pass-play rate (61.9%) this season and scoring 27 PPG. Tua is a dual-threat bargain in a potential shootout.
Fade: Russell Wilson ($8.9k)
The Rams are one of the few teams capable of containing Wilson and his prolific receivers. Jalen Ramsey should do a decent job of shadowing D.K. Metcalf and Troy Hill is fast enough to run with Tyler Lockett. The Rams allow a league-best 6.3 yards per attempt and rank first in opponent’s Drive Success Rate. Aaron Donald and company are 9th in adjusted sack rate (7.5%) and the Seahawks offense is one dimensional with Chris Carson banged up.
Best Play: Aaron Jones ($8.8k)
Last Thursday, the Packers used a spread attack to eviscerate the 49ers struggling secondary. This Sunday, we should see more of a balanced attack from Aaron Rodgers and company. Jones is a good bet for at least one score against a Jags team that ranks 23rd in DVOA rush defense and allows the sixth-most FD PPG (24.7) to opposing backs. An underrated receiver, Jones is fifth among RBs with a 15.9% target share. So he has upside in the passing game as well against Jacksonville’s poor defense.
Value Play: Zack Moss ($5.8k)
Moss is still fixed at this price point despite his growing role in an explosive offense. Devin Singletary managed just 2.0 YPC against the Seahawks last Sunday and Moss is averaging a solid 4.6 yards per touch this season. He’s running 10.5 routes per game and has a stranglehold on goal line work with 8 red zone carries over the past 2 weeks. Arizona allows a healthy 126.1 rushing YPG and has given up 7 TDs to RBs over 8 games.
GPP Play: Antonio Gibson ($6.1k)
Ron Rivera effectively benched Gibson after an early fumble last week, but could give his rookie another chance to carry the mail in Detroit on Sunday. The Lions are extremely exploitable on the ground with the third-most rushing YPG (148.1) allowed and the most TDs (15) allowed to RBs this season. J.D. McKissic is a threat to steal Gibson’s work in the passing game, but Detroit has generally done better against receiving backs than power attacks and Washington (+4) is capable of hanging tough in this matchup.
Fade: Josh Jacobs ($7.5k)
Jacobs didn’t appear fully healthy in Week 9 and lost significant work to Devontae Booker ($5.2k), who will be itching for a crack at his former team this Sunday. The Broncos are unlikely to yield much to either back considering they rank 13th in DVOA rush defense and allow 4.3 YPC this season. Denver has only given up 3 rushing TDs to RBs all season.
Best Play: Stefon Diggs ($7.9k)
Diggs feasted on the Seahawks secondary last week with 9 catches for 118 yards. Since he didn’t find the end zone, he remains affordable for another prime matchup. The Cardinals were without Byron Murphy (COVID) and Dre Kirkpatrick (thigh) last week, leaving them thin at CB aside from Patrick Peterson. Diggs moves all around the formation for Buffalo and has drawn the most targets (79) with the most Completed Air Yards (545) in the NFL this season. While he’s capable of producing against Peterson, Diggs should get plenty of opportunities against backups and potentially hobbled DBs in what should be a high-scoring affair.
Value Play: Tim Patrick ($5.5k)
The Broncos could be missing Noah Fant (ankle) and just lost backup TE Albert Okwuegbunam (knee) for the year. Patrick is technically a WR, but the 6-foot-4, 208-pound Utah product is a matchup problem for smaller CBs or slower LBs. He’s lined up in the slot on 47 snaps this year and could be used as a “move” TE if Fant is out this week. The Raiders rank 26th in DVOA pass defense and Patrick has drawn 21 targets over 3 games since Drew Lock returned to the lineup.
GPP Play: Christian Kirk ($6.3k)
We’re shying away from DeAndre Hopkins this week since he draws a brutal matchup against elite CB Tre’Davious White. But the rest of the Bills secondary is exploitable and Kirk has been capitalizing on the extra attention paid to Hopkins with 26 targets, 316 Air Yards, and 5 TDs over his last 4 appearances. Kirk averages 15.4 yards per catch and 74.7 Air Yards per game, so the potential is there in a game with a 56.5-point implied total.
Fade: Michael Thomas ($8.5k)
Thomas was able to get back on the field for the Saints in Week 9, but only played on 54.2% of offensive snaps and ran 27 routes. This week he’ll see plenty of savvy veteran Jason Verrett, who ranks 26th in coverage rating and allows a modest 90.2 passer rating when targeted. Drew Brees is spreading the ball around and will continue to utilize his TEs and Alvin Kamara while Thomas works his way back into his All-Pro form.
Best Play: Rob Gronkowski ($6.1k)
The Bucs will almost certainly bounce back in Carolina after getting whooped by the Saints and Gronk should get involved in the party. Brady’s old buddy leads all TEs in deep targets (9) and has drawn 7 red zone targets over his last 4 outings. Gronk therefore has the most Unrealized Air Yards (281) at his position, which makes him an appealing GPP option. The Panthers have allowed the fourth-most receptions (48) to TEs and are vulnerable at LB following Luke Kuechly’s unexpected retirement.
Value Play: Hunter Henry ($5.5k)
The Dolphins have been so stingy against WRs since getting Byron Jones (groin) back in the lineup that we should expect the Chargers to utilize their TEs frequently in this matchup. That game script still hasn’t paid off for Henry lately with Donald Parnham and others reaping the benefits, but he should see positive regression soon. Henry is 7th among TEs in routes run (255) and fifth in snap share (88.5%) with 26 targets over his last 4 games. We’re shying away from Keenan Allen and Mike Williams due to their matchups and expect Henry to see more work.
GPP Play: Mike Gesicki ($5.3k)
Like Henry, Gesicki has watched his backups produce in key spots with Adam Shaheen catching a TD last week. While it may take some time for Gesicki to develop a rapport with Tua, yet he could really take off once he’s on the same page with the rookie. Gesicki is an extremely athletic TE with the highest share of Air Yards (26.2%) at his position and the Chargers are coughing up the eighth-most FD PPG (12.2) to TEs.
Fade: Jared Cook ($6.0k)
The Niners are allowing the fewest receiving YPG (34.1) to TEs thanks in part to the elite coverage of LB Fred Warner. Cook might draw coverage from Warner while Josh Hill and/or Adam Troutman capitalize in red zone situations. He only has a 12.3% target share in the Saints balanced attack and is a longshot for a big play against this defense.