Marlins Vs Reds: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – August 1, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 4, 2022

The Miami Marlins (47-55) host the Cincinnati Reds (40-61) to open a three-game series at LoanDepot park, with first pitch at 6:40 PM ET on Monday. The Marlins are on the back of a series defeat to the Mets, and the Reds a series win over the Orioles. Miami’s (-110 to win) Jesus Luzardo gets the start versus Cincinnati’s (-108) Hunter Greene.

The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of August 1, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET. See below for a table with the latest odds for this contest and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at BetMGM today!

Marlins vs Reds Betting Lines

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have won 28, or 60.9%, of the 46 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Miami has a record of 28-18, a 60.9% win rate, when favored by -110 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 52.4% chance to win.
  • Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 102 games with a total this season.
  • The Marlins are 45-57-0 against the spread in their 102 chances this season.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 7
ERA 4.81
K/9 9.20

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been victorious in 29, or 37.7%, of the 77 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Cincinnati has a mark of 29-47 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -108 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 54 of 101 chances this season.
  • The Reds have an against the spread mark of 48-53-0 in 101 games with a line this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 14
ERA 3.50
K/9 8.90

Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene

  • Greene (3-12 with a 5.59 ERA and 119 strikeouts in 96 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Reds, his 20th of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday against the Miami Marlins, when he went six innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing nine hits.
  • Greene will try to build on a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.0 innings per outing).
  • The Reds have been the moneyline underdog in 18 of Greene’s starts this season, and they went 3-15 in those games.
  • Greene’s team has a 4-15 record in his starts this season.
  • Greene’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in nine of 19 games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 1, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Alexis Diaz 37 39.0 11.1 4.4 1.0 2.08
Dauri Moreta 29 30.1 8.9 9.7 3.1 6.23
Joel Kuhnel 28 31.1 8.6 10.9 1.6 5.74
Buck Farmer 19 21.1 11.8 10.9 0.9 5.91
Ross Detwiler 19 16.0 9.6 13.5 2.3 3.94

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesús Luzardo

  • When Luzardo starts, his team is 3-3-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, May 11, when he threw two innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up four earned runs.
  • Luzardo has made four starts of five or more innings in six chances this season, and averages 4.3 frames when he pitches.
  • When Luzardo starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 1-2.
  • Luzardo’s team has won two of his six starts this season.
  • In Luzardo’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 1, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tanner Scott 45 42.2 61 4.64 1 14
Anthony Bass 45 44.2 45 1.41 16 0
Steven Okert 42 36.1 46 2.72 13 0
Richard Bleier 33 30.1 17 4.15 3 0
Dylan Floro 30 28.1 20 3.49 3 2

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • The Marlins are 15-11 this season in games when they send out two or more homers.
  • The Marlins have collected five or more extra-base hits in 16 games this season, and went 14-2 in those contests.
  • The team has put up at least eight hits 51 times this season, and has a 32-19 record in those games.
  • The Marlins are 30-4 in games this season that they put up five or more runs.
  • The Marlins are 9-5 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They are 10-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • They have gone 10-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 27 of the 49 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 40 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 27-13.
  • In 15 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 9-6

Marlins vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (-108)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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