Braves Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – August 14, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 15, 2022

The Miami Marlins (50-64) are looking for another big outing from a slugger on a hot streak versus the Atlanta Braves (68-46) on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET, at LoanDepot park. Jesus Aguilar is currently on a two-game homer streak. Bryce Elder pitches for Atlanta (-125 to win) while Miami (+106) will answer with Braxton Garrett.

This article refers to odds valid as of August 14, 2022 at 1:12 PM ET. Find all the latest odds for this contest in the table below and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Marlins Betting Lines

Braves Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have been favored 88 times and won 60, or 68.2%, of those games.
  • Atlanta is 57-25 this season when entering a game favored by -125 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 55.6% chance to win.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 59 of their 115 games with a total this season.
  • In 115 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 57-58-0 ATS.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 15
ERA 4.60
K/9 8.69

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 64 games this year and have walked away with the win 21 times (32.8%) in those games.
  • This season, Miami has come away with a win 15 times in 50 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 48.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Miami and their opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 114 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Marlins are 51-63-0 against the spread in their 114 games that had a posted line this season.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.1
HR 7
ERA 2.93
K/9 8.90

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett

  • Garrett (2-6) gets the starting nod for the Marlins in his 13th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.02 ERA in 62 2/3 innings pitched, with 69 strikeouts.
  • The lefty last appeared on Tuesday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw four innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • Garrett is looking to secure his eighth start of five or more innings this year in this game.
  • The Marlins have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Garrett’s starts this season, and they went 2-6 in those matchups.
  • Garrett’s team has won five of his 12 starts.
  • Garrett’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in two of 12 contests.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 14, 2022 at 1:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Tanner Scott 48 46.0 13.1 7.3 0.6 4.30
Steven Okert 46 39.1 11.7 7.5 2.1 2.75
Richard Bleier 37 34.1 5.2 14.7 1.0 3.93
Dylan Floro 34 31.1 6.6 9.3 1.0 3.73
Anthony Bender 22 19.1 7.9 9.6 1.7 3.26

Braves Probable Pitcher – Bryce Elder

  • Elder and his team are 2-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, Aug. 6 against the New York Mets, throwing two innings of relief while giving up three earned runs and allowing five hits.
  • Elder’s team has won 33.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (1-2).
  • In games Elder has started, his team is 1-3.
  • In Elder’s four starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 14, 2022 at 1:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 52 47.2 64 2.27 21 5
Raisel Iglesias 45 41.1 55 3.70 2 17
Kenley Jansen 43 43.0 57 3.35 0 26
Collin McHugh 40 50.0 52 3.06 8 0
Jackson Stephens 28 40.2 39 2.66 2 2

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves are 40-10 this season in games when they send out two or more long balls.
  • The Braves are 26-5 in games this season when they have put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has collected eight or more hits in 73 games this season, and is 56-17 in those contests.
  • The Braves are 47-6 in games this season that they scored five or more runs.
  • The Braves are 13-7 in the 20 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 27 games this season and are 16-11 in those matchups.
  • In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 14-3.
  • In 54 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 33-21.
  • They have won 30 of their 34 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 9-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Braves vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Marlins (+106)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy