Astros Vs Guardians: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – August 4, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 4, 2022

The Houston Astros (68-38) visit the Cleveland Guardians (54-50) to open a four-game series at Progressive Field, with first pitch at 7:10 PM ET on Thursday. The Astros are coming off a series defeat to the Red Sox, and the Guardians a series win over the Diamondbacks. Justin Verlander pitches for Houston (-183 to win) while Cleveland (+154) will answer with Zach Plesac.

The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of August 4, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET. See below for a table with the latest odds for this outing and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at FanDuel today!

Astros vs Guardians Betting Lines

Astros Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have been favored 90 times and won 61, or 67.8%, of those games.
  • Houston is 22-13 this season when entering a game favored by -183 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 64.7%.
  • Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 38 of their 106 games with a total this season.
  • The Astros are 54-52-0 against the spread in their 106 chances this season.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 11
ERA 3.27
K/9 9.31

Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have won in 24, or 42.1%, of the 57 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This year, Cleveland has won five of 13 games when listed as at least +154 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 39.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of their 104 opportunities.
  • The Guardians have an against the spread mark of 55-49-0 in 104 games with a line this season.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 10
ERA 3.84
K/9 9.30

Guardians Probable Pitcher – Zach Plesac

  • Plesac (2-9) gets the starting nod for the Guardians in his 20th start of the season. He has a 4.24 ERA in 104 innings pitched, with 79 strikeouts.
  • His last time out came on Saturday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when the righty threw five innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • Plesac is looking for his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 innings per start.
  • The Guardians have a 3-8 record in Plesac’s 11 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Plesac’s team has won seven of his 19 starts.
  • Plesac’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in nine of 19 contests.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 4, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Emmanuel Clase 46 44.1 9.3 5.0 0.4 1.22
Trevor Stephan 41 41.1 10.9 10.9 0.5 2.40
Bryan Shaw 39 38.1 7.3 10.4 2.0 5.87
Sam Hentges 37 38.0 9.7 9.0 0.9 3.55
Eli Morgan 32 46.0 10.8 7.0 1.6 3.72

Astros Probable Pitcher – Justin Verlander

  • Verlander and his team have a record of 12-7-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw seven innings against the Seattle Mariners, giving up one earned run while allowing five hits.
  • Verlander has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Verlander’s team is 14-3 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Verlander’s team has a 15-4 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Verlander’s 19 starts with a total this season, four have hit the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of August 4, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Héctor Neris 46 43.0 47 3.56 18 1
Rafael Montero 45 44.0 47 1.64 16 7
Phil Maton 44 42.2 44 3.37 10 0
Will Smith 42 37.2 41 4.54 10 5
Ryne Stanek 39 36.1 40 1.24 10 1

Astros Hitting Trends

  • The Astros are 35-5 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
  • The Astros have gone 24-4 in the 28 games this season when they have had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up at least eight hits in 54 games this season, and is 39-15 in those contests.
  • The Astros have a 40-3 record in games this season that they put up at least five runs.
  • The Astros have gone 24-6 over the 30 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 20 games this season and are 15-5 in those matchups.
  • They’ve won 15 of their 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 60 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 45-15.
  • They have won 37 of their 39 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 12 of their 16 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Astros vs. Guardians Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Guardians (+154)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy