Braves Vs Phillies: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 22, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 22, 2022

Marcell Ozuna will try to notch his 100th hit of the year (he has 98) when the Atlanta Braves (92-56) play the Philadelphia Phillies (81-67) at 7:15 PM ET on Thursday. Atlanta’s (-151 to win) Max Fried and Philadelphia’s (+128) Ranger Suarez pitch first for their squads in this matchup.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of September 22, 2022 at 7:13 AM ET. Keep scrolling for a look at all of the latest odds for this matchup and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at FanDuel today!

Braves vs Phillies Betting Lines

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 121 games this season and won 84 (69.4%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta has a record of 65-21, a 75.6% win rate, when favored by -151 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 60.2% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 75 of their 152 games with a total.
  • The Braves are 77-75-0 ATS in their 152 games with a spread this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 14
ERA 2.90
K/9 10.34

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 54 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (46.3%) in those games.
  • This season, Philadelphia has been victorious 10 times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 43.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Philadelphia have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 76 of 152 chances this season.
  • The Phillies have an against the spread mark of 74-78-0 in 152 games with a line this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 19
ERA 5.28
K/9 8.17

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suárez

  • Suarez (9-5) is looking for his 10th win when he takes the mound first for the Phillies in his 27th start of the season. He has a 3.53 ERA in 140 1/3 innings pitched, with 118 strikeouts.
  • In his last time out on Friday, the left-hander threw 6 2/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves, allowing one earned run while surrendering two hits.
  • Suarez will look to last five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
  • The Phillies have been the underdog on the moneyline in 14 of Suarez’s starts this season, and they went 8-6 in those games.
  • Suarez’s team has won 16 of his 26 starts.
  • Suarez has had 27 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 18 of those matchups.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 22, 2022 at 7:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
José Alvarado 55 46.1 13.8 8.8 0.5 3.50
Brad Hand 55 45.0 7.6 9.3 0.5 2.80
Andrew Bellatti 54 50.0 13.0 9.0 1.1 3.24
David Robertson 54 59.2 11.5 6.1 1.0 2.41
Seranthony Domínguez 50 47.0 10.9 7.5 1.0 2.87

Braves Probable Pitcher – Max Fried

  • Fried’s team is 18-11-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The left-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday.
  • Fried has 28 starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • When Fried starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 16-7.
  • Fried’s team is 19-9 when he starts this season.
  • Out of Fried’s 29 starts with a total this season, 14 have hit the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 22, 2022 at 7:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 68 62.2 85 2.01 32 5
Raisel Iglesias 60 55.1 72 2.77 11 17
Kenley Jansen 58 56.2 74 3.65 0 36
Jesse Chávez 53 63.1 69 3.55 9 0
Collin McHugh 53 65.0 71 2.77 14 0

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves have a record in games this season when they smash at least two home runs.
  • The Braves are 32-6 in games this season when they have had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up eight or more hits in 93 games this season, and is 72-21 in those contests.
  • The Braves are 63-9 in games this season that they put up at least five runs.
  • The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 29 games this season, and are 22-7 in those contests.

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • They are 36-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 29 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 24-5.
  • In 90 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 60-30.
  • In 60 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 48-12.
  • They have a 21-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Phillies (+128)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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