NBA Daily Plays Analysis 3/3

Written By PlayPicks Staff on March 3, 2015 - Last Updated on June 27, 2018

Just like any other Tuesday, I’m here to share with you some plays for tonight’s seven game slate. It should be a fun night in the DFS industry as hopefully all of our picks don’t attempt to get ejected like last night. Lets get into the NBA Daily Plays.


Point Guards


When you take a look at tonight’s slate, there are really just a handful of point guards that are appealing. John Wall is a great option for tonight. He isn’t that expensive and he plays the Bulls tonight, a team he is averaging 41.8 fantasy points per game against. The Bulls have been more susceptible against point guards in their last five games as they are allowing a little over four more fantasy points per game in those contests. Wall has a high floor and can easily post a 50+ fantasy point game on any given night. Another high-level option that is priced well and has a good matchup is Kyrie Irving. He plays the Celtics who he scored 49 fantasy points against the last time he played them. The only concern is that he’s dealing with a shoulder injury and the Cavs are a heavy favorite in this game, so there’s a chance he could play fewer minutes tonight. However, if there’s optimism from the team that he’s healthy and will be full on tonight, then he makes a great play. Much like Wall, he has a high floor and can go off on any given evening for 45+ fantasy points. He also comes at a cheaper price.
Mo Williams’ price saw an upward spike on DraftKings for tonight, but it was only a matter of time. He has topped 30 fantasy points in four of his last five games, including two 40+ fantasy point game and one 50+ fantasy point game. His price increase may leave some owners looking in a different direction. However, I think he is still a great option, especially against the Lakers. The last time he played the Lakers he scored 48 fantasy points. On FanDuel he’s just $6,600 which makes him a good value play. Speaking of volume, there are a couple of players who can be considered value plays. Jeff Teague, Langston Galloway, Patrick Beverley, and Jordan Clarkson are all priced reasonably for the most part on both sites. Teague is a tad expensive on FanDuel, so he’d make a better play on DraftKings. He is $1,000 cheaper than he was 10 games ago on DraftKings which makes him very good value tonight. He’s battling a thigh injury but is expected to start. If you roll with him, keep a close eye on his status. Galloway has scored 30+ fantasy points in three of the last five games. He’s priced $5,400 on Fan Duel and $4,900 on DraftKings, and has a great matchup against Sacramento tonight. The Kings allow the second most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards on both sites. They’ve actually allowed close to eight more fantasy points per game than their yearly average in the last five games. He should have no trouble hitting value on either site. Even cheaper, is Patrick Beverly, as he is less than $4,900 on both sites. What’s enticing about him is that James Harden will not play tonight due to his suspension, so Beverly could play a bigger role as the team’s facilitator, as well as potentially seeing more shots. Granted, Harden’s absence opens the door for many of the players on this team, but Beverley comes at a cheap price and gets a ton of minutes. Not to mention the Hawks are surrendering 50 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards on DraftKings and 39.9 fantasy points per game on Fan Duel. I wouldn’t be opposed to sprinkling some Beverly in GPPs tonight.


Shooting Guard

The top two options at this position tonight are out which leaves us with the next player on deck, Khris Middleton. I actually think he makes a really solid play tonight because of his price on both sites. Keep in mind; he’s listed as small forward on FanDuel. He has exceeded his fantasy points yearly average in nine consecutive games and has five 30+ fantasy point performances in that timeframe. At less than $6,600 on both sites, he can be considered a great value play. The matchup against the Nuggets is an added bonus. If you’re trying to cut your costs to pay up in other positions, then J.R. Smith, Bradley Beal, Kyle Korver, and Gerald Henderson should be on your list of plays. Smith has played really well as of late and is still at a reasonable price of $5,600 on both sites. He has topped 30 fantasy points in four of the last six games. He’s better off in a GPP lineup rather than a cash lineup because he tends to have those really off nights where he scores fewer than 17 fantasy points. Beal returned into the lineup on Saturday after missing several games with a leg injury. His shot was off as he went 2-10, but still managed to score more than 27 fantasy points. He is averaging 32.1 fantasy points per game against the Bulls this season. He’s priced less than $5,900 on both sites, so if he produces like he’s been this season against Chicago, he’s a good bet to exceed value. Henderson has quietly scored more than 23 fantasy points in nine of the last 10 games and has a salary of $4,900 on DraftKings. In those games, he has topped 30 fantasy points four times and 40 fantasy points once. Playing him can give you some wiggle room with your salary at other positions. Please note that on FanDuel he is listed as a small forward and is $5,600. Clearly, he’s a better play on DraftKings tonight. Two guys I have listed as punt plays at this position tonight are Ben McLemore and Will Barton.


