Twins Vs Orioles: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – July 2, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 4, 2022

The Minnesota Twins (44-36) host the Baltimore Orioles (35-43) on Saturday at Target Field, at 2:10 PM ET. Minnesota’s (-245 to win) Sonny Gray starts versus Baltimore’s (+204) Jordan Lyles.

This article uses lines updated as of July 2, 2022 at 1:12 PM ET. Find all the up-to-date odds for this matchup in the table below and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Twins vs Orioles Betting Lines

Twins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Twins have been favored 50 times and won 32, or 64%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has played as a favorite of -245 or more twice this season and won both games.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 71%.
  • So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of their 80 games with a total.
  • The Twins are 35-45-0 against the spread in their 80 chances this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 12
ERA 1.92
K/9 6.67

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have won in 31, or 43.1%, of the 72 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Baltimore has been victorious three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +204 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 32.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Baltimore and their opponents have hit the over in 36 of their 78 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Orioles are 49-29-0 against the spread in their 78 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 11
ERA 2.49
K/9 7.70

Orioles Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles

  • Lyles (4-7 with a 4.94 ERA and 70 strikeouts in 85 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Orioles, his 16th of the season.
  • In his most recent outing on Sunday against the Chicago White Sox, the right-hander tossed seven innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • Lyles will aim to pitch five or more innings for his sixth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
  • The Orioles are 5-9 in Lyles’ 14 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Lyles’ team has a 5-10 record in his starts this season.
  • Lyles has had 15 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in seven of those matchups.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 1:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Jorge López 33 37.0 9.5 5.2 0.3 1.22
Felix Bautista 33 30.2 10.6 9.4 1.3 1.76
Dillon Tate 32 36.2 7.1 9.0 0.3 1.96
Cionel Pérez 30 25.0 8.3 12.7 0.5 1.44
Bryan Baker 27 32.1 8.1 12.5 0.4 4.73

Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray

  • Gray’s team is 6-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
  • In 10 starts this season, Gray has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 4.3 innings per appearance.
  • When Gray starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-2.
  • Gray’s team is 7-3 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Gray have a 5-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 1:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Caleb Thielbar 33 28.2 37 5.65 8 1
Tyler Duffey 29 33.0 32 4.64 9 1
Griffin Jax 27 37.1 44 2.65 7 1
Emilio Pagán 27 25.2 34 5.26 4 9
Jhoan Duran 27 35.0 46 2.06 9 5

Twins Hitting Trends

  • The Twins are 18-5 this season in games when they send out at least two home runs.
  • The Twins have had at least five extra-base hits in 18 games this season, and finished 14-4 in those contests.
  • The team is 36-13 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
  • The Twins are 31-4 in games this season that they scored at least five runs.
  • The Twins are 13-2 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • They are 14-6 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • They have gone 11-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 25-11 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 32 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 24-8.
  • They have a 8-5 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Twins vs. Orioles Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+204)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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