2020 Bermuda Championship Betting Preview: Sleepers, Values, And Our Pick To Win

Written By Esten McLaren on October 26, 2020

The PGA Tour shifts from the West Coast all the way to Southampton, Bermuda for this week’s Bermuda Championship at Port Royal Golf Course. The event is being elevated to full status in its second year; Brendon Todd won last year’s inaugural running as an alternate-field event. Even still, there’s a weak field in attendance as the world’s best prepare for the 2020 Masters (Nov. 12-15). Below, we’ll look for value in the 2020 Bermuda Championship betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook, and highlight our favorite longshot picks.

Todd, No. 41, is the top player in attendance from the Official World Golf Ranking. He’s coming off a T-47 finish at last week’s Zozo Championship. Recent major winners Henrik Stenson (54) and Danny Willett (56) are among the other notables as they finish preparations for Augusta National.

The course: Port Royal Golf Course

Designed by Robert Trent Jones and opened in 1970, Port Royal is a par 71 measuring 6,828 yards. Fairway bunkers are the most common hazard on the course, but golfers must also compete against the oceanside winds. The short length and tight landing areas take the driver out of the hands of the longer hitters on most holes. The greens are composed of Bermudagrass.

Scoring will be low. Todd won last year’s tournament by four strokes at 24-under par. Ten golfers finished at minus-15 or lower a year ago, with eight of those shooting four rounds of 69 or better.

That said, a modest 10 holes had a scoring average below par in 2019. Those included all three par 5s and one par 3. The easiest hole was the 517-yard, par-5 7th at a scoring average of 4.261. There were 25 eagles and 242 birdies scored there against just 11 bogeys and three doubles. The most difficult was the 443-yard, par-4 11th at 4.21. It saw just 36 birdies carded against 88 bogeys, five doubles, and five others. Six of the 11 par 4s are shorter than 400 yards.

There’s no Strokes Gained data available from Port Royal, but it draws a strong similarity score to Silverado Resort & Spa, which recently hosted the Safeway Open.

Key stats to consider for your 2020 Bermuda Championship betting picks

Strokes Gained: Approach and SG: Tee-to-Green were strengths of the leaders at the Safeway Open, won by Stewart Cink at mins-21. Along with the two Strokes Gained stats, also look at Birdie or Better Percentage and Par 4 Efficiency: 350-400 Yards. Just three of those to finish in the top 10 at last year’s Bermuda Championship averaged more than 310 yards off the tee, and just one of the top 10 hit more than 70 percent of fairways. Suffice to say, neither driving distance nor accuracy is essential here.

Todd ranked 522nd in the OWGR ahead of his second career PGA Tour win last year. He finished T-28 at the Houston Open three weeks prior to snap a streak of four straight missed cuts.

2020 Bermuda Championship betting picks: Sleepers and value bets

Josh Teater +15000

Teater missed the cut in three of four PGA Tour events before dropping down to the Korn Ferry Tour’s Orange County National Championship three weeks ago and finishing T-27. The 41-year-old remains in search of his first PGA Tour win after his memorable emotional response to his runner-up finish at the Puerto Rico Open early in 2020.

He hasn’t finished better than T-56 in eight other PGA Tour events since late February, but the veteran has good history in these smaller events and against the weaker competition. He tied for 11th at last year’s Bermuda Championship, tied for 13th at the 2019 Barracuda Championship, and tied for sixth at the Barbasol Championship.

His putter betrayed him in his two missed cuts to open the 2020-21 season with an average of 1.34 strokes lost per round, according to Data Golf. Expect a better performance on the Bermuda greens at a course where he had some success a year ago.

Get the best Josh Teater odds at FanDuel Sportsbook

Hudson Swafford +12500

Swafford represents excellent value at DraftKings, as he’s just +8000 at FanDuel. He missed the cut at both the Sanderson Farms Championship and Shriners Hospitals for Children Open following his victory at the Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship and has slipped back to 174th in the OWGR. The weaker field and easier scoring conditions should allow him to get back to the top of the leaderboard.

Get the best Hudson Swafford odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

Stewart Cink +4500

Cink has stayed in a little better form since his surprise victory at the Safeway Open. He followed it up with a T-12 at the Sanderson Farms Championship three weeks later and finished T-64 at the Shriners the next week. He’s averaging 0.51 SG: Tee-to-Green and 0.38 SG: Around-the-Green through 12 rounds on the young season.

The 47-year-old averaged 1.29 SG: Approach and 2.30 SG: Tee-to-Green per round at the Safeway to win by two at minus-21. He’s 22nd on Tour through 12 rounds in Birdie or Better Percentage and will be able to compete in what’s expected to be another scoring fest.

Get the best Stewart Cink odds at DraftKings Sportsbook

2020 Bermuda Championship betting picks: Our winner

Justin Suh +4000

Suh comes into this week 437th in the OWGR off of a T-8 finish at the Shriners. He has finished T-21, T-14, and T-8 in his last three PGA Tour events after beginning 2020 with three straight missed cuts from the Farmers Insurance Open through the Puerto Rico Open.

He’s fourth on Tour this season in SG: Approach through four measured rounds and is T-20 in Par 4 Efficiency: 350-400 Yards with 22 total strokes through six such holes. The 23-year-old looks to start catching up to Matthew WolffViktor Hovland, and Collin Morikawa from the star-studded rookie class of 2019.

Get the best Justin Suh odds at FanDuel Sportsbook

This article was originally published on Monday, Oct. 26. Odds subject to change.

Esten McLaren Avatar
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Esten McLaren

Esten grew up on a golf course and made the switch from real-life trunk slammer to the daily fantasy realm as soon as the game was launched. He's been betting golf regularly for the better part of the last 10 years, most memorably winning big on Rory McIlroy's 2014 Open title, but a trip to Carnoustie for the 2018 Open and a walk around St. Andrews share the honor for best golf highlight. He has written about all major sports at FNTSY Sports Network, theScore, and SportsBookWire.

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