Small Forward


I think it’s universally known that LeBron James is the play at small forward tonight. However, if you’re looking for some other small forwards for the forward or utility slot, I have some names for you. Rudy Gay plays the Knicks who he torched for 43 fantasy points in their last meeting. He is cheaper than $7,900 on both sites. Another good option is Josh Smith. He is $6,300 on Fan Duel and $6,500 on DraftKings. With the absence of Harden, there’s a chance his usage rate increases. He’s listed as a power forward on FanDuel, but makes a good play on both sites merely because of price. His teammate Trevor Ariza is on a mini heater and is cheaper than $6,000 on both sites. He has topped 30 fantasy points in three of the last four games. Danilo Gallinari and Wilson Chandler are also solid options tonight. Gallinari is $5,200 on both sites and has topped 28 fantasy points on DraftKings in four of the last six games. Chandler makes a more appealing play on DraftKings as he’s just $5,000. He has scored 25+ fantasy points in each game since returning from injury. Lastly, Tony Snell is a sneaky play this evening with a salary of $3,800 on FanDuel and $3,600 on DraftKings. He’s listed as a shooting guard on Fan Duel and a small forward on DraftKings. Regardless, he’s cheap and should see a good amount of minutes due to Jimmy Butler’s injury. There is no reason to believe he doesn’t hit value on either site tonight.


Power Forwards


There’s an abundant amount of options at this position tonight. Pau Gasol, Paul Milsap, Terrence Jones, Kevin Love, Zach Randolph, and Derrick Favors are all high-level plays tonight that can be plugged into your lineups. It comes down to how much you want to spend. Pau Gasol is the most expensive power forward of the evening, $9,500 on both sites, but also provides the highest ceiling of the bunch. Tonight the Bulls will be missing Jimmy Butler and Derrick Rose, this means Gasol will be the primary offensive threat. However, it’s worth noting that he has struggled in three games against the Wizards this season. He’s averaging 34.2 fantasy points per game against them and he averages 42.5 fantasy points for the season. It’s a significant difference. Then again, his usage rate could be through the roof this evening with all the injuries to the Bulls. If you’re apprehensive about Gasol because of his history against the Wizards, it’s understandable, so rolling with one of the cheaper options I listed above is fine by me. Terrence Jones is the cheapest in the group on both sites. He’s $7,000 on DraftKings and $6,500 on FanDuel. His price on FanDuel almost makes him a must play as it takes up just 11 percent of your salary cap. He has topped 27 fantasy points in six straight games on both sites, including four 30+ fantasy point performances and a couple of 40+ fantasy point outings. Some more economical options are Donatas Montiejunas, Ed Davis, Andre Bargiani, and Ersan Ilyasova. All of which are less than $5,000 on DraftKings. Each of them should be able easily exceed value.  Of the bunch, I’d say Bargiani offers the highest ceiling and also has a favorable matchup. To hit value he needs about 25 fantasy points tonight. That’s something he has done twice in the last three games.




Demarcus Cousins is probable for tonight’s game. If he plays here’s something to note, the last time he faced off against the Knicks he scored 62.3 fantasy points. He’s a flat out beast and should be able to take advantage of the abysmal team that is the Knicks. The best part is that he’s cheaper than $10,000 on DraftKings, which makes it almost impossible to fade him. If you’re concerned that he’s not 100 percent and plan to stay away, there are a couple of other solid options. Al Jefferson has a great matchup against the Lakers who struggle defensively against big men. The Lakers are surrendering 53.9 fantasy points per game to centers in their last 10 games on DraftKings and 47.6 on FanDuel. Jefferson has scored more than 35 fantasy points in five of his last seven games. He’s less than $8,000 on both sites. Another option is Al Horford who is expected to start against Houston after being rested the last game. He played well the last game he played against the Rockets, scoring 39 fantasy points. The Rockets have yielded 50.8 fantasy points per game against centers in their last five games on FanDuel and 56.1 fantasy points per game on DraftKings. I’m expecting him to take advantage in the paint tonight. Joakim Noah has been steadily putting together solid performances. He has exceeded his season average of fantasy points in eight of his last 10 games, scoring at least 30 fantasy points in each of those games. Much like Gasol, with all of the Bulls injuries, Noah should see a higher usage rate and makes a very solid play tonight. Rudy Gorbert is also an option, but I’d rather pay the extra couple of hundred dollars and roll with Noah. If you’re thinking about taking the cheaper route at this position, Marcin Gortat and Timofey Mozgov are both in play. Gortat would be my pick as he gets a more consistent amount of minutes regularly. He also has the better matchup of the two and isn’t that much more expensive.


Good luck to all tonight!

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy