NFL DFS

The 2020-21 NFL season has kicked off and there are huge Week 4 DFS contests being offered on FanDuel with big prize pools and exciting new formats such as Best Ball.

In this weekly column, we will identify the best plays, values, and tournament options for your NFL DFS lineups. We’ll also offer the best “fades” at each position, indicating which players to avoid when building your lineups.

Keep in mind that some of the plays offered are better for “Cash” games, i.e. 50/50, H2H, and Double-Up formats, which require a more conservative approach. Some plays are recommended for GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) tournaments where it’s necessary to take more risks in the hopes of separating from a large field. Those GPP plays can also be ideal for Best Ball formats where players with higher upside are valuable.

Keep an eye on injury news right up until kick-off since things can change quickly in the NFL. Please note any player listed as questionable may see limited action or not suit up at all if he doesn’t respond well in warm-ups.

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Top NFL DFS FanDuel Plays for Week 4

Quarterback

Best Play: Dak Prescott ($8.2k)

The Cowboys are posting the highest pass-play percentage on early downs while utilizing Ezekiel Elliott more as a receiver. That trend could continue Sunday against a Browns team that has been strong against the run thus far, but is vulnerable at the back end. Cleveland has given up significant production to weak passing attacks from Cincinnati and Washington the past two weeks, and now faces a Cowboys receiving corps that has a slew of dangerous weapons.

Value Play: Ryan Fitzpatrick ($7.1k)

The Seahawks have routinely created shootouts thanks to brilliant play from Russ Wilson and horrendous play from their secondary. They rank 29th in DVOA pass defense and their three games have produced an average of 65.6 PPG. Since he struggled in the opener at New England, Fitzpatrick has completed 49 of 67 passes (73%) for 488 yards and 4 TDs with no picks. There won’t be any secrets this Sunday as he faces a Seattle team that stubbornly sticks to its base defense, so look for Fitz to continue his efficient performance and take some deep shots to keep pace with Wilson. 

Best Play: Kyler Murray ($8.4k)

If DeAndre Hopkins (ankle) is unable to play this afternoon, Murray could flash even more value as a runner. He’s an incredible dual threat facing a Panthers team that’s given up the most rushing TDs by far over the past season and a half. The Cardinals aren’t using Kenyan Drake consistently in the running game because Murray is averaging roughly 7 yards per carry with 4 rushing scores. His rushing ability alone makes him a GPP play at FanDuel.

Fade: Josh Allen ($8.6k)

With an infusion of talent, including rookie safety Jon Abrams, the Raiders secondary has improved drastically this season. Vegas has only allowed 3 receiving TDs and ranks 18th in DVOA pass defense, but is dead last in rush defense. At this price tag, you’d be counting on Allen producing in the run game rather than handing off to Devin Singletary inside the 5-yard line. Buffalo also ranks 26th in DVOA rush defense and the Raiders hulking offensive line could control the clock by pounding the rock at home. 

Running Back

Best Play: Alvin Kamara ($8.8k)

Although FanDuel doesn’t award a full point per reception, Kamara still leads all RBs in average FD PPG (31.1) by a hefty margin. He’s caught 22 of 23 targets for 234 yards and has 4 total TDs over his last two appearances, and now faces a Lions team that ranks 29th in DVOA rush defense. The Lions are coughing up 10.5 yards per catch to opposing RBs and gave up the most receiving TDs (8) to the position last season. If Michael Thomas (ankle) returns, the defense will have to account for him, and if he’s still out, Kamara has a good shot at double-digit targets. 

Value Play: Carlos Hyde ($5.7k)

Hyde is the next man up with Chris Carson (ankle) out for a couple of weeks and he should be productive against a Dolphins team that ranks 31st in DVOA rush defense. Miami is yielding 4.9 YPC and gave up a big line (129 scrimmage yards, 2 TDs) to James Robinson while dropping their defense back to stop Gardner Minshew last Thursday. If they have to adjust to stop Minshew, imagine how compromised their run defense will be in adjusting for MVP frontrunner Russ Wilson.

