The San Diego Padres square off against the Philadelphia Phillies to start the NLCS at PETCO Park, on Tuesday at 8:03 PM ET. San Diego ( to win) is expected to go with Yu Darvish, while Philadelphia () has not named a starter.
The betting trends in the article below reflect odds as of October 17, 2022 at 9:15 AM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this contest and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at FanDuel today!
Padres vs Phillies Betting Lines
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have been favored 117 times and won 68, or 58.1%, of those games.
- San Diego is 61-42 this season when entering a game favored by -124 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.4% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 82 of their 173 games with a total.
- The Padres are 79-94-0 ATS in their 173 games with a spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.38 |
| K/9 | 9.72 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 65 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (47.7%) in those games.
- This season, Philadelphia has been victorious 22 times in 45 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 87 of their 172 opportunities.
- The Phillies are 87-85-0 against the spread in their 172 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.11 |
| K/9 | 9.64 |
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | K/9 | H/9 | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Alvarado | 59 | 51.0 | 14.3 | 8.3 | 0.4 | 3.18 |
| Andrew Bellatti | 58 | 54.1 | 12.9 | 9.4 | 1.0 | 3.48 |
| Brad Hand | 55 | 45.0 | 7.6 | 9.3 | 0.5 | 2.80 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 54 | 51.0 | 10.8 | 7.9 | 0.9 | 3.00 |
| Connor Brogdon | 47 | 44.0 | 10.2 | 10.4 | 1.4 | 3.27 |
Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish
- Darvish and his team are 18-13-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in five innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Darvish will look to finish five or more innings for the 31st start in a row.
- When Darvish starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 13-7.
- Darvish’s team is 20-10 when he starts this season.
- In Darvish’s 31 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 12 times.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of October 17, 2022 at 9:15 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luís Garcia | 64 | 61.0 | 68 | 3.39 | 20 | 3 |
| Josh Hader | 56 | 50.0 | 81 | 5.04 | 0 | 36 |
| Tim Hill | 55 | 48.0 | 25 | 3.56 | 7 | 0 |
| Steven Wilson | 49 | 53.0 | 53 | 3.06 | 5 | 1 |
| Robert Suarez | 45 | 47.2 | 61 | 2.27 | 12 | 1 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres have put up at least two homers in 42 games this season, and are 33-9 in those outings.
- The Padres have gone 22-2 in the 24 games this season when they have put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits in 90 games this season, and is 64-26 in those contests.
- The Padres are 56-11 in the games this season that they put up at least five runs.
- The Padres are 41-16 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Phillies Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 55 games this season and are 40-15 in those matchups.
- They’ve won 28 of their 34 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 100 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 68-32.
- They have won 56 of their 69 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
- They have a 26-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Phillies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (+106)
Over/Under Pick: Over (6.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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