Nationals Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – July 2, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 4, 2022

Josh Bell leads the Washington Nationals (29-50) into a matchup with Garrett Cooper and the Miami Marlins (35-40) at Nationals Park, on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET. Bell is at .325, the fifth-best average in the league, and Cooper ranks seventh at .321. Washington’s (-109 to win) Jackson Tetreault gets the start versus Miami’s (-109) Daniel Castano.

The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of July 2, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET. See the table below for the latest odds on this game and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Nationals vs Marlins Betting Lines

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have been favorites in 13 games this season and won seven (53.8%) of those contests.
  • Washington is 7-6 this season when entering a game favored by -109 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.2% chance of a victory for the Nationals.
  • Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of their 79 opportunities.
  • The Nationals are 33-46-0 ATS in their 79 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 7
ERA 3.35
K/9 8.27

Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 43 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (34.9%) in those games.
  • Miami has a win-loss record of 14-28 when favored by -109 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Contests with Miami have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 38 of 75 chances this season.
  • The Marlins are 38-37-0 against the spread in their 75 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 11
ERA 3.99
K/9 8.69

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Daniel Castano

  • Castano (0-1 with a 2.57 ERA and 12 strikeouts in 21 innings pitched) gets the start for the Marlins, his fourth of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last time out came on Sunday against the New York Mets, when he threw seven innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Castano is trying to record his third start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
  • The Marlins were named the moneyline underdog for two Castano starts this season — they split the games.
  • In Castano’s three starts, his team is 2-1.
  • Castano’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in one of three contests.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Tanner Scott 33 30.0 14.4 6.8 1.0 4.20
Anthony Bass 32 32.0 8.2 8.7 0.3 1.69
Steven Okert 31 24.2 11.3 6.9 1.6 2.19
Richard Bleier 23 19.1 5.6 20.1 1.4 5.59
Dylan Floro 19 18.0 3.5 11.3 1.1 5.50

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Jackson Tetreault

  • Tetreault’s team is 2-1-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in six innings pitched against the Texas Rangers on Sunday.
  • Tetreault has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • This will be Tetreault’s first start this season with his team as the moneyline favorite.
  • In games Tetreault has started, his team is 2-1.
  • The teams have hit the over in each of the three games Tetreault has started this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Kyle Finnegan 33 30.0 36 4.20 11 1
Steve Cishek 32 31.0 33 4.94 4 1
Erasmo Ramírez 27 35.0 25 4.11 1 0
Tanner Rainey 25 25.0 30 3.24 1 11
Carl Edwards Jr. 24 28.0 27 3.21 5 0

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • The Nationals have put up at least two dingers in 14 games this season, and are 11-3 in those outings.
  • The Nationals are 10-4 in games this season when they have had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club is 21-22 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
  • The Nationals are 21-5 in the games this season that they put up five or more runs.
  • The Nationals are 11-10 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Marlins Hitting Trends

  • They are 12-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • They have gone 10-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 23 of the 40 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 27 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 23-4.
  • In 12 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-5

Nationals vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-109)

Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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