Pirates Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 22, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 22, 2022

The Pittsburgh Pirates (54-94) will try to stop a six-game losing streak when hosting the Chicago Cubs (64-85) at 6:35 PM ET on Thursday. Mitch Keller pitches for Pittsburgh (-117 to win) while Chicago (-101) will answer with Hayden Wesneski.

The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of September 22, 2022 at 7:13 AM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this contest and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at FanDuel today!

Pirates vs Cubs Betting Lines

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been favorites in 17 games this season and won nine (52.9%) of those contests.
  • Pittsburgh has entered 15 games this season favored by -117 or more and is 8-7 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 53.9%.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 69 of their 154 opportunities.
  • In 154 games with a spread this season, the Pirates are 79-75-0 ATS.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 13
ERA 5.57
K/9 9.21

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have been victorious in 47, or 44.8%, of the 105 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Chicago has a mark of 42-54 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Chicago and their opponents have gone over in 62 of their 152 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Cubs have posted a record of 76-76-0 against the spread this season.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 10
ERA 2.73
K/9 8.80

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Hayden Wesneski

  • Wesneski (1-1) pitches first for the Cubs to make his second start of the season.
  • His last time out was on Saturday against the Colorado Rockies, when the right-hander tossed 7 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
  • The Cubs have not been a moneyline underdog when Wesneski starts this season.
  • His team has lost the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
  • Wesneski’s only start with a total this season went under.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 22, 2022 at 7:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Rowan Wick 60 60.0 9.3 13.3 1.6 4.50
Brandon Hughes 50 53.2 10.7 8.3 2.4 3.19
Michael Rucker 37 49.2 7.8 9.8 1.6 4.35
Mark Leiter Jr. 27 62.0 9.3 7.6 1.6 4.06
Erich Uelmen 20 22.2 7.5 11.0 1.5 4.76

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller

  • Keller and his team have a record of 15-12-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Mets.
  • Keller has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Keller’s team has been victorious in 33.3% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 1-2.
  • Keller’s team has won eight of his 26 starts this season.
  • Games Keller has started this season hit the over 10 times in 27 chances.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 22, 2022 at 7:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wil Crowe 57 73.2 65 4.15 15 4
Robert Stephenson 54 54.0 50 5.17 7 0
Duane Underwood Jr. 44 51.2 47 4.53 9 1
Chase De Jong 37 65.0 55 2.35 4 1
Manny Bañuelos 30 35.1 34 4.08 5 1

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • The Pirates have put up at least two long balls in 38 games this season, and are 23-15 in those outings.
  • The Pirates have put up five or more extra-base hits in 16 games this season, and finished 12-4 in those contests.
  • The team is 41-22 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
  • The Pirates have a 38-13 record in games this season that they put up at least five runs.
  • The Pirates have drawn at least five walks in 26 games this season, and are 15-11 in those contests.

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • They have won 24 of the 37 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 16-11.
  • In 75 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 42-33.
  • They have won 36 of their 51 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • In 32 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-15

Pirates vs. Cubs Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-101)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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