Marlins Vs Reds: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – August 2, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 4, 2022

The Miami Marlins (47-56) will try to snap a four-game losing streak when hosting the Cincinnati Reds (41-61) at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday. Miami (-141 to win) has Braxton Garrett starting, and Cincinnati (+121) counters with Graham Ashcraft.

The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of August 2, 2022 at 5:14 PM ET. Check out the table below for the most up-to-date lines for this outing and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at FanDuel today!

Marlins vs Reds Betting Lines

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have won 28, or 59.6%, of the 47 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Miami has a record of 13-11, a 54.2% win rate, when favored by -141 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 58.5%.
  • Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 103 games with a total this season.
  • The Marlins are 45-58-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.8
HR 6
ERA 5.01
K/9 8.80

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been underdogs in 78 games this season and have come away with the win 30 times (38.5%) in those contests.
  • This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 22 times in 56 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 45.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 54 of 102 chances this season.
  • The Reds have posted a record of 49-53-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 11
ERA 3.10
K/9 8.70

Reds Probable Pitcher – Graham Ashcraft

  • Ashcraft gets the start for the Reds, his 13th of the season. He is 4-2 with a 4.64 ERA and 46 strikeouts through 66 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday against the Miami Marlins, when he went six innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • Ashcraft has pitched five or more innings in a game eight times this season entering this outing.
  • The Reds have been the underdog on the moneyline in eight of Ashcraft’s starts this season, and they went 6-2 in those matchups.
  • Ashcraft’s team has an 8-4 record in his starts this season.
  • Ashcraft’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in seven of 12 games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 2, 2022 at 5:14 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Hunter Strickland 41 37.1 7.7 10.6 1.4 6.51
Alexis Diaz 37 39.0 11.1 4.4 1.0 2.08
Dauri Moreta 29 30.1 8.9 9.7 3.1 6.23
Joel Kuhnel 28 31.1 8.6 10.9 1.6 5.74
Ross Detwiler 19 16.0 9.6 13.5 2.3 3.94

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett

  • Garrett and his team are 4-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed five innings while giving up five earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds.
  • Garrett will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
  • Garrett has started three games with his team as the moneyline favorite and won each of them.
  • Garrett’s team has won five of his 10 starts.
  • Out of Garrett’s 10 starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 2, 2022 at 5:14 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tanner Scott 45 42.2 61 4.64 1 14
Anthony Bass 45 44.2 45 1.41 16 0
Steven Okert 43 37.1 47 2.89 13 0
Richard Bleier 33 30.1 17 4.15 3 0
Dylan Floro 31 29.1 20 3.38 3 2

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • The Marlins have hit two or more homers in 26 games this season, and are 15-11 in those contests.
  • The Marlins have racked up at least five extra-base hits in 16 games this season, and finished 14-2 in those contests.
  • The club has racked up at least eight hits 51 times this season, and has a 32-19 record in those games.
  • The Marlins have a 30-4 record in games this season that they put up at least five runs.
  • The Marlins are 9-5 in the 14 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 23 games this season and are 10-13 in those matchups.
  • In 14 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 10-4.
  • They have won 28 of the 50 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 40 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 27-13.
  • In 15 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 9-6

Marlins vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (+121)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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