Braves Vs Reds: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – July 2, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 4, 2022

The Atlanta Braves (44-33) and Cincinnati Reds (26-50) square off on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, at Great American Ball Park. Spencer Strider is pitching for Atlanta (-180 to win), and Tyler Mahle is Cincinnati’s (+153) pick to start.

This article uses betting data current as of July 2, 2022 at 3:13 PM ET. Browse all the latest odds for this matchup below and click here to claim your free sports bet (up to $1,001) at Caesars!

Braves vs Reds Betting Lines

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have entered the game as favorites 56 times this season and won 37, or 66.1%, of those games.
  • Atlanta is 16-8 this season when entering a game favored by -180 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 64.3%.
  • Games involving Atlanta have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 41 of 78 chances this season.
  • In 78 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 38-40-0 ATS.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-4
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 17
ERA 4.95
K/9 10.09

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 59 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (33.9%) in those games.
  • Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 7-18 when favored by +153 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 39.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 43 of their 76 opportunities.
  • The Reds have posted a record of 33-43-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 9
ERA 7.76
K/9 8.59

Reds Probable Pitcher – Tyler Mahle

  • Mahle gets the start for the Reds, his 17th of the season. He is 3-6 with a 4.53 ERA and 97 strikeouts in 87 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s last appearance was on Sunday against the San Francisco Giants, when he went six innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • Mahle is looking for his seventh straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per start.
  • The Reds are 4-5 in Mahle’s nine starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Mahle’s team is 6-10 over his 16 starts.
  • Mahle has had 16 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 12 of those matchups.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 3:13 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Art Warren 30 27.1 9.9 10.2 2.0 6.59
Hunter Strickland 28 25.2 8.8 11.0 0.4 5.96
Luis Cessa 28 29.2 7.6 13.5 2.3 6.98
Jeff Hoffman 27 36.0 9.5 8.7 0.9 3.50
Dauri Moreta 20 20.0 9.5 11.1 4.2 7.65

Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider

  • Strider’s team is 3-3-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • In six starts this season, Strider has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 3.0 innings per appearance.
  • Strider’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-2.
  • Strider’s team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Strider’s six starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 3:13 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 35 33.0 44 1.64 16 1
Will Smith 33 30.0 31 3.30 9 3
Collin McHugh 26 32.0 39 3.09 5 0
Jesse Chávez 24 31.1 36 2.87 4 0
Darren O’Day 23 17.2 22 4.58 4 0

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves have hit at least two dingers in 34 games this season, and are 26-8 in those contests.
  • The Braves are 18-4 in games this season when they have put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has put up at least eight hits 50 times this season, and has a 38-12 record in those games.
  • The Braves are 31-5 in the games this season that they scored at least five runs.
  • The Braves have drawn five or more walks in 14 games this season, and are 9-5 in those contests.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They are 6-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • They have gone 6-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 20-18 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • They have won 18 of their 29 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 8-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Braves vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (+153)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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