Padres Vs Cardinals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 22, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 22, 2022

The San Diego Padres (83-66) bring a five-game winning streak into a home contest versus the St. Louis Cardinals (87-63) at 4:10 PM ET on Thursday. Joe Musgrove takes the mound first for San Diego (-141 to win), and Jack Flaherty is St. Louis’ (+120) pick to start.

The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of September 22, 2022 at 7:13 AM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this outing and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at BetMGM today!

Padres vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have won 62 out of the 106 games, or 58.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • San Diego is 45-31 this season when entering a game favored by -141 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 58.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 71 of their 153 chances.
  • The Padres are 67-86-0 against the spread in their 153 chances this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 11
ERA 3.38
K/9 9.10

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have won in 26, or 44.1%, of the 59 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, St. Louis has been victorious seven times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 45.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • St. Louis and their opponents have hit the over in 72 of their 154 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Cardinals are 83-71-0 against the spread in their 154 games that had a posted line this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 2.6
HR 6
ERA 2.60
K/9 7.60

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Jack Flaherty

  • Flaherty makes the start for the Cardinals, his seventh of the season. He is 0-1 with a 4.70 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 23 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out was on Saturday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the righty threw five innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Flaherty will try to last five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 3.3 innings per outing.
  • The Cardinals have yet to be named a moneyline underdog when Flaherty starts this season.
  • Flaherty’s team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
  • Flaherty has started seven contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in five of them.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 22, 2022 at 7:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Chris Stratton 55 59.0 8.2 13.4 0.8 4.58
Giovanny Gallegos 53 55.1 10.7 6.9 1.0 3.09
Ryan Helsley 50 60.1 13.1 4.6 0.8 1.19
Andre Pallante 32 103.1 6.2 10.1 0.7 3.14
Jake Woodford 22 43.1 4.6 9.5 0.2 2.49

Padres Probable Pitcher – Joe Musgrove

  • When Musgrove starts, his team is 13-14-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw six scoreless innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks while allowing four hits.
  • Musgrove will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • When Musgrove starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 14-6.
  • In games Musgrove has started, his team is 18-9.
  • Out of Musgrove’s 27 starts with a total this season, 16 have hit the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 22, 2022 at 7:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Luís Garcia 57 54.0 61 3.50 20 3
Josh Hader 51 45.2 74 5.52 0 34
Tim Hill 50 43.2 25 2.89 7 0
Steven Wilson 44 46.2 45 3.09 5 1
Robert Suarez 39 41.0 49 2.63 10 1

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres are 29-8 this season in games when they crush two or more long balls.
  • The Padres are 20-2 in games this season when they have had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has collected at least eight hits 79 times this season, and has a 55-24 record in those games.
  • The Padres have a 47-11 record in games this season that they put up at least five runs.
  • The Padres are 36-14 over the 50 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 55 games this season and are 46-9 in those matchups.
  • They’ve won 30 of their 33 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 65 of the 86 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • They have won 63 of their 76 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 29 of their 35 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Padres vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (+120)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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