The New York Yankees and Houston Astros face off in Game 3 of the ALCS, Saturday at 5:07 PM ET, at Yankee Stadium. The Astros took the first two games. New York’s ( to win) Gerrit Cole and Houston’s () Cristian Javier pitch first for their squads in this matchup.
The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of October 22, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET. Head to the table below for the latest lines for this outing and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Astros Betting Lines
Yankees Betting Insights
- This season, the Yankees have won 96 out of the 150 games, or 64%, in which they’ve been favored.
- New York has a record of 73-38, a 65.8% win rate, when favored by -147 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.5% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 80 of their 172 opportunities.
- The Yankees have an ATS record of 76-96-0 in 172 games with a spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 3.24 |
| K/9 | 8.27 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been underdogs in 22 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (45.5%) in those contests.
- This season, Houston has been victorious two times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +126 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Astros have an implied victory probability of 44.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Houston’s games have gone over the total in 62 of their 171 opportunities.
- The Astros are 91-80-0 against the spread in their 171 games that had a posted line this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 1.55 |
| K/9 | 11.82 |
Astros Probable Pitcher – Cristian Javier
- Javier (11-9) gets the starting nod for the Astros in his 26th start of the season. He has a 2.54 ERA in 148 2/3 innings pitched, with 194 strikeouts.
- The righty last appeared in relief on Tuesday, Oct. 11, when he threw one inning against the Seattle Mariners, allowing one earned run while giving up one hit.
- Javier heads into the game with 21 outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- The Astros have a 2-2 record in Javier’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Javier’s team is 15-10 in his 25 starts.
- Javier has had 26 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and nine of those matchups finished over the total.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of October 22, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | K/9 | H/9 | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Montero | 71 | 68.1 | 9.6 | 6.8 | 0.4 | 2.50 |
| Héctor Neris | 70 | 65.1 | 10.9 | 7.2 | 0.4 | 3.86 |
| Ryne Stanek | 59 | 54.2 | 10.2 | 7.0 | 0.4 | 1.15 |
| Bryan Abreu | 55 | 60.1 | 13.1 | 7.9 | 0.4 | 1.94 |
| Ryan Pressly | 50 | 48.1 | 12.1 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 2.98 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Gerrit Cole
- When Cole starts, his team is 16-20-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in seven innings against the Cleveland Guardians.
- Cole will look to finish five or more innings for the 24th start in a row.
- Cole’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 24-12.
- Cole’s team has won 23 of his 33 starts this season.
- Out of Cole’s 36 starts with a total this season, 19 have hit the over.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of October 22, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lou Trivino | 64 | 53.2 | 67 | 4.53 | 4 | 11 |
| Clay Holmes | 62 | 63.2 | 65 | 2.69 | 7 | 20 |
| Wandy Peralta | 56 | 56.1 | 47 | 2.72 | 9 | 5 |
| Jonathan Loaisiga | 50 | 48.0 | 37 | 4.12 | 10 | 2 |
| Miguel Castro | 34 | 29.0 | 31 | 4.03 | 9 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees have hit at least two home runs in 72 games this season, and are 57-15 in those contests.
- The Yankees have gone 27-4 in the 31 games this season when they have had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits in 83 games this season, and is 60-23 in those contests.
- The Yankees are 68-11 in games this season that they scored at least five runs.
- The Yankees have drawn at least five walks in 54 games this season, and are 37-17 in those contests.
Astros Hitting Trends
- They are 50-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- They’ve won 33 of their 40 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 70 of the 89 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- They have a 65-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 41 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 34-7
Yankees vs. Astros Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (+126)
Over/Under Pick: Over (6.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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