Padres Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – August 16, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 16, 2022

Juan Soto sits at 98 hits, and will try to notch his 100th when the San Diego Padres (65-53) square off against the Miami Marlins (51-65) on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. Sean Manaea pitches for San Diego (-152 to win) while Miami (+128) will answer with Edward Cabrera.

This article references betting data valid as of August 16, 2022 at 5:13 PM ET. Browse all the up-to-date odds for this game in the table below and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Marlins Betting Lines

Padres Betting Insights

  • This season, the Padres have won 48 out of the 83 games, or 57.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • San Diego has entered 47 games this season favored by -152 or more and is 30-17 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 60.3%.
  • Games involving San Diego have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 55 of 118 chances this season.
  • The Padres are 54-64-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 8
ERA 4.13
K/9 8.68

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 66 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (33.3%) in those games.
  • Miami has a win-loss record of 6-20 when favored by +128 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 43.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Miami and their opponents have gone over in 50 of their 116 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • In 116 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 52-64-0 against the spread.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.1
HR 7
ERA 3.00
K/9 8.59

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Edward Cabrera

  • Cabrera (3-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 29 strikeouts in 26 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Marlins, his sixth of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he went five scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
  • Cabrera will try to pitch five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
  • The Marlins are 2-2 in Cabrera’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Cabrera’s team has compiled a 3-2 record over his five starts.
  • Cabrera’s starts went over the run total three times in five games with a set total this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 16, 2022 at 5:13 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Tanner Scott 50 48.0 12.6 7.8 0.8 4.69
Steven Okert 48 41.1 11.8 7.3 2.0 2.61
Richard Bleier 37 34.1 5.2 14.7 1.0 3.93
Dylan Floro 35 32.1 7.0 9.3 0.9 3.62
Elieser Hernandez 8 56.0 9.0 9.7 3.2 6.11

Padres Probable Pitcher – Sean Manaea

  • Manaea and his team have a record of 7-14-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in five innings against the San Francisco Giants.
  • Manaea has 16 starts of five or more innings this season in 21 chances. He averages 5.2 innings per outing.
  • Manaea’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (10-5).
  • Manaea’s team is 11-10 when he starts this season.
  • Out of Manaea’s 21 starts with a total this season, 13 have hit the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 16, 2022 at 5:13 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Luís Garcia 44 42.0 45 3.43 19 2
Nabil Crismatt 40 52.1 49 2.92 6 0
Josh Hader 40 36.2 63 4.66 0 29
Tim Hill 39 34.1 18 3.15 7 0
Steven Wilson 34 36.1 36 3.47 5 1

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have a record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
  • The Padres are 16-2 in games this season when they have had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has put up at least eight hits in 63 games this season, and is 43-20 in those contests.
  • The Padres are 36-10 in the games this season that they scored at least five runs.
  • The Padres are 31-10 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 27 games this season and are 16-11 in those matchups.
  • In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 14-3.
  • They have won 34 of the 55 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 34 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 30-4.
  • They have won nine of their 15 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Padres vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Marlins (+128)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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