Marcell Ozuna takes a 12-game hitting streak into the Atlanta Braves’ (21-23) game versus the Philadelphia Phillies (20-24), at 7:20 PM ET on Thursday, at Truist Field. Aaron Nola is pitching for Philadelphia ( to win), and Kyle Wright is Atlanta’s () pick to start.
The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 26, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET. See below for a table with the latest odds for this matchup and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at BetMGM today!
Phillies vs Braves Betting Lines
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 24 times this season and won 11, or 45.8%, of those games.
- This season, Philadelphia has won 11 of its 24 games, or 45.8%, when favored by at least -112 on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have a 52.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 23 of their 44 opportunities.
- The Phillies are 21-23-0 ATS in their 44 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 3.89 |
| K/9 | 10.94 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won in six, or 37.5%, of the 16 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
- This season, Atlanta has been victorious three times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Braves have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Atlanta have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 25 of 44 chances this season.
- The Braves are 19-25-0 against the spread in their 44 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.40 |
| K/9 | 9.60 |
Braves Probable Pitcher – Kyle Wright
- Wright gets the start for the Braves, his ninth of the season. He is 4-2 with a 2.49 ERA and 56 strikeouts through 47 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Saturday against the Miami Marlins, when he tossed five scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
- Wright will look to build on a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 innings per appearance).
- The Braves were named the moneyline underdog for two Wright starts this season — they split the games.
- Wright’s team has won five of his eight starts.
- Wright has had eight starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those outings.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 26, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | K/9 | H/9 | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 20 | 19.2 | 13.3 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 1.37 |
| Kenley Jansen | 18 | 18.2 | 12.1 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 3.86 |
| Will Smith | 18 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 3.71 |
| Collin McHugh | 16 | 16.2 | 10.3 | 15.3 | 0.9 | 3.78 |
| Darren O’Day | 13 | 10.2 | 9.3 | 10.1 | 1.1 | 4.22 |
Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola’s team is 2-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw five innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up four earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Nola has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- Nola’s team has been victorious in 16.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 1-5.
- Nola’s team is 1-8 when he starts this season.
- Games Nola has started this season hit the over six times in nine chances.
Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 26, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Knebel | 18 | 18.0 | 16 | 3.00 | 0 | 8 |
| Brad Hand | 18 | 11.1 | 14 | 1.59 | 4 | 1 |
| Jeurys Familia | 17 | 15.2 | 15 | 4.60 | 5 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 17 | 13.0 | 17 | 7.62 | 5 | 0 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 17 | 16.2 | 21 | 2.16 | 6 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 7-5 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
- The Phillies have put up five or more extra-base hits in nine games this season, and finished 7-2 in those outings.
- The club is 15-12 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- The Phillies are 13-5 in games this season that they put up five or more runs.
- The Phillies have gone 5-3 in the eight games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Braves Hitting Trends
- They have won 10 of the 16 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- They’ve won five of their eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 18 of the 24 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- They have won 14 of their 17 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
- In 10 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-3
Phillies vs. Braves Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-106)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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