The 2020-21 NFL season is in full swing and there are huge Week 10 DFS contests being offered on DraftKings with big prize money up for grabs.
In this weekly column, we will identify the best plays, values, and tournament options for your NFL DFS lineups. We’ll also offer the best “fades” at each position, indicating which players to avoid when building your lineups.
Keep in mind that some of the plays offered are better for “Cash” games, i.e. 50/50, H2H, and Double-Up formats that require a more conservative approach. Some plays are recommended for GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) tournaments where it’s necessary to take more risk in the hopes of separating from a large field. Those GPP plays can also be ideal for Best Ball formats where players with higher upside are valuable.
For those interested in the DFS Single-Game Slate contests, here’s a quick recap:
In the “Showdown” mode on DraftKings, there are five utility spots and a “Captain” slot, who receives 1.5x multiplier for all DK points accrued. Pricing differs for players when selected in the Captain spot versus the FLEX spots, with all players required to fit under a $50k salary cap. All options are in play from QBs, RBs and WRs, to kickers and D/ST from each team.
Keep an eye on injury news right up until kickoff since things can change quickly in the NFL. Please note any player listed as questionable may see limited action or not suit up at all if he doesn’t respond well in warm-ups.
NFL DFS WEEK 10 DRAFTKINGS BEST CONTESTS
Top NFL DFS DraftKings Plays for Week 10
Best Play: Russell Wilson ($7.7k)
The masses will be all over Kyler Murray ($8.0k) for good reason, but Wilson is still the MVP frontrunner and he’s bound to bounce back after a 4-turnover performance in Buffalo. The Rams defensive line is stout on the interior and their secondary is stingy on the perimeter. Wilson can negate both of those advantages by escaping the pocket and finding his speedy WRs over the middle. He’s tossed 10 TDs with a 118.3 passer rating over his last 4 meetings with the Rams and is seeing far more volume this year thanks to Seattle’s defensive issues.
Value Play: Tua Tagovailoa ($5.6k)
After dueling Kyler Murray, Tua and the Dolphins offense will have to be sharp again this week in a matchup against Justin Herbert. The Chargers are coughing up the third-most DK PPG to opposing QBs and have faced the sixth-highest pass-play rate (61.9%) while coughing up 27 PPG. With Myles Gaskin (knee) out, the Dolphins haven’t found much success on the ground, and Tua has enough athleticism to improve on the 35 rushing yards he posted in his second start.
GPP Play: Jared Goff ($6.5k)
Any QB has a chance to go off against a Seahawks secondary that is brutal in coverage. Seattle has only held one team under 300 passing yards and that came on a rainy night when the Vikings crushed them on the ground. Goff is averaging 331.8 passing YPG over his last 4 meetings with Seattle and has notable home/road splits with a 95.0 career passer rating and 64.4% completion rate in home games.
Fade: Aaron Rodgers ($7.9k)
Rodgers cruised to 31.9 DK points in a predictable blowout last week and could be similarly efficient with the Packers (-13.5) expected to cruise at home this week. The Jaguars rank dead last in DVOA pass defense and struggle to generate pressure, but the Packers might establish more balance in Week 10 with Aaron Jones (calf) back to full speed and Jamaal Williams (COVID) eligible to return. Rodgers has a solid floor and limited upside in this plush matchup.
Best Play: Mike Davis ($4.0k)
With Christian McCaffrey (shoulder) out, Davis ($4.0k) becomes a slam dunk value in a high-volume role. The Panthers utilize their backs as receivers more than any other team and Davis dominated work with CMC out earlier this season. The veteran runs 22.1 routes per game and has the second-most receptions (43) among RBs. He’s a far cry from McCaffrey, but Davis has evaded the fourth-most tackles (49) among RBs this season. Tampa can shut down traditional rushing attacks, which could give Davis even more value as a PPR machine in a checkdown environment.
Value Play: J.D. McKissic ($4.9k)
Washington moved away from rookie RB Antonio Gibson after he lost a fumble and allowed McKissic to play on 85.4% of offensive snaps in Week 9. With Alex Smith under center, McKissic caught 9 of 14 targets and we should expect more checkdowns with Kyle Allen (ankle) out and Smith likely to start at Detroit. McKissic has the third-most receiving yards (248) among RBs and faces a Lions team that has allowed a league-high 5 receiving TDs to backs.
