Mets Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – July 30, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 1, 2022 - Last Updated on August 4, 2022

The New York Mets (62-37) carry a four-game win streak into a road contest versus the Miami Marlins (47-53) at 6:10 PM ET on Saturday. Carlos Carrasco is starting for New York (-201 to win), and Nick Neidert is Miami’s (+171) pick to start.

The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of July 30, 2022 at 5:14 PM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this contest and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at FanDuel today!

Mets vs Marlins Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

  • This season, the Mets have won 48 out of the 71 games, or 67.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • New York is 4-2 this season when entering a game favored by -201 or more on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 66.8% chance to win.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 99 games with a total.
  • The Mets are 52-47-0 ATS in their 99 games with a spread this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 9
ERA 2.35
K/9 9.59

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have been victorious in 19, or 35.2%, of the 54 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Miami has been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +171 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 36.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Miami and their opponents have hit the over in 49 of their 100 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 100 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 45-55-0 against the spread.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 6
ERA 4.70
K/9 10.74

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Nick Neidert

  • Neidert starts for the first time this season for the Marlins.
  • It’s the season debut and his first appearance in more than a year for the 25-year-old right-hander.
  • Neidert and his team were moneyline underdogs every time he pitched a season ago.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 30, 2022 at 5:14 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Tanner Scott 45 42.2 12.9 7.2 0.7 4.64
Anthony Bass 45 44.2 9.1 7.6 0.2 1.41
Steven Okert 42 36.1 11.4 7.1 2.3 2.72
Richard Bleier 32 29.0 5.3 15.5 0.8 4.03
Dylan Floro 30 28.1 6.4 8.3 0.7 3.49

Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco

  • Carrasco and his team have a record of 11-8-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw five scoreless innings against the San Diego Padres while allowing six hits.
  • Carrasco will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
  • Carrasco’s team has been victorious in 68.8% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 11-5.
  • Carrasco’s team is 12-7 when he starts this season.
  • Games Carrasco has started this season hit the over 10 times in 19 chances.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 30, 2022 at 5:14 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Edwin Díaz 43 42.2 86 1.69 1 23
Adam Ottavino 40 39.1 46 2.29 13 0
Seth Lugo 38 38.2 37 3.49 12 3
Joely Rodriguez 34 27.1 33 5.93 8 0
Trevor Williams 11 58.2 55 3.37 1 1

Mets Hitting Trends

  • The Mets have a record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • The Mets are 15-5 in games this season when they have put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has put up eight or more hits 61 times this season, and has a 47-14 record in those games.
  • The Mets are 44-4 in games this season that they put up at least five runs.
  • The Mets are 14-4 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • They are 15-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 15 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 14-1.
  • They have a record of 32-18 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • They have won 30 of their 34 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • They have won nine of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Marlins (+171)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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