Braves Vs Nationals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – September 21, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 21, 2022

The Washington Nationals (51-97) will try to snap a three-game losing streak when visiting the Atlanta Braves (92-55) at 12:20 PM ET on Wednesday. Atlanta’s (-257 to win) Bryce Elder starts versus Washington’s (+212) Paolo Espino.

This article refers to odds as of September 21, 2022 at 7:12 AM ET. See all the up-to-date odds for this outing in the table below and click here to claim your free sports bet (up to $1,001) at Caesars!

Braves vs Nationals Betting Lines

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have won 84, or 70%, of the 120 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Atlanta is 12-2 this season when entering a game favored by -257 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 72% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 75 of their 151 opportunities.
  • The Braves are 77-74-0 ATS in their 151 games with a spread this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 14
ERA 2.93
K/9 10.47

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 132 games this year and have walked away with the win 43 times (32.6%) in those games.
  • Washington has a mark of 12-17 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +212 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 32.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Washington’s games have gone over the total in 70 of their 151 opportunities.
  • The Nationals are 69-82-0 against the spread in their 151 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 9
ERA 4.87
K/9 6.25

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Paolo Espino

  • The Nationals are sending Espino (0-7) to the mound for his 17th start of the season. He is 0-7 with a 4.24 ERA and 85 strikeouts in 104 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared in relief on Friday, when he threw 1 1/3 scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins while giving up two hits.
  • Espino heads into the matchup with eight outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
  • The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 13 of Espino’s starts this season, and they went 5-8 in those games.
  • Espino’s team has a 6-10 record in his starts this season.
  • Espino has started 16 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in eight of them.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 21, 2022 at 7:12 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Steve Cishek 63 60.1 10.0 9.2 2.0 4.62
Kyle Finnegan 61 60.2 9.5 8.7 1.6 3.86
Erasmo Ramírez 54 80.1 6.5 9.4 1.4 3.14
Carl Edwards Jr. 52 56.0 8.2 7.4 1.1 2.73
Andres Machado 45 51.2 7.1 9.6 1.2 3.83

Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder

  • Elder’s team is 3-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, Sept. 3, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Miami Marlins without allowing a run.
  • Elder has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Elder’s team has a record of 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • In games Elder has started, his team is 3-3.
  • In Elder’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of September 21, 2022 at 7:12 AM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 68 62.2 85 2.01 32 5
Raisel Iglesias 60 55.1 72 2.77 11 17
Kenley Jansen 58 56.2 74 3.65 0 36
Collin McHugh 53 65.0 71 2.77 14 0
Jesse Chávez 52 62.2 69 3.45 9 0

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves have a record this season in games when they belt at least two homers.
  • The Braves have had at least five extra-base hits in 38 games this season, and finished 32-6 in those outings.
  • The club has totaled eight or more hits in 92 games this season, and is 72-20 in those contests.
  • The Braves are 63-9 in the games this season that they put up at least five runs.
  • The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 29 games this season, and are 22-7 in those contests.

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 28 games this season and are 18-10 in those matchups.
  • In 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 14-6.
  • In 85 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 39-46.
  • In 49 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 36-13.
  • In 32 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-15

Braves vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+212)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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