Yankees Vs Guardians: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – July 2, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 4, 2022

The New York Yankees (57-21) meet the Cleveland Guardians (39-35) after Matt Carpenter homered twice in a 13-4 victory over the Guardians. The game begins at 6:10 PM ET on Saturday. Nestor Cortes pitches for New York (-182 to win) while Cleveland (+153) will answer with Aaron Civale.

This article references lines current as of July 2, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET. See all the current odds for this contest in the table below and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Yankees vs Guardians Betting Lines

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have won 53, or 72.6%, of the 73 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • New York is 30-7 this season when entering a game favored by -182 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 64.5% chance to win.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of their 78 games with a total.
  • The Yankees are 40-38-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 19
ERA 3.30
K/9 8.60

Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have been underdogs in 41 games this season and have come away with the win 16 times (39%) in those contests.
  • This season, Cleveland has been victorious four times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +153 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 39.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 37 of their 74 opportunities.
  • The Guardians have an against the spread record of 39-35-0 in 74 games with a line this season.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.8
HR 5
ERA 5.70
K/9 7.10

Guardians Probable Pitcher – Aaron Civale

  • Civale (2-4 with a 7.20 ERA and 39 strikeouts in 40 innings pitched) makes the start for the Guardians, his 10th of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance came on Sunday against the Boston Red Sox, when he tossed four innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • Civale is looking to pick up his fourth start of five or more innings this year in this game.
  • The Guardians have been the moneyline underdog in seven of Civale’s starts this season, and they went 3-4 in those games.
  • Civale’s team has put together a 5-4 record in his nine starts.
  • Civale’s starts hit the over on the run total eight times in nine games with a set total this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Emmanuel Clase 35 33.1 9.7 6.2 0.3 1.35
Bryan Shaw 32 24.2 7.7 9.9 2.4 5.11
Trevor Stephan 30 28.2 9.4 10.6 0.8 3.14
Sam Hentges 26 27.0 10.3 6.8 1.1 2.33
Enyel De Los Santos 22 23.1 12.0 9.0 1.1 3.09

Yankees Probable Pitcher – Nestor Cortes

  • Cortes and his team have a record of 7-7-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw five innings against the Houston Astros, giving up three earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • In 14 starts this season, Cortes has lasted five or more innings 10 times, with an average of 5.2 innings per appearance.
  • Cortes’ team has won 71.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (10-4).
  • Cortes’ team is 10-4 when he starts this season.
  • Games started by Cortes have a 6-6-2 record at hitting the over this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 5:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Clay Holmes 35 36.2 38 0.49 7 14
Lucas Luetge 27 25.0 22 3.24 6 0
Michael King 26 41.2 56 2.38 12 1
Wandy Peralta 26 28.2 21 2.20 7 2
Aroldis Chapman 18 14.0 15 5.14 0 9

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • The Yankees have a record this season in games when they smash two or more homers.
  • The Yankees have gone 16-2 in the 18 games this season when they have collected at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club is 30-7 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
  • The Yankees have a 35-2 record in games this season that they scored at least five runs.
  • The Yankees have drawn five or more walks in 26 games this season, and are 21-5 in those contests.

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • They are 9-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • They have won each of their 11 games this season in which they’ve connected for five or more extra-base hits.
  • In 38 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 31-7.
  • In 28 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 26-2.
  • In 12 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-4

Yankees vs. Guardians Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Guardians (+153)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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