The Atlanta Braves (44-33) and Cincinnati Reds (26-50) square off on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, at Great American Ball Park. Spencer Strider is pitching for Atlanta ( to win), and Tyler Mahle is Cincinnati’s () pick to start.
This article uses betting data current as of July 2, 2022 at 3:13 PM ET. Browse all the latest odds for this matchup below and click here to claim your free sports bet (up to $1,001) at Caesars!
Braves vs Reds Betting Lines
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have entered the game as favorites 56 times this season and won 37, or 66.1%, of those games.
- Atlanta is 16-8 this season when entering a game favored by -180 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 64.3%.
- Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 41 of 78 chances this season.
- In 78 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 38-40-0 ATS.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 4.95 |
| K/9 | 10.09 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 59 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (33.9%) in those games.
- Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 7-18 when favored by +153 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 39.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 43 of their 76 opportunities.
- The Reds have posted a record of 33-43-0 against the spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 7.76 |
| K/9 | 8.59 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Tyler Mahle
- Mahle gets the start for the Reds, his 17th of the season. He is 3-6 with a 4.53 ERA and 97 strikeouts in 87 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s last appearance was on Sunday against the San Francisco Giants, when he went six innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing four hits.
- Mahle is looking for his seventh straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per start.
- The Reds are 4-5 in Mahle’s nine starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Mahle’s team is 6-10 over his 16 starts.
- Mahle has had 16 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 12 of those matchups.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 3:13 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | K/9 | H/9 | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Art Warren | 30 | 27.1 | 9.9 | 10.2 | 2.0 | 6.59 |
| Hunter Strickland | 28 | 25.2 | 8.8 | 11.0 | 0.4 | 5.96 |
| Luis Cessa | 28 | 29.2 | 7.6 | 13.5 | 2.3 | 6.98 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 27 | 36.0 | 9.5 | 8.7 | 0.9 | 3.50 |
| Dauri Moreta | 20 | 20.0 | 9.5 | 11.1 | 4.2 | 7.65 |
Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider’s team is 3-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- In six starts this season, Strider has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 3.0 innings per appearance.
- Strider’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-2.
- Strider’s team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Strider’s six starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 3:13 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 35 | 33.0 | 44 | 1.64 | 16 | 1 |
| Will Smith | 33 | 30.0 | 31 | 3.30 | 9 | 3 |
| Collin McHugh | 26 | 32.0 | 39 | 3.09 | 5 | 0 |
| Jesse Chávez | 24 | 31.1 | 36 | 2.87 | 4 | 0 |
| Darren O’Day | 23 | 17.2 | 22 | 4.58 | 4 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have hit at least two dingers in 34 games this season, and are 26-8 in those contests.
- The Braves are 18-4 in games this season when they have put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits 50 times this season, and has a 38-12 record in those games.
- The Braves are 31-5 in the games this season that they scored at least five runs.
- The Braves have drawn five or more walks in 14 games this season, and are 9-5 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 6-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- They have gone 6-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 20-18 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- They have won 18 of their 29 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
- They have a 8-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Braves vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (+153)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Powered By Data Skrive using data from 
