NBA Daily Plays Analysis 3/12

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 12, 2015 - Last Updated on June 27, 2018

There are five games to choose from tonight in our NBA Daily Plays, but with a ton of injuries and teams resting players, there aren’t a ton of exciting options. Memphis announced that Zach Randolph, Marc Gasol, Tony Allen, and Mike Conley will not play in tonight’s game. Some other notable players already ruled out are: O.J. Mayo, Dwight Howard, Nick Young, and Paul George. There are also more than a handful of game time decisions. Hopefully we will have some updates on some of these player’s statuses throughout the day and with enough time to make necessary adjustments. With that said, below I’ll go over some guys I’ll be targeting in my lineups tonight.

Point Guards


John Wall and Kyrie Irving are the two high-end options available for tonight’s game. Both are always in play, but if I’m choosing between the two, I’m rolling with Irving. He’s significantly cheaper on both sites tonight. I also like the fact that this game has the highest over/under and has a 1.5 point spread. This should be a close game with plenty of scoring. Irving has struggled in March, but it’s not too concerning to me because the team has played well. Irving had a solid performance in his last game and another nice game isn’t unlikely. The last time he faced the Spurs he scored 36 fantasy points. For a little less, Michael Carter-Williams is someone to consider. He’s played well in recent games, scoring 30+ fantasy points in five of seven games, and he always has a chance of a 40+ point game. Not to mention, the Bucks have been much more lenient to opposing point guards as of late.


Alex Shved is coming off of a big game against Utah and has another favorable match up against the Lakers tonight. He’s $5,600 on FanDuel and $5,000 on DraftKings, so he’ll really only take 10 percent of your salary at most. Shved topped 50 fantasy points in his last game. He was three assists away from a triple double. Expecting the same production tonight is unrealistic, but he remains a solid value play if you’re planning on being frugal with your point guard spending. Jordan Clarkson who is in Shved’s price range on both sites can also be considered tonight. He has topped 22 fantasy points in nine of his last 10 games, including two 35+ fantasy point performances. Clarkson is more consistent and can be a safer play in cash games than Shved.  With the news that Mike Conley will sit for tonight’s game, Beno Udrih becomes an intriguing option. I mean, at the minimum salary you can’t go wrong. Udrih has filled in for Conley in the past and has been productive, so there’s no reason to think he can do so again.


Shooting Guard


There’s Harden and then there’s a ton of mid-level plays at shooting guards tonight. The Rockets had a late game last night against the Clippers and will travel to Utah to take on the Jazz. Harden didn’t play up to his expectations last night. He’s averaging over 43 fantasy points against the Jazz this season. He’s always in play because he offers a ridiculous ceiling and provides a high-floor, but I’ll feel better about spending $10K+ on LeBron James tonight than I would Harden. If you decide to skip on Harden and go with one of the more reasonably priced shooting guards, then there are several players to consider. Khris Middleton, Rodney Stuckey, J.R. Smith, Danny Green, and Wayne Ellington are all viable options. Each of them is less than $6,600 on both sites.


In tournaments Rodney Stuckey stands out to me. He’s capable of 40+ fantasy points on any given night, but then he also has those 15 fantasy point evenings. It’s worth noting that he has played against the Bucks twice this season and is averaging just 17 fantasy points in those games. For the same price on DraftKings, you can roll with Khris Middleton, which I recommend you do if you’re in between both of them. Middleton is much more consistent, and can also score 40+ fantasy points on any given night. I’d feel more comfortable with Middleton in my cash lineup than I would about Stuckey. One of my favorite plays tonight at this position is Danny Green. He’s set to take on the Cavs who aren’t typically known for their defense and this game could potentially turn into a shootout. Green has made 11 3-pointers in his last three games and the Cavs are one of the more susceptible defense against shooting guards when it comes to 3-pointers. As I mentioned above, the over under for this game is the highest one of the evening. At $5,000 on DraftKings and $5,300 on Fan Duel, you can’t go wrong with Green tonight.

