Brewers Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – July 2, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 4, 2022

Christian Yelich carries a 10-game hitting streak into the Milwaukee Brewers’ (45-34) game against the Pittsburgh Pirates (30-46) at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday, at PNC Park. Aaron Ashby is starting for Milwaukee (-219 to win), and Bryse Wilson is Pittsburgh’s (+184) pick to start.

The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of July 2, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET. Head to the table below for the latest lines for this outing and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at FanDuel today!

Brewers vs Pirates Betting Lines

Brewers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Brewers have been favored 61 times and won 36, or 59%, of those games.
  • This season, Milwaukee has won seven of its nine games, or 77.8%, when favored by at least -219 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 68.7% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
  • So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of their 79 games with a total.
  • The Brewers are 37-42-0 against the spread in their 79 chances this season.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.7
HR 21
ERA 4.65
K/9 8.90

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 61 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (36.1%) in those games.
  • Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 5-8 when favored by +184 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 35.2% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 32 of their 77 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Pirates have posted a record of 37-40-0 against the spread this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 21
ERA 7.36
K/9 7.77

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Bryse Wilson

  • Wilson (0-4) takes the mound first for the Pirates in his eighth start of the season. He has an 8.29 ERA in 33 2/3 innings pitched, with 27 strikeouts.
  • The righty last pitched on Tuesday, June 14 against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he went five innings, allowing seven earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
  • Wilson is trying to record his third start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
  • The Pirates have a 2-4 record in Wilson’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Wilson’s seven starts, his team is 3-4.
  • Wilson has started seven contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in five of them.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Chris Stratton 32 32.1 8.4 13.5 1.4 5.29
Wil Crowe 29 44.1 9.3 7.2 0.5 3.45
David Bednar 29 35.2 12.1 7.5 0.9 2.52
Tyler Beede 17 29.1 4.9 11.1 0.7 3.68
Chase De Jong 16 29.2 7.0 6.0 1.7 1.82

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Aaron Ashby

  • When Ashby starts, his team is 4-4-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Thursday, June 16 against the New York Mets, throwing four innings and giving up four earned runs.
  • Ashby has made four starts of five or more innings in eight chances this season, and averages 3.3 frames when he pitches.
  • Ashby’s team has a record of 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Ashby’s team has won four of his eight starts this season.
  • In Ashby’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 3:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Devin Williams 33 29.2 49 2.12 20 5
Hoby Milner 32 30.2 26 2.05 3 0
Brad Boxberger 30 29.2 26 2.12 16 1
Josh Hader 26 24.2 41 1.09 0 24
Brent Suter 24 30.1 20 4.45 1 0

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • The Brewers have hit two or more home runs in 33 games this season, and are 26-7 in those contests.
  • The Brewers have had at least five extra-base hits in 12 games this season, and went 8-4 in those contests.
  • The team is 28-13 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
  • The Brewers are 32-6 in games this season that they scored at least five runs.
  • The Brewers have gone 14-6 over the 20 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 22 games this season and are 14-8 in those matchups.
  • They have gone 8-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 36 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 23-13.
  • They have a 20-6 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 11-5

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+184)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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