The New York Mets (62-37) carry a four-game win streak into a road contest versus the Miami Marlins (47-53) at 6:10 PM ET on Saturday. Carlos Carrasco is starting for New York ( to win), and Nick Neidert is Miami’s () pick to start.
The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of July 30, 2022 at 5:14 PM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this contest and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at FanDuel today!
Mets vs Marlins Betting Lines
Mets Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have won 48 out of the 71 games, or 67.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
- New York is 4-2 this season when entering a game favored by -201 or more on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 66.8% chance to win.
- So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 99 games with a total.
- The Mets are 52-47-0 ATS in their 99 games with a spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 2.35 |
| K/9 | 9.59 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been victorious in 19, or 35.2%, of the 54 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Miami has been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +171 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 36.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Miami and their opponents have hit the over in 49 of their 100 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 100 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 45-55-0 against the spread.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 10.74 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Nick Neidert
- Neidert starts for the first time this season for the Marlins.
- It’s the season debut and his first appearance in more than a year for the 25-year-old right-hander.
- Neidert and his team were moneyline underdogs every time he pitched a season ago.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 30, 2022 at 5:14 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | K/9 | H/9 | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 45 | 42.2 | 12.9 | 7.2 | 0.7 | 4.64 |
| Anthony Bass | 45 | 44.2 | 9.1 | 7.6 | 0.2 | 1.41 |
| Steven Okert | 42 | 36.1 | 11.4 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 2.72 |
| Richard Bleier | 32 | 29.0 | 5.3 | 15.5 | 0.8 | 4.03 |
| Dylan Floro | 30 | 28.1 | 6.4 | 8.3 | 0.7 | 3.49 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco
- Carrasco and his team have a record of 11-8-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw five scoreless innings against the San Diego Padres while allowing six hits.
- Carrasco will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
- Carrasco’s team has been victorious in 68.8% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-5.
- Carrasco’s team is 12-7 when he starts this season.
- Games Carrasco has started this season hit the over 10 times in 19 chances.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 30, 2022 at 5:14 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwin Díaz | 43 | 42.2 | 86 | 1.69 | 1 | 23 |
| Adam Ottavino | 40 | 39.1 | 46 | 2.29 | 13 | 0 |
| Seth Lugo | 38 | 38.2 | 37 | 3.49 | 12 | 3 |
| Joely Rodriguez | 34 | 27.1 | 33 | 5.93 | 8 | 0 |
| Trevor Williams | 11 | 58.2 | 55 | 3.37 | 1 | 1 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have a record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- The Mets are 15-5 in games this season when they have put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has put up eight or more hits 61 times this season, and has a 47-14 record in those games.
- The Mets are 44-4 in games this season that they put up at least five runs.
- The Mets are 14-4 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They are 15-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 15 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 14-1.
- They have a record of 32-18 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- They have won 30 of their 34 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
- They have won nine of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Mets vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (+171)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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