Small Forward


I said it earlier, if I’m paying for a $10,000+ salary tonight, it’s going to be on LeBron James. He has topped 50 fantasy points in five of the last seven games, including a 60+ and 70+ fantasy point performance. He’s a beast and you know what you’re getting from LeBron when you play him. Kawhi Leonard is also in play tonight. He’s been on fire as of late and should continue his hot streak tonight. Leonard has topped 36 fantasy points in seven consecutive games. In those games he has one 50+ fantasy point game and two 46+ fantasy point games. The last time he played against the Cavs he posted 39 fantasy points, and that was on an off shooting night for Leonard.


Trevor Ariza is also in play as he’s fared well against his opponent this season and is reasonably priced.  He’s averaging 30 fantasy points per game against the Jazz and is coming off of two back-to-back 30+ fantasy point games. He should be able to carry over that momentum into tonight’s matchup. Jeff Green had a solid outing in last night’s game against the Celtics and faces a team he’s done really well against this season. In three games against the Wizards, Green is averaging 34.5 fantasy points. With most of the Grizzlies starters resting tonight, someone has to pick up the offensive slack, and that would most likely be Green. He should have no trouble hitting value and should be able to exceed it as well.


Power Forwards


Derrick Favors and Kevin Love are the most expensive options at power forwards tonight, but both are $8,100 or less on both sites. That being said neither will put a major dent in your wallet tonight. Both have posted some quality stat lines in recent games and the difference in price between the two isn’t substantial, therefore it’s really a matter of preference if you’re planning on paying up for one of the two. Bottom line is you can’t go wrong with either of them. If you’re trying to save some bucks and target a cheaper power forward, Terrence Jones is less than $7,000 on both sites. He’s averaging 28 fantasy points per game this season, but has topped 30 fantasy points in seven of his last 10 games. Tim Duncan is questionable for tonight’s game as he’s dealing with an elbow injury, if he plays, he’s someone to consider as well. Duncan recorded a double-double in his last meeting against the Cavs and scored 42.5 fantasy points. He’s a better option on DraftKings than he is on FanDuel solely because of pricing. The Cavs allow 44 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards.


Someone under $6,000 on both sites that can be rostered tonight is Andre Bargnani. He’s $5,800 on DraftKings and $5,500 on Fanduel. He’s been fairly consistent in the last 10 game scoring 20+ fantasy points in nine of those games, and has also topped 40 fantasy points twice in that span. Lastly, I’ll touch up on Ed Davis who is someone I’ve played as a cheap flier in recent games. I’d probably avoid him on Fan Duel because of the stiff price, but on DraftKings he’s just $4,900. Davis has about a 23 point floor and puts up over 30+ fantasy points more often than most at this price would. He has a favorable matchup against the Knicks who have been getting crushed by power forwards in their last 10 games, allowing 49 fantasy points per game.




You know the options are scarce when Rudy Gobert is the most expensive center tonight. He has recorded double digit rebounds in eight of his last 10 games. He’s $7,800 on DraftKings and $7,700 on FanDuel, which is somewhat steep. If you’re hesitant to pay that much for Gobert, I can understand, so someone like Marcin Gortat or Jordan Hill can be more appealing to you. Gortat has a tough matchup on paper, but if you take into consideration that Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph are not playing tonight, this actually becomes a favorable matchup. The only concern would be a blowout. He’s cheaper than $6,800 on both sites and has scored 30+ fantasy points in four of his last five games. He should be in for another solid night against the Grizzlies bench players. Hill has a dreamy matchup against the Knicks who are surrendering over 50 fantasy points per game on DraftKings and 47.5 fantasy points in their last 10 games. Hill doesn’t offer a huge ceiling, but consistently gets you around 24 fantasy points per game. He comes at a practical price and won’t let you down often.


If you’re considering a punt play, Kosta Koufous is starting in place of Marc Gasol tonight and has a minimum salary. The last time he received 30+ minutes he scored 20 fantasy points. If he can repeat that performance he’ll be exceeding value. I’d only consider him in tournaments.

Good luck to all tonight!

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