Red Sox Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – August 16, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 15, 2022

The Boston Red Sox (57-59) and Pittsburgh Pirates (44-70) clash in the first of a three-game series on Tuesday at PNC Park, at 7:05 PM ET. The Red Sox are coming off a series victory over the Yankees, and the Pirates a series loss to the Giants. Nick Pivetta pitches for Boston (-143 to win) while Pittsburgh (+121) will answer with Mitch Keller.

This article makes reference to lines current as of August 16, 2022 at 7:13 PM ET. Find all the current odds for this matchup in the table below and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Red Sox vs Pirates Betting Lines

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have been favorites in 58 games this season and won 33 (56.9%) of those contests.
  • Boston has a record of 13-15 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 58.8% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 52 of their 116 games with a total.
  • The Red Sox are 60-56-0 ATS in their 116 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 9
ERA 5.20
K/9 8.00

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been underdogs in 99 games this season and have come away with the win 36 times (36.4%) in those contests.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 28 times in 82 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 45.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Pittsburgh have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 50 of 115 chances this season.
  • The Pirates are 60-55-0 against the spread in their 115 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 8
ERA 4.83
K/9 6.70

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller

  • Keller (4-8 with a 4.25 ERA and 91 strikeouts in 112 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Pirates, his 21st of the season.
  • In his most recent time out on Thursday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the right-hander tossed five innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • Keller is looking for his eighth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.0 innings per start.
  • The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog in 16 of Keller’s starts this season, and they went 5-11 in those games.
  • Keller’s team has put together a 6-14 record over his 20 starts.
  • Keller has had 20 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and eight of those matchups hit the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 16, 2022 at 7:13 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Wil Crowe 46 62.0 8.4 8.2 0.7 3.34
Duane Underwood Jr. 29 36.0 9.5 10.1 0.3 4.25
Chase De Jong 25 42.1 7.4 6.8 1.5 2.55
Tyler Beede 23 48.1 5.6 9.8 0.8 3.72
Colin Holderman 21 26.0 7.3 6.1 0.0 1.73

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Nick Pivetta

  • When Pivetta starts, his team is 12-10-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs in six innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
  • Pivetta will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
  • When Pivetta starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-3.
  • In games Pivetta has started, his team is 11-11.
  • Games Pivetta has started this season hit the over 14 times in 22 chances.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 16, 2022 at 7:13 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ryan Brasier 48 45.0 44 5.20 8 1
John Schreiber 44 47.0 55 1.91 16 4
Hirokazu Sawamura 44 45.1 38 3.18 2 0
Austin Davis 42 46.0 54 4.70 3 0
Jeurys Familia 38 34.0 33 6.09 6 0

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • The Red Sox are 20-11 this season in games when they hit at least two bombs.
  • The Red Sox have put up at least five extra-base hits in 24 games this season, and went 20-4 in those contests.
  • The team is 42-28 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
  • The Red Sox have a 37-15 record in games this season that they scored five or more runs.
  • The Red Sox are 14-4 over the 18 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They have won 18 of the 28 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • They’ve won 10 of their 13 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 33 of the 51 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • They have a 30-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 21 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-8

Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+121)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy