Braves Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – August 12, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 15, 2022

The Atlanta Braves (65-46) visit the Miami Marlins (50-61) to open a four-game series at LoanDepot park, with first pitch at 6:40 PM ET on Friday. The Braves are coming off a series victory over the Red Sox, and the Marlins a series loss to the Phillies. Atlanta (-140 to win) has Jake Odorizzi set to start, and Miami (+118) is sending out Pablo Lopez.

The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of August 12, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET. See below for a table with the latest odds for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Marlins Betting Lines

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have entered the game as favorites 85 times this season and won 57, or 67.1%, of those games.
  • Atlanta has a record of 52-21, a 71.2% win rate, when favored by -140 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 59 of their 112 opportunities.
  • In 112 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 55-57-0 ATS.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 12
ERA 4.30
K/9 9.72

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 61 games this season and have come away with the win 21 times (34.4%) in those contests.
  • Miami has a mark of 10-25 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +118 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 45.9% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 50 of their 111 opportunities.
  • In 111 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 50-61-0 against the spread.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 1.9
HR 5
ERA 2.83
K/9 8.37

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Pablo López

  • Lopez makes the start for the Marlins, his 23rd of the season. He is 7-7 with a 3.57 ERA and 125 strikeouts through 123 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Saturday against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw five innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up nine hits.
  • Lopez is trying to secure his 19th start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
  • The Marlins have a 4-5 record in Lopez’s nine starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Lopez’s team has a 12-10 record in his starts this season.
  • Lopez has had 22 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 13 of those matchups hit the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 12, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Tanner Scott 48 46.0 13.1 7.3 0.6 4.30
Steven Okert 45 39.0 11.8 7.5 2.1 2.77
Richard Bleier 35 32.1 5.3 14.8 1.1 3.90
Dylan Floro 33 31.0 6.7 9.3 1.0 3.77
Anthony Bender 21 18.2 7.7 9.6 1.7 3.37

Braves Probable Pitcher – Jake Odorizzi

  • Odorizzi’s team is 5-8-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in four innings against the New York Mets.
  • Odorizzi has started 13 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings eight times. He averages 4.3 innings per appearance.
  • Odorizzi’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-3).
  • Odorizzi’s team has won seven of his 13 starts.
  • In games Odorizzi has started this season, the teams are 5-8-0 at hitting the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 12, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 51 47.0 63 2.30 20 5
Raisel Iglesias 43 39.2 55 3.86 1 16
Kenley Jansen 41 41.0 55 3.51 0 24
Collin McHugh 39 48.0 50 3.19 8 0
Jackson Stephens 27 38.2 37 2.79 1 2

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves have put up two or more dingers in 48 games this season, and are 38-10 in those contests.
  • The Braves have collected at least five extra-base hits in 29 games this season, and finished 24-5 in those contests.
  • The team has totaled at least eight hits in 70 games this season, and is 53-17 in those contests.
  • The Braves have a 45-6 record in games this season that they put up five or more runs.
  • The Braves have drawn five or more walks in 20 games this season, and are 13-7 in those contests.

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • They are 16-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 14-2.
  • They have a record of 33-20 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • They have a 30-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won nine of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Braves vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Marlins (+118)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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