Diamondbacks Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – August 11, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 15, 2022

The Arizona Diamondbacks (50-60) and Pittsburgh Pirates (44-66) clash on Thursday at 3:40 PM ET. Arizona’s (-168 to win) Merrill Kelly gets the start versus Pittsburgh’s (+142) JT Brubaker.

This article references lines current as of August 11, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET. Find all the up-to-date odds for this matchup in the table below and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Betting Lines

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been favorites in 31 games this season and won 17 (54.8%) of those contests.
  • Arizona is 2-3 this season when entering a game favored by -168 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Diamondbacks, based on the moneyline, is 62.7%.
  • Games involving Arizona have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 51 of 110 chances this season.
  • The Diamondbacks are 63-47-0 against the spread this season.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 10
ERA 3.60
K/9 7.90

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have won in 36, or 37.9%, of the 95 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 20-32 when favored by +142 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 41.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 47 of their 111 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Pirates are 59-52-0 against the spread in their 111 games that had a posted line this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 7
ERA 4.24
K/9 6.10

Pirates Probable Pitcher – JT Brubaker

  • Brubaker (2-10 with a 4.49 ERA and 111 strikeouts in 108 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Pirates, his 22nd of the season.
  • His most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Baltimore Orioles, when the righty threw four innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • Brubaker will try to secure his 16th outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.0 innings per appearance.
  • The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline in 16 of Brubaker’s starts this season, and they went 4-12 in those matchups.
  • Brubaker’s team has compiled a 7-14 record over his 21 starts.
  • Brubaker has had 21 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 11 of those games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 11, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Wil Crowe 45 60.2 8.6 8.0 0.5 3.12
Duane Underwood Jr. 27 33.0 9.5 10.5 0.3 4.64
Yerry De Los Santos 25 25.2 9.1 8.2 1.2 3.51
Chase De Jong 23 39.0 7.4 6.6 1.6 2.08
Tyler Beede 23 45.1 5.4 9.9 0.7 3.57

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly

  • Kelly’s team is 14-8-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw seven innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up two earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • Kelly will look to finish five or more innings for the 15th start in a row.
  • Kelly’s team has been victorious in 50% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-3.
  • Kelly’s team has won 11 of his 22 starts this season.
  • Out of Kelly’s 22 starts with a total this season, eight have hit the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 11, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Noé Ramirez 47 44.1 47 4.47 11 0
Joe Mantiply 47 44.0 43 2.05 14 2
Mark Melancon 43 38.2 28 4.42 0 16
Ian Kennedy 41 37.1 35 3.13 10 7
Edwin Uceta 7 13.2 8 4.61 0 0

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks have a record this season in games when they smash at least two home runs.
  • The Diamondbacks are 8-5 in games this season when they have had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has strung together eight or more hits in 59 games this season, and is 37-22 in those contests.
  • The Diamondbacks are 36-11 in the games this season that they put up five or more runs.
  • The Diamondbacks are 18-12 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They are 18-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 10-2.
  • They have won 33 of the 49 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • They have won 30 of their 38 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • In 21 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-8

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+142)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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