Twins Vs Guardians: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – June 21, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 21, 2022

The Cleveland Guardians (34-28) visit the Minnesota Twins (38-30) in AL Central play, at 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday. Minnesota’s (-170 to win) Joe Ryan and Cleveland’s (+138) Aaron Civale will be the starters.

The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of June 21, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET. Keep scrolling for a look at all of the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Twins vs Guardians Betting Lines

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have won 26, or 63.4%, of the 41 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Minnesota has entered 11 games this season favored by -170 or more and is 9-2 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 63%.
  • Games involving Minnesota have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 32 of 68 chances this season.
  • The Twins are 30-38-0 against the spread in their 68 chances this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 13
ERA 4.55
K/9 7.66

Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (42.4%) in those games.
  • This year, Cleveland has won five of 15 games when listed as at least +138 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 42% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Cleveland and their opponents have hit the over in 30 of their 62 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Guardians are 34-28-0 against the spread in their 62 games that had a posted line this season.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 5
ERA 3.16
K/9 8.31

Guardians Probable Pitcher – Aaron Civale

  • Civale (2-3) takes the mound first for the Guardians in his eighth start of the season. He has a 7.84 ERA in 31 innings pitched, with 30 strikeouts.
  • The righty last appeared on Friday, May 20 against the Detroit Tigers, when he tossed six innings, allowing no earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • Civale has pitched five or more innings in a game two times this season heading into this matchup.
  • The Guardians are 2-3 in Civale’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Civale’s team has a 4-3 record over his seven starts.
  • Civale’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in six of seven games.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 21, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Emmanuel Clase 30 28.1 9.5 6.7 0.3 1.59
Bryan Shaw 28 21.1 7.6 9.5 1.6 3.80
Trevor Stephan 25 23.2 9.1 11.6 1.1 3.80
Sam Hentges 21 22.0 11.0 5.7 0.9 1.64
Nick Sandlin 19 18.2 6.3 7.2 1.2 2.89

Twins Probable Pitcher – Joe Ryan

  • Ryan and his team have a record of 5-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed five hits in four innings pitched against the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday.
  • Ryan has started nine games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings five times. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance.
  • Ryan’s team has won 83.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-1).
  • Ryan’s team has won six of his nine starts this season.
  • Games started by Ryan have a 3-6-0 record at hitting the over this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of June 21, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Caleb Thielbar 27 23.1 30 6.56 7 0
Joe Smith 26 21.0 13 3.00 12 0
Tyler Duffey 25 27.1 25 5.60 7 1
Jhoan Duran 23 28.2 40 2.51 8 4
Griffin Jax 22 32.1 37 2.78 7 1

Twins Hitting Trends

  • The Twins have a record this season in games when they belt at least two home runs.
  • The Twins are 13-2 in games this season when they have put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up eight or more hits 43 times this season, and has a 32-11 record in those games.
  • The Twins have a 27-2 record in games this season that they put up at least five runs.
  • The Twins are 12-1 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • They have won seven of the 10 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • They have collected five or more extra-base hits in 10 games this season and won each of them.
  • They have won 29 of the 34 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • They have a 23-2 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 7-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Twins vs. Guardians Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Guardians (+138)

Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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