Astros Vs Orioles: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 22, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 22, 2022

The Houston Astros (99-51) and Baltimore Orioles (77-71) clash on Thursday at 7:05 PM ET, beginning a four-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Houston’s (-210 to win) Justin Verlander starts versus Baltimore’s (+175) Kyle Bradish.

The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of September 22, 2022 at 7:15 AM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this contest and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at BetMGM today!

Astros vs Orioles Betting Lines

Astros Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won 93 out of the 132 games, or 70.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Houston has entered 48 games this season favored by -210 or more and is 35-13 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 67.7% chance of a victory for the Astros.
  • So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of their 154 games with a total.
  • The Astros are 85-69-0 ATS in their 154 games with a spread this season.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 5.5
HR 18
ERA 1.80
K/9 11.80

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have been victorious in 60, or 49.2%, of the 122 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Baltimore has been victorious eight times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +175 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 36.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 68 of their 150 opportunities.
  • The Orioles are 95-55-0 against the spread in their 150 games that had a posted line this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 8
ERA 5.32
K/9 7.06

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish

  • The Orioles are sending Bradish (3-7) to make his 21st start of the season. He is 3-7 with a 5.05 ERA and 93 strikeouts in 101 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Bradish has pitched five or more innings in a game 10 times this year entering this matchup.
  • The Orioles have a 10-7 record in Bradish’s 17 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Bradish’s team has a 12-8 record in his 20 starts.
  • Bradish has had 20 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in 12 of those games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 22, 2022 at 7:15 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Felix Bautista 62 63.0 11.9 6.3 1.3 1.86
Cionel Pérez 61 53.0 8.3 10.3 0.5 1.53
Dillon Tate 61 67.1 7.8 9.3 0.8 2.67
Bryan Baker 58 62.0 9.7 12.3 0.6 3.92
Joey Krehbiel 53 56.0 7.1 9.8 1.9 3.05

Astros Probable Pitcher – Justin Verlander

  • When Verlander starts, his team is 17-9-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run or hit in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
  • Verlander has made 23 starts of five or more innings in 25 chances this season, and averages 6.1 frames when he pitches.
  • Verlander’s team has won 79.2% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (19-5).
  • Verlander’s team has won 19 of his 25 starts this season.
  • In Verlander’s 26 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 22, 2022 at 7:15 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Héctor Neris 66 62.2 76 3.45 25 3
Rafael Montero 65 62.2 67 2.44 21 13
Phil Maton 61 58.2 63 3.68 13 0
Will Smith 60 54.0 59 3.83 15 5
Ryne Stanek 54 50.1 58 1.07 15 1

Astros Hitting Trends

  • The Astros have hit two or more home runs in 52 games this season, and are 45-7 in those contests.
  • The Astros are 30-6 in games this season when they have had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has notched eight or more hits in 80 games this season, and is 61-19 in those contests.
  • The Astros are 60-4 in the games this season that they scored five or more runs.
  • The Astros are 31-7 over the 38 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They are 29-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • They’ve won 22 of their 28 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 55 of the 78 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 61 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 51-10.
  • In 28 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 21-7

Astros vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+175)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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