GPP Play: Devin Singletary ($6.0k)

Singletary saw an expanded workload in Week 3 with Zack Moss (toe) out and produced 121 scrimmage yards on 17 touches. He did everything but get into the end zone, as the Rams stuffed him at the goal line multiple times. Yet the Raiders have shown little resistance to opposing ground attacks and have already allowed 6 rushing scores to RBs. If Moss remains out, Singletary could pay off with 100-plus yards and a TD or two.

Fade: Nick Chubb ($8.3k)

The Cowboys are in a prime bounce back spot after a tough 3-game stretch to open their season. Dallas (-4.5 at FanDuel Sportsbook) could control this contest and we’ve seen Kareem Hunt ($6.2k) get more action whenever the Browns are down. The Cowboys are vulnerable at the back end, yet are only allowing 3.8 YPC and are loaded with talent on the defensive line.

Wide Receiver

Best Play: Keenan Allen ($6.9k)

Allen could wind up as the best per-dollar option in Week 4 after exceeding value in each of his last two appearances. Justin Herbert has targeted Allen 29 times in his two starts and the shifty WR has turned those looks into a combined 20-228-TD line. Tampa is so stout against the run that the Chargers will be forced to throw often in this game and the Bucs are exploitable in the slot. 

Value Play: Tyler Boyd ($6.0k)

Boyd is reliable play with a solid floor on a relatively thin slate. Joe Burrow has thrown 105 passes over his last two starts and Boyd has caught 17 of 21 targets for 197 yards during that span. The Jaguars rank dead last in DVOA pass defense and are getting shredded in the short passing game, where Boyd thrives. 

GPP Play: DK Metcalf ($6.9k)

Last week, it was Tyler Lockett exploiting the Cowboys slower secondary for 3 TDs and Metcalf serving as a goat for getting stripped at the goal line to lose out on a 60-yard TD. This week it could be Metcalf producing big numbers against a Dolphins secondary that will be diminished if Byron Jones (groin) remains out. Xavien Howard (knee) will likely be tasked with guarding Metcalf, yet we’ve seen Wilson drop perfect throws to his 6-4 receiver that can defeat any coverage.

Fade: Kenny Golladay ($7.3k)

Golladay played on 73% of offensive snaps in his season debut last week and saved his fantasy day with a 15-yard TD catch right before halftime against Arizona. He was otherwise contained by Patrick Peterson and faces another elite CB this week in Marshon Lattimore. The Saints pass defense has been burned lately, but it’s mostly Janoris Jenkins giving up big plays. Jenkins should match up with Marvin Jones ($6.0k) so that’s a matchup to watch when building GPP lineups.

Tight End

Best Play: Darren Waller ($6.7k)

Waller isn’t the first star receiver to get shut down by the Patriots after posting a huge line the week prior. He might have been bothered by a knee injury in Week 3, but if he’s fully healthy, he could blow up this week and swing GPP contests. Waller has a 29.8% target share this year which is up from his 23.8% target share last season. He’s facing a Bills defense that was shredded by Mike Gesicki in Week 2 and Waller is an even more talented hybrid WR/TE.

Value Play: Dalton Schultz ($4.9k)

After posting a 9-88-TD line in his first start following Blake Jarwin’s season-ending knee injury, Schultz was caught 4 of 6 targets for 48 yards in Week 3 while Cowboys WRs went nuts against the Seahawks struggling secondary. This Sunday the Cowboys could use more of a ground-and-pound approach and then target the Browns on play-action. Cleveland has allowed the third-most receptions (22) to TEs this season and coughed up the second-most TDs (10) to the position last year.

GPP Play: Drew Sample ($4.7k)

The Bengals got almost nothing from Sample in his first start following C.J. Uzomah’s season-ending Achilles injury. So his price tag remains bottom of the barrel and so will his ownership in a juicy matchup against Jacksonville’s dead last pass defense. The Jags have given up 220 receiving yards and 3 TDs to TEs this year and Joe Burrow will have plenty of targets to spread around if he continues to throw 40-60 times per game.

Fade: Tyler Higbee ($6.0k)

The Rams (-13 at DraftKings Sportsbook) are huge favorites at home against the Giants and they should be able to build an early lead on the strength of their ground game. If they’re up by double digits in the second half, Higbee’s usage could become non-existent and the Giants have yet to allow a TD to a TE this season. His snap count dropped from 86% to 72% last week and he’s a TD-dependent option with a modest 11 targets through three games.

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