The Miami Marlins (47-55) host the Cincinnati Reds (40-61) to open a three-game series at LoanDepot park, with first pitch at 6:40 PM ET on Monday. The Marlins are on the back of a series defeat to the Mets, and the Reds a series win over the Orioles. Miami’s ( to win) Jesus Luzardo gets the start versus Cincinnati’s () Hunter Greene.
The betting facts in what follows are based off odds valid as of August 1, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET. See below for a table with the latest odds for this contest and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at BetMGM today!
Marlins vs Reds Betting Lines
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won 28, or 60.9%, of the 46 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Miami has a record of 28-18, a 60.9% win rate, when favored by -110 or more by bookmakers this season.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 52.4% chance to win.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 102 games with a total this season.
- The Marlins are 45-57-0 against the spread in their 102 chances this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 9.20 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been victorious in 29, or 37.7%, of the 77 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- Cincinnati has a mark of 29-47 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -108 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 54 of 101 chances this season.
- The Reds have an against the spread mark of 48-53-0 in 101 games with a line this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.50 |
| K/9 | 8.90 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene
- Greene (3-12 with a 5.59 ERA and 119 strikeouts in 96 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Reds, his 20th of the season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday against the Miami Marlins, when he went six innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing nine hits.
- Greene will try to build on a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.0 innings per outing).
- The Reds have been the moneyline underdog in 18 of Greene’s starts this season, and they went 3-15 in those games.
- Greene’s team has a 4-15 record in his starts this season.
- Greene’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in nine of 19 games.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 1, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | K/9 | H/9 | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Diaz | 37 | 39.0 | 11.1 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 2.08 |
| Dauri Moreta | 29 | 30.1 | 8.9 | 9.7 | 3.1 | 6.23 |
| Joel Kuhnel | 28 | 31.1 | 8.6 | 10.9 | 1.6 | 5.74 |
| Buck Farmer | 19 | 21.1 | 11.8 | 10.9 | 0.9 | 5.91 |
| Ross Detwiler | 19 | 16.0 | 9.6 | 13.5 | 2.3 | 3.94 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesús Luzardo
- When Luzardo starts, his team is 3-3-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, May 11, when he threw two innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up four earned runs.
- Luzardo has made four starts of five or more innings in six chances this season, and averages 4.3 frames when he pitches.
- When Luzardo starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 1-2.
- Luzardo’s team has won two of his six starts this season.
- In Luzardo’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 1, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 45 | 42.2 | 61 | 4.64 | 1 | 14 |
| Anthony Bass | 45 | 44.2 | 45 | 1.41 | 16 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 42 | 36.1 | 46 | 2.72 | 13 | 0 |
| Richard Bleier | 33 | 30.1 | 17 | 4.15 | 3 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 30 | 28.1 | 20 | 3.49 | 3 | 2 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are 15-11 this season in games when they send out two or more homers.
- The Marlins have collected five or more extra-base hits in 16 games this season, and went 14-2 in those contests.
- The team has put up at least eight hits 51 times this season, and has a 32-19 record in those games.
- The Marlins are 30-4 in games this season that they put up five or more runs.
- The Marlins are 9-5 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 10-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- They have gone 10-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 27 of the 49 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 40 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 27-13.
- In 15 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 9-6
Marlins vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (-108)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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