Padres Vs Phillies: NLCS Game 1 Betting Lines, Stats, And Predictions – October 18, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on October 17, 2022

The San Diego Padres square off against the Philadelphia Phillies to start the NLCS at PETCO Park, on Tuesday at 8:03 PM ET. San Diego (-124 to win) is expected to go with Yu Darvish, while Philadelphia (+106) has not named a starter.

The betting trends in the article below reflect odds as of October 17, 2022 at 9:15 AM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this contest and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at FanDuel today!

Padres vs Phillies Betting Lines

Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have been favored 117 times and won 68, or 58.1%, of those games.
  • San Diego is 61-42 this season when entering a game favored by -124 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.4% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 82 of their 173 games with a total.
  • The Padres are 79-94-0 ATS in their 173 games with a spread this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 11
ERA 3.38
K/9 9.72

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 65 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (47.7%) in those games.
  • This season, Philadelphia has been victorious 22 times in 45 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 87 of their 172 opportunities.
  • The Phillies are 87-85-0 against the spread in their 172 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 10
ERA 3.11
K/9 9.64

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
José Alvarado 59 51.0 14.3 8.3 0.4 3.18
Andrew Bellatti 58 54.1 12.9 9.4 1.0 3.48
Brad Hand 55 45.0 7.6 9.3 0.5 2.80
Seranthony Domínguez 54 51.0 10.8 7.9 0.9 3.00
Connor Brogdon 47 44.0 10.2 10.4 1.4 3.27

Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish

  • Darvish and his team are 18-13-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in five innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • Darvish will look to finish five or more innings for the 31st start in a row.
  • When Darvish starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 13-7.
  • Darvish’s team is 20-10 when he starts this season.
  • In Darvish’s 31 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 12 times.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of October 17, 2022 at 9:15 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Luís Garcia 64 61.0 68 3.39 20 3
Josh Hader 56 50.0 81 5.04 0 36
Tim Hill 55 48.0 25 3.56 7 0
Steven Wilson 49 53.0 53 3.06 5 1
Robert Suarez 45 47.2 61 2.27 12 1

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have put up at least two homers in 42 games this season, and are 33-9 in those outings.
  • The Padres have gone 22-2 in the 24 games this season when they have put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has racked up eight or more hits in 90 games this season, and is 64-26 in those contests.
  • The Padres are 56-11 in the games this season that they put up at least five runs.
  • The Padres are 41-16 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 55 games this season and are 40-15 in those matchups.
  • They’ve won 28 of their 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 100 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 68-32.
  • They have won 56 of their 69 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 26-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Padres vs. Phillies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Phillies (+106)

Over/Under Pick: Over (6.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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