Phillies Vs Braves: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 26, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 26, 2022

Marcell Ozuna takes a 12-game hitting streak into the Atlanta Braves’ (21-23) game versus the Philadelphia Phillies (20-24), at 7:20 PM ET on Thursday, at Truist Field. Aaron Nola is pitching for Philadelphia (-112 to win), and Kyle Wright is Atlanta’s (-106) pick to start.

The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 26, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET. See below for a table with the latest odds for this matchup and get up to $1,000 Risk Free Bet at BetMGM today!

Phillies vs Braves Betting Lines

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 24 times this season and won 11, or 45.8%, of those games.
  • This season, Philadelphia has won 11 of its 24 games, or 45.8%, when favored by at least -112 on the moneyline.
  • The Phillies have a 52.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 23 of their 44 opportunities.
  • The Phillies are 21-23-0 ATS in their 44 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 6
ERA 3.89
K/9 10.94

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have won in six, or 37.5%, of the 16 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Atlanta has been victorious three times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least -106 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Atlanta have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 25 of 44 chances this season.
  • The Braves are 19-25-0 against the spread in their 44 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 13
ERA 3.40
K/9 9.60

Braves Probable Pitcher – Kyle Wright

  • Wright gets the start for the Braves, his ninth of the season. He is 4-2 with a 2.49 ERA and 56 strikeouts through 47 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Saturday against the Miami Marlins, when he tossed five scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
  • Wright will look to build on a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 innings per appearance).
  • The Braves were named the moneyline underdog for two Wright starts this season — they split the games.
  • Wright’s team has won five of his eight starts.
  • Wright has had eight starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in two of those outings.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 26, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
A.J. Minter 20 19.2 13.3 6.5 0.0 1.37
Kenley Jansen 18 18.2 12.1 5.0 0.5 3.86
Will Smith 18 17.0 9.0 6.2 2.3 3.71
Collin McHugh 16 16.2 10.3 15.3 0.9 3.78
Darren O’Day 13 10.2 9.3 10.1 1.1 4.22

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola

  • Nola’s team is 2-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw five innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up four earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Nola has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • Nola’s team has been victorious in 16.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 1-5.
  • Nola’s team is 1-8 when he starts this season.
  • Games Nola has started this season hit the over six times in nine chances.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 26, 2022 at 7:12 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Corey Knebel 18 18.0 16 3.00 0 8
Brad Hand 18 11.1 14 1.59 4 1
Jeurys Familia 17 15.2 15 4.60 5 0
José Alvarado 17 13.0 17 7.62 5 0
Seranthony Domínguez 17 16.2 21 2.16 6 0

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • The Phillies are 7-5 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
  • The Phillies have put up five or more extra-base hits in nine games this season, and finished 7-2 in those outings.
  • The club is 15-12 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
  • The Phillies are 13-5 in games this season that they put up five or more runs.
  • The Phillies have gone 5-3 in the eight games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Braves Hitting Trends

  • They have won 10 of the 16 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • They’ve won five of their eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 18 of the 24 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • They have won 14 of their 17 games this season in which they scored more than four runs.
  • In 10 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-3

Phillies vs. Braves Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-106)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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