The Chicago Cubs (25-42) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (26-39) at 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday. Pittsburgh’s ( to win) Roansy Contreras gets the start versus Chicago’s () Matt Swarmer.
This article refers to odds updated as of June 21, 2022 at 5:13 PM ET. Find all the latest odds for this game below and click here to claim your free sports bet (up to $1,001) at Caesars!
Pirates vs Cubs Betting Lines
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have won eight, or 57.1%, of the 14 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Pittsburgh has not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -155 odds on them winning this game.
- The implied probability of a win from the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 60.8%.
- So far this season, Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 26 of their 66 games with a total.
- In 66 games with a spread this season, the Pirates are 30-36-0 ATS.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.04 |
| K/9 | 7.71 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have won in 18, or 37.5%, of the 48 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
- Chicago has a mark of 9-13 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +131 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Chicago have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 32 of 67 chances this season.
- The Cubs have posted a record of 33-34-0 against the spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.7 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 8.69 |
| K/9 | 8.48 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Matt Swarmer
- Swarmer gets the start for the Cubs, his fifth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 5.23 ERA and 19 strikeouts over 20 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Thursday against the San Diego Padres, when he threw three innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Swarmer has pitched five or more innings in a game three times this season heading into this outing.
- The Cubs were the moneyline underdog for three Swarmer starts this season — they lost every time.
- Swarmer’s team has won one of his four starts.
- Swarmer has had four starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in one of those games.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 21, 2022 at 5:13 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | K/9 | H/9 | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Effross | 30 | 29.0 | 11.5 | 11.0 | 0.4 | 3.10 |
| Mychal Givens | 26 | 25.2 | 11.6 | 9.8 | 2.0 | 4.21 |
| Rowan Wick | 26 | 28.0 | 9.6 | 11.9 | 0.7 | 4.50 |
| Chris Martin | 22 | 19.2 | 10.5 | 13.2 | 1.6 | 5.03 |
| David Robertson | 22 | 24.2 | 12.4 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 1.82 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Roansy Contreras
- When Contreras starts, his team is 2-3-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in four innings against the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Contreras has three starts of five or more innings this season in five chances. He averages 4.0 innings per outing.
- Contreras’ team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Contreras’ team has won two of his five starts this season.
- In games Contreras has started this season, the teams are 1-4-0 at hitting the over.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 21, 2022 at 5:13 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 27 | 25.2 | 24 | 5.96 | 7 | 2 |
| David Bednar | 26 | 33.1 | 45 | 1.35 | 4 | 11 |
| Wil Crowe | 25 | 38.2 | 38 | 2.56 | 4 | 2 |
| Heath Hembree | 20 | 16.1 | 12 | 7.16 | 2 | 0 |
| Anthony Banda | 20 | 16.1 | 19 | 6.61 | 2 | 0 |
Pirates Hitting Trends
- The Pirates are 10-6 this season in games when they send out two or more long balls.
- The Pirates are 6-2 in games this season when they have put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has notched eight or more hits in 31 games this season, and is 20-11 in those contests.
- The Pirates are 16-4 in the games this season that they scored at least five runs.
- The Pirates have gone 10-4 in the 14 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They have won 10 of the 17 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 15 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, they have a record of 7-8.
- In 35 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 19-16.
- They have a 18-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 9-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Pirates vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+131)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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