Braves Vs Red Sox: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – August 10, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 15, 2022

The Boston Red Sox (54-57) are looking for another big outing from a hitter on a hot streak versus the Atlanta Braves (64-46) on Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET, at Fenway Park. Tommy Pham is currently on a two-game homer streak. Kyle Wright is pitching for Atlanta (-152 to win), and Nick Pivetta is Boston’s (+128) pick to start.

The insights in this article reference odds valid as of August 10, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Braves Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won 56 out of the 84 games, or 66.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Atlanta has a record of 42-17, a 71.2% win rate, when favored by -152 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Braves have a 60.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 111 opportunities.
  • The Braves are 54-57-0 against the spread in their 111 chances this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 13
ERA 4.09
K/9 9.82

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have come away with 22 wins in the 54 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Boston has won eight of 24 games when listed as at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 43.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Boston have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 51 of 111 chances this season.
  • In 111 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 57-54-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 10
ERA 5.52
K/9 7.16

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Pivetta

  • Pivetta (8-7) gets the starting nod for the Red Sox in his 22nd start of the season. He has a 4.51 ERA in 123 2/3 innings pitched, with 119 strikeouts.
  • In his last time out on Friday, the right-hander tossed five innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Pivetta will look to build on a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing).
  • The Red Sox have a 5-7 record in Pivetta’s 12 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Pivetta’s team is 11-10 over his 21 starts.
  • Pivetta has had 21 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 13 of those matchups.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 10, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Ryan Brasier 45 42.1 9.1 11.8 1.3 5.10
Hirokazu Sawamura 43 44.1 7.3 8.3 0.7 3.25
John Schreiber 42 43.0 10.3 7.3 0.6 1.88
Austin Davis 40 45.1 10.5 10.7 1.2 4.76
Matt Barnes 23 19.1 6.5 10.8 1.2 7.45

Braves Probable Pitcher – Kyle Wright

  • Wright and his team have a record of 9-12-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed seven hits in six innings pitched against the New York Mets on Thursday.
  • Wright has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Wright’s team is 14-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Wright has started, his team is 15-6.
  • Out of Wright’s 21 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 10, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 50 46.0 60 2.35 19 5
Raisel Iglesias 42 38.2 54 3.96 1 16
Kenley Jansen 41 41.0 55 3.51 0 24
Collin McHugh 39 48.0 50 3.19 8 0
Jackson Stephens 27 38.2 37 2.79 1 2

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves have hit at least two round-trippers in 47 games this season, and are 37-10 in those outings.
  • The Braves have gone 24-5 in the 29 games this season when they have had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has collected eight or more hits in 69 games this season, and is 52-17 in those contests.
  • The Braves are 44-6 in games this season that they scored at least five runs.
  • The Braves have gone 13-7 over the 20 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • They are 20-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 19-4.
  • They have won 40 of the 66 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • They have a 37-15 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 14 of their 18 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Braves vs. Red Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+128)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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