Happy Monday to all! It should be a fun evening with an eight game slate and plenty of high end players to choose from. Below I’ll recommend some players I’m digging for your lineups tonight in the NBA Daily Plays Analysis.
The two most expensive point guards tonight are Chris Paul and Stephen Curry. Paul injured his knee in yesterday’s game, but X-rays came back negative. However, he is still listed as questionable. With that said, this would likely be one of the few times I’d steer away from Paul. He’s the most expensive point guard tonight and is not 100 percent healthy. Curry on the other end is definitely in play. He had an off game against the Clippers yesterday, but should bounce back against the Suns tonight. After all, he is averaging 51 fantasy points in two games against the Suns this season. Ricky Rubio and John Wall are the next two point guards on the list. Rubio will either get a banged up Chris Paul or Austin Rivers defending him, and in his game against the Clippers last week, he went off for 55 fantasy points. Wall hasn’t been providing fantasy owners the ceiling he was earlier in the season. However, tonight he heads to Charlotte, a team that’s allowing over 50 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards on DraftKings in their last 10 games. Wall has topped his season average of fantasy points in three of his last five games. One of my favorite plays tonight on DraftKings is Tyreke Evans. The reason I’m more apprehensive about playing him on FanDuel is because of his price. On DraftKings he’s $7,300, whereas on FanDuel he’s $8,400. Big difference if you ask me. Evans has scored more than 40 fantasy points in five of his last 10 games and that’s what he would need to hit value. Not to mention, in the last five games only six other teams have allowed more fantasy points per game to point guards than the Bucks. Evans should be locked in for 40 points tonight, if not very close to it. Jeff Teague at less than $6,900 on both sites vs. the Kings could turn out to be a great investment. The Kings struggle defensively against point guards as they are surrendering 51.5 fantasy points per game. The Hawks/Kings game has the second highest over/under of the evening, so plenty of points should be scored. If you’re looking for some cheaper options, Dennis Schroder and Shaun Livingston have been producing at a high level as of late and both are priced at $5,000 or less on both sites.
There are no high-end shooting guards that will break your bank tonight. Dwayne Wade, Klay Thompson, and Eric Bledsoe are all in play tonight. Each of them is $8,500 or less on FanDuel and less than $8,000 on DraftKings. Bledsoe is the most expensive option on both sites and has struggled against the Warriors this season. So he’s the least likely to make my lineup of the three high-end shooting guards available. Wade was questionable to play on Saturday but made it on the court and managed to score 41 fantasy points. Wade should be able to continue his strong play as of late against the Celtics defense who’s allowing four more fantasy points per game in their last 10 games than their season average. If you’re not interested in any of the top options, some of the mid-level and low-level shooting guards can be of service. Khris Middleton is $6,000 on DraftKings and $6,700 on FanDuel. He has topped 30 fantasy points in six of his last 10 games, including two 40+ fantasy point games. He should have no trouble hitting value tonight, especially on DraftKings. J.J. Reddick is an intriguing option as well as he’s cheaper than $5,200 on both sites. Reddick has been playing well as of late. He’s topped 24 fantasy points in five straight games on DraftKings and 22 fantasy points on FanDuel. In two games against the Timberwolves this season, he is averaging 27 fantasy points. Minnesota allows the third most fantasy points per game on FanDuel and the second most on DraftKings to opposing shooting guards. The matchup is right and the price is right for him tonight. An even more economical option tonight is Ben McClemore. Some of his recent performances have been surprising and noteworthy. He has scored more than 29 points in three of his last six games, but he’s also put up one dud of a game. If you’re going to consider McClemore tonight, it’s best if you do so in a tournament.