GPP Play: Kareem Hunt ($6.7k)
The expected return of Nick Chubb (knee) should drive down Hunt’s ownership, especially after he dropped a dud in a plus matchup against the Raiders in Week 8. Chubb should mix in on early downs, but Hunt is the superior PPR play considering he runs 13.9 routes per game while also averaging 14.4 carries per game. The Texans horrific run defense coughs up a league-high 159.5 rushing YPG and has allowed 10 rushing TDs this year. Hunt has handled the fifth-most red zone touches (30) amongst RBs and should handle over 50% of backfield touches with Chubb easing his way back.
Fade: James Conner ($6.9k)
The Steelers are dealing with quarantines this week after Vance McDonald tested positive for COVID-19. A lack of practice time can’t help this rushing attack rebound after posting a modest 94 rushing yards over the past 2 weeks. Conner is facing a stacked front on 31.1% of his carries and could see even more attention if Ben Roethlisberger (quarantine) misses practices or is ruled out. The Bengals defense showed improvements heading into their bye and will be fired up to face an undefeated division rival.
Best Play: Robert Woods ($6.6k)
The Rams are going to feast on the Seahawks struggling secondary this Sunday at SoFi Stadium. Cooper Kupp ($6.9k) is also a candidate for a huge game, but we prefer Woods due to his versatility. Woods is commanding a 23.3% target share in the red zone, generating an average cushion of 4.65 yards, and ranks fifth among WRs in YAC (244) this season. He’s produced all season despite facing some elite CBs and this week he could face Seattle’s No. 1 CB, Quinton Dunbar (knee), who was embarrassed by the Bills receivers last Sunday.
Value Play: Jalen Reagor ($4.2k)
The Eagles were excited for Reagor’s potential before shoulder and thumb injuries derailed the first half of his rookie year. After returning in Week 8 to catch 3-of-6 targets for 16 yards and a TD against Dallas, Reagor should be even more involved this week against a Giants team that ranks 28th in DVOA pass defense. James Bradberry is the Giants only elite CB and he’ll be blanketing Travis Fulgham, funneling more targets to Reagor in the league’s third-most pass-happy offense.
GPP Play: Brandin Cooks ($5.6k)
Cooks remains cheaper than Will Fuller despite their nearly identical roles in Houston’s passing attack. In fact, Cooks has seen more targets (39) than Fuller (30) since Romeo Crenel became interim head coach. He’s drawn 478 air yards over those 4 games and has plenty of potential against a Browns team that’s coughed up 12 receiving TDs to WRs this year. With Greedy Williams (shoulder) on I.R. Terrance Mitchell is starting at RCB for Cleveland and allowing a 111.2 passer rating when targeted.
Fade: DeAndre Hopkins ($7.7k)
Dolphins top CB Xavien Howard was flagged multiple times for interfering with Hopkins, but still showcased a blueprint for slowing him down as he held him to 30 yards last week. Tre’Davious White is capable of covering Hopkins without drawing those penalties, forcing Kyler Murray to look elsewhere. White has the lowest target rate (10.6%) of any CB in the NFL and allows an average of just 0.98 yards of separation per route.
Best Play: Evan Engram ($4.5k)
The TE position is very thin this week. Engram provides a good floor as the TE with the second-highest route participation rate (93.8%) and third-most targets (64) this season. He’s drawn a whopping 29 targets with 5 red zone targets over the past 3 weeks and finally cashed in with a TD against Washington. The Eagles are coughing up the most DK PPG to opposing TEs and allowing a league-high 6.3 receptions per game to the position.
Value Play: Dallas Goedert ($4.2k)
The Giants do a decent job of limiting TEs in the red zone, but have allowed a healthy 51 receiving YPG to the position. While Goedert only drew 1 target while running 20 routes in his return from I.R. in Week 8, playing 88.9% of Philly’s offensive snaps is encouraging. Zach Ertz (ankle) remains out and the Eagles will likely go to the air frequently since the Giants rank 9th in DVOA rush defense and Philly’s offensive line has struggled against all opponents.
GPP Play: Robert Tonyan ($3.6k)
Tonyan has basically been invisible in recent weeks, so his ownership should be quite low despite the juicy matchup. Jacksonville is a perennial easy target for opposing TEs and has yielded the second-most TDs (7) to the position this season. Tonyan leads all TEs in target separation and he’s second in yards per target (11.2). The Packers went to 3- and 4-wide sets last Thursday with only one RB available, but should use more heavy personnel with Aaron Jones back this Sunday.
Fade: Darren Waller ($5.9k)
The Broncos have an elite corps of LBs and have done a great job of limiting opposing TEs in recent years. Waller did some damage with 13 receptions for 177 yards over 2 meetings with Denver last year, but may not justify his price tag if he can’t find the end zone this week. His significant upside is derived from his red zone usage and the Broncos have only allowed 2 TDs to TEs this year.