FanDuel NFL DFS Picks, Predictions And Lineup Strategy For Week 6

Posted By Nate Weitzer on October 15, 2020

The 2020-21 NFL season has kicked off and there are huge Week 6 DFS contests being offered on FanDuel with big prize pools and exciting new formats such as Best Ball.

In this weekly column, we will identify the best plays, values, and tournament options for your NFL DFS lineups. We’ll also offer the best “fades” at each position, indicating which players to avoid when building your lineups.

Keep in mind that some of the plays offered are better for “Cash” games, i.e. 50/50, H2H, and Double-Up formats, which require a more conservative approach. Some plays are recommended for GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) tournaments where it’s necessary to take more risks in the hopes of separating from a large field. Those GPP plays can also be ideal for Best Ball formats where players with higher upside are valuable.

Keep an eye on injury news right up until kick-off since things can change quickly in the NFL. Please note any player listed as questionable may see limited action or not suit up at all if he doesn’t respond well in warm-ups.


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Top NFL DFS FanDuel Plays for Week 6


Best Play: Tom Brady ($7.5k)

Aaron Rodgers ($8.4k) is our top play this week if he fits into your lineup, but Brady is a fine pivot if you need to save some salary. This game has a 54-point implied total and Brady will have to be aggressive to match Green Bay’s league-leading offense. The Packers rank 25th in DVOA pass defense and allow the seventh-most yards per attempt (8.1) this season. Chris Godwin (hamstring) could return with the Bucs on a long week and Mike Evans is set for a big day against the Packers smaller DBs, so consider a Brady-Evans stack.

Value Play: Kirk Cousins ($7.1k)

The Vikings may consider more of a pass-heavy approach this Sunday against the Falcons 30th-ranked pass defense. Atlanta’s secondary has been ravaged by injuries and will be learning on the fly with DC Raheem Morris now serving as HC and LBs coach Jeff Ulbrich stepping in as DC. With Dalvin Cook (groin) potentially inactive and Adam Thielen capable of winning his matchups with ease, expect Cousins to go downfield more often.

GPP Play: Gardner Minshew ($7.2k)

Minshew has a solid floor thanks to the Jaguars talent-deficient defense. He could flash his upside in a potential shootout this week against Matthew Stafford and the Lions. Detroit yields the fourth-most points per red zone trip (5.81) and the Jags are averaging the second-fewest 3-and-outs per drive, so Minshew should have ample scoring opportunities.

Fade: Lamar Jackson ($9.0k)

The Ravens defense allows a league-low 15.2 points per game and could dominate for a second straight week against a struggling Eagles offensive line. That type of game flow is killing Jackson’s upside, as he’s averaging just 189.5 passing YPG. Philly’s usually stout run defense ranks 15th in DVOA rush defense this season and the Ravens would be content to pound the rock all day on the road. 

Running Back

Best Play: Alexander Mattison ($7.0k)

At this reasonable price tag, Mattison should justifiably be owned in over 60% of lineups if Dalvin Cook (groin) is ruled out. The second-year RB is averaging 5.0 YPC this season and looked great on SNF behind a surging Vikings offensive line. Minnesota’s line ranks second in adjusted line yards (5.07) and the Vikings lead the NFL with a 54.3% run-play rate over their last 3 games. 

Value Play: Damien Harris ($5.6k)

The Patriots backfield rotation is always muddled, but Harris has a more clearly defined role with Sony Michel (quad) on the shelf. The hulking 5-foot-11 back went for 100 yards on 17 carries at KC in Week 4 and should see plenty of work in a physical game that the Patriots (-9.5) will likely control at home. At the same price tag, Rex Burkhead is more of a GPP play since his role is partially shared with James White.

GPP Play: James Robinson ($6.5k)

A down game from Robinson in Week 5 could drive down his ownership ahead of a juicy matchup. Detroit ranks X in DVOA rush defense with a defensive line that is dead last in adjusted line yards (5.39) this season. The Lions are also yielding 43.3 receiving YPG to RBs and Robinson ranks third at his positing with 183 receiving yards. He also fifth in opportunity share (80.5%) and has played 95 snaps (65.2%) over his last 2 outings. 

