Pirates Vs Cubs: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – June 21, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 21, 2022

The Chicago Cubs (25-42) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (26-39) at 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday. Pittsburgh’s (-155 to win) Roansy Contreras gets the start versus Chicago’s (+131) Matt Swarmer.

This article refers to odds updated as of June 21, 2022 at 5:13 PM ET. Find all the latest odds for this game below and click here to claim your free sports bet (up to $1,001) at Caesars!

Pirates vs Cubs Betting Lines

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have won eight, or 57.1%, of the 14 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Pittsburgh has not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -155 odds on them winning this game.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 60.8%.
  • So far this season, Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 26 of their 66 games with a total.
  • In 66 games with a spread this season, the Pirates are 30-36-0 ATS.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-7
Runs Per Game 4.0
HR 12
ERA 5.04
K/9 7.71

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have won in 18, or 37.5%, of the 48 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Chicago has a mark of 9-13 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +131 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Contests with Chicago have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 32 of 67 chances this season.
  • The Cubs have posted a record of 33-34-0 against the spread this season.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 2.7
HR 7
ERA 8.69
K/9 8.48

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Matt Swarmer

  • Swarmer gets the start for the Cubs, his fifth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 5.23 ERA and 19 strikeouts over 20 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Thursday against the San Diego Padres, when he threw three innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • Swarmer has pitched five or more innings in a game three times this season heading into this outing.
  • The Cubs were the moneyline underdog for three Swarmer starts this season — they lost every time.
  • Swarmer’s team has won one of his four starts.
  • Swarmer has had four starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in one of those games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 21, 2022 at 5:13 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Scott Effross 30 29.0 11.5 11.0 0.4 3.10
Mychal Givens 26 25.2 11.6 9.8 2.0 4.21
Rowan Wick 26 28.0 9.6 11.9 0.7 4.50
Chris Martin 22 19.2 10.5 13.2 1.6 5.03
David Robertson 22 24.2 12.4 5.1 0.8 1.82

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Roansy Contreras

  • When Contreras starts, his team is 2-3-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in four innings against the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Contreras has three starts of five or more innings this season in five chances. He averages 4.0 innings per outing.
  • Contreras’ team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Contreras’ team has won two of his five starts this season.
  • In games Contreras has started this season, the teams are 1-4-0 at hitting the over.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 21, 2022 at 5:13 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Stratton 27 25.2 24 5.96 7 2
David Bednar 26 33.1 45 1.35 4 11
Wil Crowe 25 38.2 38 2.56 4 2
Heath Hembree 20 16.1 12 7.16 2 0
Anthony Banda 20 16.1 19 6.61 2 0

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • The Pirates are 10-6 this season in games when they send out two or more long balls.
  • The Pirates are 6-2 in games this season when they have put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has notched eight or more hits in 31 games this season, and is 20-11 in those contests.
  • The Pirates are 16-4 in the games this season that they scored at least five runs.
  • The Pirates have gone 10-4 in the 14 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • They have won 10 of the 17 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 15 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 7-8.
  • In 35 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 19-16.
  • They have a 18-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 9-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Pirates vs. Cubs Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+131)

Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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