Heat Vs Celtics: Finals Game 1 Betting Preview, Tips And Picks – May 17, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 17, 2022

The Miami Heat and Boston Celtics are meeting in the Eastern Conference Finals, with Game 1 up next. The Heat (-4.5) play the Celtics (+165 on the moneyline) at 8:30 PM ET on Tuesday. This game has a point total of 203.

The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of May 17, 2022 at 8:02 PM ET. Keep scrolling for a look at all of the latest odds for this game and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Heat Vs Celtics Betting Odds

Injury Report as of May 17

Heat: Kyle Lowry: Out (Hamstring), P.J. Tucker: Probable (Calf), Gabe Vincent: Probable (Knee), Max Strus: Probable (Hamstring), Caleb Martin: Probable (Ankle)

Celtics: Marcus Smart: Out (Foot), Al Horford: Out (Health Protocols), Sam Hauser: Out (Shoulder)

Computer Picks

Spread Pick Celtics (+4.5)
Total Pick Over (203)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks head-to-head matchup results within a closed network of games. Prediction confidence is determined by the delta between each team’s raw power score.

Heat Vs Celtics Stat Rankings

Heat Avg. (Rank) Celtics Avg. (Rank)
109.2 (21st) Points Scored 111.8 (12th)
104.9 (3rd) Points Allowed 104.5 (1st)
43.4 (22nd) Rebounds 46.0 (5th)
9.7 (19th) Off. Rebounds 10.5 (11th)
13.5 (6th) 3pt Made 13.2 (8th)
25.3 (9th) Assists 24.8 (14th)
13.6 (22nd) Turnovers 13.0 (13th)

Heat Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jimmy Butler 57 21.4 5.9 5.5 1.6 0.5 0.5
Tyler Herro 66 20.7 5.0 4.0 0.7 0.1 2.7
Bam Adebayo 56 19.1 10.1 3.4 1.4 0.8 0.0
Kyle Lowry 63 13.3 4.4 7.4 1.1 0.2 2.3
Victor Oladipo 8 12.4 2.9 3.5 0.6 0.1 1.9

Celtics Key Players

Name GP PTS REB ASST STL BLK 3PM
Jayson Tatum 76 26.9 8.0 4.4 0.9 0.6 3.0
Jaylen Brown 66 23.6 6.1 3.5 1.0 0.3 2.5
Derrick White 75 13.2 3.5 4.9 0.9 0.8 1.5
Marcus Smart 71 12.1 3.8 5.9 1.7 0.3 1.7
Al Horford 69 10.2 7.7 3.4 0.7 1.3 1.3

Betting Trends

  • Miami has beaten the spread 53 times in 82 games.
  • Against the spread as 4.5-point favorites or more, the Heat are 23-19.
  • Out of 82 Miami games so far this year, 48 have gone over the total.
  • Miami’s games have had more than 203 points scored on 71 occasions this season.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 203 points, 11.3 fewer than the average total in this season’s Heat contests.
  • Boston’s record against the spread is 51-40-2.
  • The Celtics are 5-1 as 4.5-point underdogs or more.
  • Boston has played 82 games this year, and 45 of them have hit the over.
  • Boston’s games have finished with over 203 points scored 69 times this year.
  • This season, Celtics games have resulted in an average scoring total of 216.0, which is 13.0 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
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