Red Sox Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – July 2, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 4, 2022

Christopher Morel rides a three-game homer streak into the Chicago Cubs’ (31-46) game versus the Boston Red Sox (43-34) at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday, at Wrigley Field. Boston’s (-153 to win) Josh Winckowski starts versus Chicago’s (+130) Alec Mills.

This article makes reference to odds current as of July 2, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET. Browse all the current odds for this contest in the table below and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Red Sox vs Cubs Betting Lines

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • This season, the Red Sox have been favored 45 times and won 29, or 64.4%, of those games.
  • This season, Boston has won 11 of its 19 games, or 57.9%, when favored by at least -153 on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have a 60.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Boston’s games have gone over the total in 32 of their 77 chances.
  • The Red Sox are 44-33-0 ATS in their 77 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 10
ERA 3.93
K/9 7.86

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have come away with 21 wins in the 53 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Chicago has won 11 of 26 games when listed as at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Chicago and their opponents have hit the over in 38 of their 77 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 77 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 39-38-0 against the spread.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.6
HR 13
ERA 4.25
K/9 10.42

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Alec Mills

  • Mills (0-1) gets the start for the Cubs, his second of the season.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he threw two innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • The Cubs were the moneyline underdog for one Mills start this season — they won.
  • His team has won the only game he’s appeared in this season.
  • Mills’ only start with a total this season went over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Scott Effross 34 32.2 11.3 10.5 0.4 2.76
Rowan Wick 31 31.0 9.3 14.0 1.0 5.23
Mychal Givens 29 29.1 12.0 9.7 1.8 3.68
David Robertson 27 30.0 11.7 4.5 1.0 1.80
Chris Martin 27 24.1 10.0 11.6 1.3 4.07

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Josh Winckowski

  • Winckowski’s team is 3-1-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, June 25, when he threw five innings against the Cleveland Guardians, giving up two earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Winckowski will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • Winckowski’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-1).
  • Winckowski’s team has won three of his four starts.
  • Games Winckowski has started this season hit the over one time in four chances.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of July 2, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jake Diekman 31 26.1 34 3.08 12 1
Ryan Brasier 31 29.1 29 4.30 6 0
Matt Strahm 28 23.2 26 3.80 9 3
Hirokazu Sawamura 28 27.1 22 2.63 1 0
Austin Davis 27 29.1 32 2.45 2 0

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • The Red Sox have hit at least two home runs in 22 games this season, and are 18-4 in those outings.
  • The Red Sox are 16-2 in games this season when they have put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club is 33-17 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
  • The Red Sox are 32-8 in the games this season that they put up five or more runs.
  • The Red Sox are 12-4 over the 16 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • They are 13-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 11-8.
  • They have won 24 of the 43 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 34 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 23-11.
  • They have a 11-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Red Sox vs. Cubs Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+130)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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