Braves Vs Phillies: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – August 2, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 4, 2022

The Atlanta Braves (61-41) and Philadelphia Phillies (55-47) both head into Tuesday’s outing on winning streaks. The Braves have won three in a row, the Phillies five in a row. Spencer Strider pitches for Atlanta (-248 to win) while Philadelphia (+210) will answer with Nick Nelson.

The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of August 2, 2022 at 7:16 PM ET. See below for a table with the latest odds for this outing and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Phillies Betting Lines

Braves Betting Insights

  • This season, the Braves have won 54 out of the 81 games, or 66.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Atlanta has a record of 6-1 when favored by -248 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Braves have a 71.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 51 of their 103 games with a total this season.
  • The Braves are 51-52-0 against the spread in their 103 chances this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 11
ERA 3.87
K/9 9.84

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have won in 20, or 50%, of the 40 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Philadelphia has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +210.
  • The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 32.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 52 of their 102 opportunities.
  • The Phillies are 51-51-0 against the spread in their 102 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 11
ERA 4.30
K/9 9.10

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Nick Nelson

  • The Phillies are sending Nelson (3-1) to the mound to make his second start of the season.
  • His last time out came out of the bullpen on Tuesday, July 26 when the righty tossed one inning against the Atlanta Braves, surrendering one earned run while allowing two hits.
  • The Phillies were the moneyline underdog for one Nelson start this season — they lost.
  • His team has lost the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Nelson’s lone start with a total this season went under.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 2, 2022 at 7:16 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Corey Knebel 42 41.1 8.3 6.2 0.7 2.40
Brad Hand 40 31.2 7.7 7.9 0.0 1.99
Seranthony Domínguez 39 37.2 10.8 6.3 0.6 1.67
Jeurys Familia 38 34.0 8.7 14.9 1.9 6.09
José Alvarado 37 30.0 13.8 12.3 0.8 5.10

Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider

  • Strider’s team is 6-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in six innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday, July 26.
  • In 11 starts, Strider has pitched through or past the fifth inning six times. He has a season average of 3.2 frames per outing.
  • Strider’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-4.
  • In games Strider has started, his team is 6-5.
  • In games Strider has started this season, the teams are 4-7-0 at hitting the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 2, 2022 at 7:16 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 46 42.1 54 2.55 18 5
Will Smith 41 36.2 41 4.42 10 5
Kenley Jansen 39 39.0 53 3.46 0 24
Collin McHugh 35 44.1 46 2.84 7 0
Jesse Chávez 33 44.0 50 2.66 7 0

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves are 35-10 this season in games when they crush two or more bombs.
  • The Braves are 22-4 in games this season when they have put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has racked up eight or more hits in 65 games this season, and is 49-16 in those contests.
  • The Braves have a 41-5 record in games this season that they scored five or more runs.
  • The Braves are 11-7 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 34 games this season and are 24-10 in those matchups.
  • In 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 16-3.
  • They have a record of 40-20 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • They have won 34 of their 42 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 14-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Braves vs. Phillies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Phillies (+210)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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