Fade: Miles Sanders ($7.6k)

While he broke a 74-yard TD against the previously top-ranked Steelers run defense, Sanders is not likely to repeat that feat against the stout Ravens. Baltimore allows 3.7 YPC and gives up first downs on just 17.6% of rush plays. Philly ranks 27th in adjusted line yards (3.85) and in Drive Success Rate (DSR), while the Ravens defense ranks sixth in DSR despite facing the Chiefs two weeks ago.

Wide Receiver

Best Play: Kenny Golladay ($7.2k)

Golladay is a great component to what could be a lucrative Lions-Jaguars stack. He should be over his hamstring injury after a bye week and drew a 30.8% target share in the red zone while catching a TD in each of his 2 games prior to the bye. The Jags defense is riddled by injuries, including a shoulder issue that has limited first-round CB C.J. Henderson. 

Value Play: Chase Claypool ($5.5k)

This price tag seems to imply Claypool’s huge Week 5 performance was a fluke. It was not. The rookie out of Notre Dame is a walking mismatch at 6-foot-4, 238 pounds with 4.4 speed. He could match up with RCB Terrance Mitchell (5-11, 191 lbs) if Denzel Ward is used to cover JuJu Smith-Schuster this Sunday, and if Diontae Johnson (back) isn’t healthy, Claypool becomes the unquestioned No. 2 receiver in the ninth-ranked Steelers passing offense. 

GPP Play: Justin Jefferson ($5.9k)

Adam Thielen ($7.4k) is a top play and Jefferson is a GPP play in the same prime matchup. Atlanta is giving up the second-most passing YPG (335.8) and Jefferson and Thielen have accounted for 88% of yardage from Vikings WRs this season. Jefferson ranks fourth among all WRs in yards per target (14.5), which is exactly the type of upside you look for in GPP formats.

Fade: Calvin Ridley ($8.6k)

The Vikings young secondary has improved dramatically after a disastrous start to the season. They would have held MVP frontrunner Russell Wilson to just 140 passing yards last Sunday if their offense had converted on 4th-and-inches. So they should be able to contain Matt Ryan and Atlanta’s 23rd-ranked pass offense. Ridley also struggled last week before piling up yardage late and he might not meet value at this price tag even if Julio Jones (hamstring) misses again.

Tight End

Best Play: Robert Tonyan ($6.2k)

Tonyan is pricey after his 3 TD game in Week 4. Yet his floor-ceiling combination is hard to match on this slate. The Bucs defense is most vulnerable down the seams and Davante Adams (hamstring) should draw tons of attention in his return. Aaron Rodgers is going to produce in this high-profile matchup, and Tonyan is suddenly one of his favorite targets.

Value Play: Mike Gesicki ($5.6k)

Gesicki is essentially an oversized WR and he’s deservedly become one of Ryan Fitzpatrick’s favorite targets. The 6-foot-6, 247-pounder has run 72.4% of his routes out of the slot and leads all TEs in Air Yards.  The Jets have given up the fourth-most pass plays of 20-plus yards (18) and their talent-deficient defense should be deflated after Le’Veon Bell was released, confirming the utter pointlessness of their 0-5 season.

GPP Play: Jimmy Graham ($5.4k)

Graham is a touchdown-dependent value with decent upside now that he’s established a rapport with Nick Foles. Graham leads all TEs with 9 red zone targets and he doesn’t need much separation to body his way for scores. The Panthers secondary has improved this season, but their LB corps is very much diminished by the retirement of Luke Kuechly.

Fade: Noah Fant ($5.8k)

The Broncos new top receiver is TE Noah Fant, which puts him squarely in the crosshairs of Bill Belichick’s staff. The Patriots recently shut down Darren Waller, who has burned nearly every other team he’s faced, and Fant remains limited in practice by an ankle injury.


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Nate Weitzer

Nate Weitzer is a successful DFS player at DraftKings and FanDuel with numerous tournament wins in NBA and NFL contests. He's been writing about DFS for several years, specializing in NBA picks and advice while continuing to build his bankroll across the daily fantasy industry. When he's not playing DFS, Weitzer is often covering high school sports in the greater Boston area for outlets such as The Boston Globe, or playing basketball himself. Follow Nate on Twitter @Nweitzer7.

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