Reds Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – August 11, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 15, 2022

The Cincinnati Reds (44-66) will look to stop a three-game losing streak when hosting the Chicago Cubs (45-65) at 7:15 PM ET on Thursday. Nick Lodolo is starting for Cincinnati (-114 to win), and Drew Smyly is Chicago’s (-104) choice to start.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds as of August 11, 2022 at 7:17 PM ET. Keep scrolling for a look at all of the latest odds for this matchup and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at BetMGM today!

Reds vs Cubs Betting Lines

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have won 10, or 43.5%, of the 23 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season, Cincinnati has won nine of its 20 games, or 45%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 53.3% chance to win.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of their 110 games with a total this season.
  • The Reds are 52-58-0 ATS in their 110 games with a spread this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 2.5
HR 7
ERA 3.98
K/9 8.16

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have won in 30, or 39.5%, of the 76 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This year, Chicago has won 28 of 71 games when listed as at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 51% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of their 110 opportunities.
  • In 110 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 56-54-0 against the spread.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.6
HR 8
ERA 3.77
K/9 8.37

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Drew Smyly

  • Smyly makes the start for the Cubs, his 15th of the season. He is 4-6 with a 3.97 ERA and 52 strikeouts in 65 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent outing on Saturday against the Miami Marlins, the lefty went six scoreless innings while surrendering five hits.
  • Smyly has put up six starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
  • The Cubs have a 3-7 record in Smyly’s 10 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Smyly’s team is 5-9 over his 14 starts.
  • Smyly’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of 14 contests.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 11, 2022 at 7:17 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Rowan Wick 45 47.0 9.2 12.7 0.9 4.02
Brandon Hughes 31 32.2 11.6 9.0 1.9 3.31
Michael Rucker 20 29.2 7.9 8.7 1.0 4.25
Mark Leiter Jr. 14 47.2 9.3 7.6 1.8 4.72
Keegan Thompson 8 99.0 7.8 9.0 1.1 3.45

Reds Probable Pitcher – Nick Lodolo

  • Lodolo and his team have a record of 5-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander gave up three earned runs in four innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • Lodolo has started nine games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings five times. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance.
  • Lodolo’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-1.
  • Lodolo’s team has a 6-3 record in his starts this season.
  • In Lodolo’s nine starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 11, 2022 at 7:17 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hunter Strickland 45 41.1 34 6.53 3 7
Alexis Diaz 40 41.2 53 1.94 13 4
Luis Cessa 34 34.2 27 6.23 5 0
Joel Kuhnel 32 34.1 33 5.77 4 1
Reiver Sanmartin 23 37.2 27 6.69 5 0

Reds Hitting Trends

  • The Reds have an record this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • The Reds have gone 11-4 in the 15 games this season when they have collected five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together eight or more hits 53 times this season, and has a 29-24 record in those games.
  • The Reds are 28-13 in the games this season that they put up at least five runs.
  • The Reds are 10-7 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • They have won 16 of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • They’ve won 15 of their 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 32 of the 58 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • They have won 27 of their 40 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 13-12 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Reds vs. Cubs Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-104)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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