The New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians hit the field for Game 5 of the ALDS at Yankee Stadium, at 7:07 PM ET on Monday. The victor earns a spot in the ALCS. Jameson Taillon pitches for New York ( to win) while Cleveland () will answer with Aaron Civale.
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of October 17, 2022 at 9:16 AM ET. See below for a table with the latest odds for this game and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at FanDuel today!
Yankees vs Guardians Betting Lines
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have won 95, or 63.8%, of the 149 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- New York has a record of 68-37, a 64.8% win rate, when favored by -156 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 60.9%.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 80 of their 169 opportunities.
- In 169 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 74-95-0 ATS.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 2.76 |
| K/9 | 9.51 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have come away with 38 wins in the 83 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Cleveland has been victorious 17 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least +133 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 42.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 80 of their 172 opportunities.
- The Guardians are 91-81-0 against the spread in their 172 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 2.51 |
| K/9 | 10.11 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Aaron Civale
- Civale (5-6) takes the mound first for the Guardians in his 21st start of the season. He has a 4.92 ERA in 97 innings pitched, with 98 strikeouts.
- The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Wednesday, Oct. 5 against the Kansas City Royals, when he went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Civale is seeking his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.3 innings per start.
- The Guardians have been the moneyline underdog in 13 of Civale’s starts this season, and they went 5-8 in those games.
- Civale’s team has won 12 of his 20 starts.
- Civale has started 20 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 12 of them.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of October 17, 2022 at 9:16 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | K/9 | H/9 | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 77 | 72.2 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 0.4 | 1.36 |
| Trevor Stephan | 66 | 63.2 | 11.6 | 9.9 | 0.5 | 2.54 |
| Sam Hentges | 57 | 61.0 | 10.5 | 7.4 | 0.5 | 2.36 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 50 | 53.1 | 10.3 | 8.8 | 0.7 | 3.04 |
| Eli Morgan | 49 | 66.2 | 9.7 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 3.37 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Jameson Taillon
- Taillon’s team is 17-15-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Friday against the Cleveland Guardians, throwing zero innings of relief while giving up two earned runs and allowing three hits.
- Taillon has started 32 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 26 times. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance.
- Taillon’s team is 18-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Taillon’s team has a 24-8 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Taillon have a 17-14-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of October 17, 2022 at 9:16 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lou Trivino | 64 | 53.2 | 67 | 4.53 | 4 | 11 |
| Clay Holmes | 62 | 63.2 | 65 | 2.69 | 7 | 20 |
| Wandy Peralta | 56 | 56.1 | 47 | 2.72 | 9 | 5 |
| Lucas Luetge | 50 | 57.1 | 60 | 2.67 | 6 | 2 |
| Jonathan Loaisiga | 50 | 48.0 | 37 | 4.12 | 10 | 2 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees are 56-14 this season in games when they crush two or more homers.
- The Yankees have had at least five extra-base hits in 31 games this season, and finished 27-4 in those contests.
- The club is 60-23 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- The Yankees have a 67-11 record in games this season that they scored at least five runs.
- The Yankees have drawn five or more walks in 54 games this season, and are 37-17 in those contests.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 31 games this season and are 25-6 in those matchups.
- They have gone 19-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 78 of the 105 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- They have a 61-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-6
Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (+133)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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