The World Series opens between the Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies at Minute Maid Park on Friday, beginning at 8:03 PM ET. Justin Verlander starts for Houston ( to win), and Aaron Nola is Philadelphia’s () pick to start.
This article refers to odds updated as of October 28, 2022 at 3:17 PM ET. Find all the up-to-date odds for this contest in the table below and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Phillies Betting Lines
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been favorites in 149 games this season and won 105 (70.5%) of those contests.
- Houston has entered 80 games this season favored by -173 or more and is 55-25 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.4% chance of a victory for the Astros.
- Games involving Houston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 63 of 173 chances this season.
- The Astros are 92-81-0 against the spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 1.73 |
| K/9 | 11.64 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been underdogs in 68 games this season and have come away with the win 33 times (48.5%) in those contests.
- Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 7-10 when favored by +146 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 40.7% chance of walking away with the win.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 90 of their 177 opportunities.
- The Phillies are 90-87-0 against the spread in their 177 games that had a posted line this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.07 |
| K/9 | 10.23 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola (11-12) gets the starting nod for the Phillies in his 32nd start of the season. He’s put together a 3.25 ERA in 205 innings pitched, with 235 strikeouts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, Oct. 19 against the San Diego Padres, when he went four innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Nola will try to collect his 30th outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 6.1 innings per appearance.
- The Phillies have a 2-5 record in Nola’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Nola’s team has won 17 of his 31 starts.
- Nola’s starts hit the over on the run total 18 times in 34 games with a set total this season.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of October 28, 2022 at 3:17 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | K/9 | H/9 | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Alvarado | 59 | 51.0 | 14.3 | 8.3 | 0.4 | 3.18 |
| Andrew Bellatti | 58 | 54.1 | 12.9 | 9.4 | 1.0 | 3.48 |
| David Robertson | 58 | 63.2 | 11.5 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 2.40 |
| Brad Hand | 55 | 45.0 | 7.6 | 9.3 | 0.5 | 2.80 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 54 | 51.0 | 10.8 | 7.9 | 0.9 | 3.00 |
Astros Probable Pitcher – Justin Verlander
- Verlander’s team is 19-12-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, Oct. 19, when he gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in six innings against the New York Yankees.
- Verlander has 26 starts of five or more innings this season in 28 chances. He averages 6.1 innings per outing.
- When Verlander starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 22-7.
- Verlander’s team has won 22 of his 28 starts this season.
- Games started by Verlander have an 8-22-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of October 28, 2022 at 3:17 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Montero | 71 | 68.1 | 73 | 2.50 | 23 | 14 |
| Héctor Neris | 70 | 65.1 | 79 | 3.86 | 25 | 3 |
| Ryne Stanek | 59 | 54.2 | 62 | 1.15 | 17 | 1 |
| Bryan Abreu | 55 | 60.1 | 88 | 1.94 | 8 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 50 | 48.1 | 65 | 2.98 | 0 | 33 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have a record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- The Astros have had at least five extra-base hits in 40 games this season, and went 33-7 in those contests.
- The club has collected at least eight hits 90 times this season, and has a 71-19 record in those games.
- The Astros are 67-4 in games this season that they put up five or more runs.
- The Astros have drawn five or more walks in 41 games this season, and are 34-7 in those contests.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They have won 43 of the 58 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- They have gone 30-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 70-33 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- They have a 57-14 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 26 of their 37 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Astros vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (+146)
Over/Under Pick: Over (6.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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