Much like the shooting guard position, even the most expensive small forward won’t break the bank tonight. Rudy Gay and Andrew Wiggins are the two top options and both make solid plays. Gay has two back-to-back impressive games where he has topped 50 fantasy points in each of them. He’s just around 14 percent of the salary cap on both sites and could turn out to be a good investment. As mentioned above, this game has a high over/under and could lead to plenty of scoring for both teams. Gay should remain many fantasy owners’ radars this evening. Wiggins comes at a cheaper price as he is $6,800 on both sites. He heads to Los Angeles to take on the Clippers who have been susceptible against opposing small forwards all season. He has topped 30 points in three of the last four games and could give you a 40+ point game on any given night. Another player that could be in for a solid night is Danilo Gallinari. He’s been playing well lately, remains at a reasonable price, and faces the Knicks tonight. There isn’t much to dislike about him tonight. P.J. Tucker is another reasonably priced option. He’s cheaper than $5,700 on both sites, but has been a consistent mid-level play for a couple of weeks now. He’s topped 20 fantasy points in nine of 10 games, including four 30+ fantasy point games FanDuel and five on DraftKings. He’s averaging over 25 fantasy points per game against the Warriors. This is game has the highest over/under of the evening and just a 5.5 point spread, so a blowout isn’t what the experts are expecting. If you’re looking for a player under $4,500 on both sites that should be able to hit value at least, Harrison Barnes could fit that description. The Suns allow 40 fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards on DraftKings and 35.2 fantasy points on FanDuel. Needless to say, they struggle defending small forwards. Not to mention, he’s averaging 29.9 fantasy points per game against the Suns this season.
The only salary over $10,000 on DraftKings tonight goes to Anthony Davis and I’m paying! In the three games since returning from a shoulder injury, Davis has scored a combined 91 points, grabbed 37 boards, blocked 16 shots, and scored 186.25 fantasy points. Need I say more? The guy is an absolute beast and should be able to have his way against the Bucks defense who’s giving up 50 fantasy points per game to power forward on DraftKings in their last five games. The projections are a little low right now but I expect player props to come in strong for Anthony Davis and push his projection up to where it should be. If you decide to be frugal and not pay up, I’ll provide you with some other solid options. Pau Gasol, Paul Millsap, Draymond Green, and Zach Randolph are all in play too. Gasol’s price is now less than $9,000 on DraftKings for the second consecutive game. Tonight’s matchup isn’t the most favorable, but when you are selecting a player who averages 42 fantasy points per game for less than $9,000, it nullifies the fact that the matchup isn’t appealing. Millsap sat out of the last game to rest and should be back on the court tonight. He’s much more appealing on Fan Duel because he’s much cheaper there, but makes a good play on both sites. Green is my favorite option of the bunch. He’s been playing at a high level recently, topping fantasy points in six of the last seven games. He’s averaging 38.3 fantasy points per game against the Suns and should have no trouble continuing his hot streak tonight. What I love most is that he’s just $7,200 on DraftKings. If for whatever reason, you’re still considering a cheaper option at power forward; Andrea Bargnani should be on your radar. He’s gone two consecutive games with 29+ fantasy points and remains at a reasonable price of $5,600. The matchup is also favorable as the Nuggets are generous to power forwards and have actually struggled even more in their last 10 games as they’re allowing close to five more fantasy points per game than their season average.
I’ve said this once and I’ll say it again, so long as Boogie is less than $10,000, I’m buying. Granted this price only reflects his salary on DraftKings, but at $9,700 I’m definitely rostering him tonight. He’s topped 50 fantasy points in two consecutive games now. This appears like a tough matchup on paper, but if you look at the numbers, the Hawks are allowing 62.3 fantasy points per game to centers on DraftKings over their last five games and 55.4 on FanDuel. This is a prime example of a hot player taking on a cold defense. Don’t hesitate to plug him in tonight. DeAndre Jordan, Hassan Whiteside, Al Jefferson, Marc Gasol, and Al Horford are also in play. All of which are $7,000+. For those interested in a center that will cost fewer than $6,500 on both sites, Marcin Gortat is that guy. Prior to his last game, he went seven consecutive games with double digit rebounds. In his last game, Gortat had nine, so he was pretty close to making it eight games in a row. A punt play to consider is Zaza Pachulia.
Good luck to all tonight!