Twins Vs Royals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 22, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 22, 2022

The Kansas City Royals (60-89) will try to sweep a three-game series versus the Minnesota Twins (73-76), at 2:10 PM ET on Thursday. Minnesota’s (-133 to win) Josh Winder and Kansas City’s (+113) Jonathan Heasley will start this matchup.

The betting insights in the article below use the latest odds as of September 22, 2022 at 7:13 AM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Twins vs Royals Betting Lines

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have entered the game as favorites 90 times this season and won 56, or 62.2%, of those games.
  • This season, Minnesota has won 45 of its 68 games, or 66.2%, when favored by at least -133 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 57.1% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of their 153 games with a total this season.
  • The Twins have an ATS record of 68-85-0 in 153 games with a spread this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 10
ERA 3.50
K/9 7.90

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been underdogs in 128 games this season and have come away with the win 48 times (37.5%) in those contests.
  • This season, Kansas City has come away with a win 31 times in 100 chances when named as an underdog of at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 46.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 74 of their 153 opportunities.
  • The Royals have an against the spread record of 75-78-0 in 153 games with a line this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 6
ERA 4.39
K/9 7.82

Royals Probable Pitcher – Jonathan Heasley

  • Jon Heasley (3-8) gets the starting nod for the Royals in his 18th start of the season. He’s put together a 5.09 ERA in 88 1/3 innings pitched, with 62 strikeouts.
  • His most recent appearance was on Friday against the Boston Red Sox, when the right-hander tossed six scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
  • Heasley has pitched five or more innings in a game 11 times this year entering this game.
  • The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 17 of Heasley’s starts this season, and they went 5-12 in those games.
  • Heasley’s team is 5-12 over his 17 starts.
  • Heasley has had 18 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 11 of those matchups finished over the total.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 22, 2022 at 7:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Scott Barlow 64 69.0 9.3 7.9 1.4 2.35
Dylan Coleman 63 63.1 9.1 6.5 0.8 2.56
Amir Garrett 54 41.0 9.4 9.0 0.0 4.83
Jose Cuas 45 36.0 8.5 15.1 0.8 3.25
Collin Snider 39 32.0 5.3 16.3 0.9 6.47

Twins Probable Pitcher – Josh Winder

  • Winder’s team is 4-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed four innings while giving up four earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
  • Winder has six starts of five or more innings this season in eight chances. He averages 4.2 innings per outing.
  • Winder’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-1).
  • Winder’s team has a 4-4 record in his starts this season.
  • In games Winder has started this season, the teams are 3-5-0 at hitting the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 22, 2022 at 7:13 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Fulmer 63 60.0 60 3.15 24 3
Jorge López 62 65.1 68 2.34 1 23
Caleb Thielbar 62 55.1 74 3.42 18 1
Griffin Jax 60 67.2 73 3.33 18 1
Jhoan Duran 55 65.2 87 1.78 18 8

Twins Hitting Trends

  • The Twins have hit at least two round-trippers in 42 games this season, and are 30-12 in those contests.
  • The Twins have gone 21-9 in the 30 games this season when they have racked up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has racked up at least eight hits 90 times this season, and has a 61-29 record in those games.
  • The Twins are 47-12 in games this season that they scored five or more runs.
  • The Twins are 20-8 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 32 games this season and are 23-9 in those matchups.
  • They have gone 14-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 45 of the 80 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 53 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 37-16.
  • They have won 17 of their 30 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Twins vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Royals (+113)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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