Pirates Vs Reds: MLB Betting Lines, Stats And Predictions – May 12, 2022

Written By PlayPicks Staff on May 11, 2022

The Pittsburgh Pirates (13-17) and Cincinnati Reds (7-24) clash in NL Central action, on Thursday at 6:35 PM ET. Pittsburgh (-135 to win) has JT Brubaker on the mound, while Cincinnati (+114) is sending out Connor Overton.

The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of May 12, 2022 at 5:13 PM ET. Check out the table below for the latest odds for this matchup and click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Pirates vs Reds Betting Lines

Pirates Betting Insights

  • This season, the Pirates have won three out of the five games in which they’ve been favored.
  • Pittsburgh has not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -135 odds on them winning this game.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 13 of their 30 games with a total this season.
  • The Pirates are 16-14-0 against the spread this season.

Pirates Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 14
ERA 4.19
K/9 8.80

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been victorious in six, or 22.2%, of the 27 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win five times in 22 chances when named as an underdog of at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 46.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with Cincinnati have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 21 of 31 chances this season.
  • The Reds are 11-20-0 against the spread in their 31 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 6.2
HR 11
ERA 8.05
K/9 10.69

Reds Probable Pitcher – Connor Overton

  • The Reds will look to Overton (0-0) to open the game and make his third start of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday, the righty tossed five innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • Overton is seeking his third straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per start.
  • The Reds were named the moneyline underdog for two Overton starts this season — they split the games.
  • His team split the two matchups he’s appeared in this season.
  • Overton’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 12, 2022 at 5:13 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP K/9 H/9 HR/9 ERA
Hunter Strickland 14 13.1 7.4 11.5 0.8 6.75
Dauri Moreta 14 13.2 10.5 12.3 5.7 9.88
Alexis Diaz 14 15.1 10.6 4.8 0.7 0.59
Jeff Hoffman 12 18.2 8.2 9.0 0.6 1.93
Art Warren 11 10.0 10.8 12.4 2.3 7.20

Pirates Probable Pitcher – JT Brubaker

  • Brubaker and his team are 3-3-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in five innings pitched against the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday.
  • Brubaker will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
  • Brubaker’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Brubaker’s team has a 3-3 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Brubaker have a 4-2-0 record at hitting the over this season.
  • Pitchers reflected above are based on projections as of May 12, 2022 at 5:13 PM ET and may not be the pitchers at game time.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Heath Hembree 13 10.0 7 6.30 2 0
David Bednar 13 15.2 24 1.15 4 5
Chris Stratton 13 11.2 11 6.17 3 2
Wil Crowe 12 20.0 19 2.25 2 1
Dillon Peters 8 19.2 15 1.83 1 0

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • The Pirates are 6-2 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
  • The Pirates have racked up five or more extra-base hits in six games this season, and went 5-1 in those contests.
  • The team has totaled eight or more hits 17 times this season, and has an 11-6 record in those games.
  • The Pirates have a 10-1 record in games this season that they put up five or more runs.
  • The Pirates are 7-2 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They have won two of the six games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • The Reds’ .350 slugging percentage ranks 24th in baseball.
  • They have won five of the 10 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 12 games this season with five or more runs scored, they’ved posted a record of 6-6.
  • They have won three of their five games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Pirates vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (+114)

Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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