Brewers Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – August 2, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 4, 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (57-45) and Pittsburgh Pirates (39-62) square off in the first of a three-game series on Tuesday at PNC Park, at 7:05 PM ET. The Brewers are coming off a series victory over the Red Sox, and the Pirates a series loss to the Phillies. Corbin Burnes pitches for Milwaukee (-292 to win) while Pittsburgh (+242) will answer with Bryse Wilson.

This article references odds updated as of August 2, 2022 at 7:14 PM ET. Browse all the up-to-date odds for this contest below and click here to claim your free sports bet (up to $1,001) at Caesars!

Brewers vs Pirates Betting Lines

Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have been favored 80 times and won 47, or 58.8%, of those games.
  • Milwaukee has played as a favorite of -292 or more twice this season and won both games.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 74.5% chance to win.
  • Games involving Milwaukee have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 51 of 102 chances this season.
  • In 102 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 46-56-0 ATS.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.2
HR 18
ERA 4.40
K/9 10.47

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been underdogs in 86 games this season and have come away with the win 31 times (36%) in those contests.
  • This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win two times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +242 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 29.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 41 of their 102 opportunities.
  • The Pirates are 53-49-0 against the spread in their 102 games that had a posted line this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 6
ERA 4.15
K/9 5.84

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Bryse Wilson

  • Wilson makes the start for the Pirates, his 12th of the season. He is 1-6 with a 6.31 ERA and 40 strikeouts in 55 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Tuesday, July 26 against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw six innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Wilson is looking to pick up his sixth start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
  • The Pirates are 4-6 in Wilson’s 10 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Wilson’s team has a 5-6 record in his starts this season.
  • Wilson has had 11 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in six of those outings.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 2, 2022 at 7:14 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Wil Crowe 41 56.0 8.5 7.9 0.5 3.21
David Bednar 40 46.1 12.0 8.1 0.9 3.11
Chris Stratton 39 40.2 8.2 14.1 1.1 5.09
Duane Underwood Jr. 23 29.0 9.9 10.0 0.3 4.03
Tyler Beede 23 40.1 5.4 9.2 0.7 3.12

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes

  • When Burnes starts, his team is 8-12-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw six innings against the Minnesota Twins, giving up three earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Burnes has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Burnes’ team has been victorious in 68.4% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 13-6.
  • Burnes’ team has won 13 of his 20 starts this season.
  • In Burnes’ 20 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over nine times.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 2, 2022 at 7:14 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Devin Williams 43 39.2 66 1.59 25 6
Hoby Milner 42 39.0 33 3.00 5 0
Taylor Rogers 42 41.1 48 4.35 0 28
Brad Boxberger 41 39.1 37 2.75 19 1
Trevor Gott 34 33.1 38 4.59 10 0

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • The Brewers have a record this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • The Brewers have gone 12-4 in the 16 games this season when they have collected five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club is 37-18 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
  • The Brewers are 39-9 in games this season that they scored five or more runs.
  • The Brewers have drawn five or more walks in 28 games this season, and are 20-8 in those contests.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 25 games this season and are 17-8 in those matchups.
  • In 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 10-2.
  • In 45 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 29-16.
  • They have won 25 of their 33 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 11 of their 19 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+242)

Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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