The Minnesota Twins (44-36) host the Baltimore Orioles (35-43) on Saturday at Target Field, at 2:10 PM ET. Minnesota’s ( to win) Sonny Gray starts versus Baltimore’s () Jordan Lyles.
This article uses lines updated as of July 2, 2022 at 1:12 PM ET. Find all the up-to-date odds for this matchup in the table below and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Orioles Betting Lines
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have been favored 50 times and won 32, or 64%, of those games.
- Minnesota has played as a favorite of -245 or more twice this season and won both games.
- The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 71%.
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of their 80 games with a total.
- The Twins are 35-45-0 against the spread in their 80 chances this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 1.92 |
| K/9 | 6.67 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have won in 31, or 43.1%, of the 72 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
- This season, Baltimore has been victorious three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +204 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 32.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Baltimore and their opponents have hit the over in 36 of their 78 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Orioles are 49-29-0 against the spread in their 78 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.49 |
| K/9 | 7.70 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles
- Lyles (4-7 with a 4.94 ERA and 70 strikeouts in 85 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Orioles, his 16th of the season.
- In his most recent outing on Sunday against the Chicago White Sox, the right-hander tossed seven innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Lyles will aim to pitch five or more innings for his sixth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
- The Orioles are 5-9 in Lyles’ 14 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Lyles’ team has a 5-10 record in his starts this season.
- Lyles has had 15 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in seven of those matchups.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 1:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | K/9 | H/9 | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge López | 33 | 37.0 | 9.5 | 5.2 | 0.3 | 1.22 |
| Felix Bautista | 33 | 30.2 | 10.6 | 9.4 | 1.3 | 1.76 |
| Dillon Tate | 32 | 36.2 | 7.1 | 9.0 | 0.3 | 1.96 |
| Cionel Pérez | 30 | 25.0 | 8.3 | 12.7 | 0.5 | 1.44 |
| Bryan Baker | 27 | 32.1 | 8.1 | 12.5 | 0.4 | 4.73 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray
- Gray’s team is 6-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
- In 10 starts this season, Gray has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 4.3 innings per appearance.
- When Gray starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-2.
- Gray’s team is 7-3 when he starts this season.
- Games started by Gray have a 5-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 1:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Thielbar | 33 | 28.2 | 37 | 5.65 | 8 | 1 |
| Tyler Duffey | 29 | 33.0 | 32 | 4.64 | 9 | 1 |
| Griffin Jax | 27 | 37.1 | 44 | 2.65 | 7 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 27 | 25.2 | 34 | 5.26 | 4 | 9 |
| Jhoan Duran | 27 | 35.0 | 46 | 2.06 | 9 | 5 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins are 18-5 this season in games when they send out at least two home runs.
- The Twins have had at least five extra-base hits in 18 games this season, and finished 14-4 in those contests.
- The team is 36-13 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- The Twins are 31-4 in games this season that they scored at least five runs.
- The Twins are 13-2 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They are 14-6 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- They have gone 11-4 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 25-11 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 32 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 24-8.
- They have a 8-5 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Twins vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+204)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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