Phillies Vs Cardinals: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – July 2, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 4, 2022

Paul Goldschmidt is only two hits away from his 100th of the campaign as his St. Louis Cardinals (43-36) face the Philadelphia Phillies (41-37) on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET. Kyle Gibson takes the mound first for Philadelphia (-125 to win), and Matthew Liberatore is St. Louis’ (+106) pick to start.

The betting trends in the article below reflect odds as of July 2, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET. See below for a table with the latest odds for this contest and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 47 games this season and won 26 (55.3%) of those contests.
  • This season, Philadelphia has won 20 of its 37 games, or 54.1%, when favored by at least -125 on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have a 55.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 43 of 78 chances this season.
  • The Phillies are 38-40-0 ATS in their 78 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 14
ERA 3.62
K/9 9.72

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (41.7%) in those games.
  • St. Louis has a win-loss record of 7-17 when favored by +106 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 48.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 39 of their 79 opportunities.
  • The Cardinals have an against the spread record of 42-37-0 in 79 games with a line this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 12
ERA 3.34
K/9 7.38

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Matthew Liberatore

  • Liberatore gets the start for the Cardinals, his fifth of the season. He is 2-1 with a 4.00 ERA and 15 strikeouts in 18 innings pitched.
  • His last time out came on Tuesday, June 14 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when the lefty threw five scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
  • Liberatore will try to secure his third game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Cardinals were the underdog on the moneyline for one Liberatore start this season — they won.
  • Liberatore’s team has put together a 3-1 record over his four starts.
  • Liberatore has started four contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Nick Wittgren 29 29.0 5.3 13.7 0.4 5.90
Giovanny Gallegos 28 30.0 11.1 7.4 1.0 3.00
Ryan Helsley 25 30.2 13.2 3.6 0.4 0.88
Andre Pallante 18 55.2 5.3 9.0 0.7 2.10
Jake Woodford 11 20.2 4.8 8.5 0.5 3.05

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson

  • When Gibson starts, his team is 11-4-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander gave up five earned runs in two innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
  • Gibson has made 10 starts of five or more innings in 15 chances this season, and averages 5.1 frames when he pitches.
  • Gibson’s team is 5-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Gibson’s team has a 9-6 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Gibson’s 15 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brad Hand 32 24.1 25 2.22 8 3
Corey Knebel 32 31.0 27 3.19 2 11
Seranthony Domínguez 30 28.2 37 1.57 12 2
Jeurys Familia 29 26.1 25 5.13 6 0
Andrew Bellatti 29 25.2 38 3.51 5 1

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • The Phillies are 19-7 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
  • The Phillies have gone 13-3 in the 16 games this season when they have racked up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 30-16 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
  • The Phillies are 27-7 in games this season that they scored at least five runs.
  • The Phillies are 13-8 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • They are 17-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 14-2.
  • They have a record of 34-10 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • They have won 32 of their 39 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 12-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (+106)

Over/Under Pick: Under (10)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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